Flash flood watch in effect until Sunday morning
Look for showers and thunderstorms to affect the region through Sunday. If you have outdoor activities, stay in touch with the WBRZ Weather Team as rain will likely be a factor.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is up through 7 a.m. Sunday morning.
Please remember not to drive across a roadway you cannot see. Even if it is an area with which you are familiar, you can’t know if the road has been washed away. Only 6” of water will stall a car and just a little more will float a car.
Saturday certainly looks like the more active weather day of the weekend. Again, rounds of rain and storms will move about the area. Highs will stay in the low 80s.
On Sunday, the pattern will loosen its grip on the region and some sun may give way during breaks in the action. Still, as a weakening cold front sinks towards the Gulf of Mexico, scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain a possibility.
Early next week, the area will get a chance to dry out with returning sun guiding high temperatures back into the 90s.
THE TROPICS: The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a region in the Southern Gulf of Mexico for potential activity next week. A surface low may form near Cancun before moving to the northeast. At this time, there is a 50% chance of further development.
It is important to note that even ***IF*** there is development, the pattern into next week shows a cold front and high pressure system sinking into the Southeast U.S., which would deflect such a system away from Louisiana.
Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough in Texas will slowly spin southeastward through Saturday. On the active eastern side of this trough, the local area can expect to see enhanced shower and thunderstorm development during the afternoon hours. Daytime heating and marine breezes will be factors in generating rounds of rain and storms as well; and therefore the daylight hours will feature most of the action. Areas of vorticity circling the trough will enhance development—models currently peg these waves of energy for Friday and Saturday Afternoons. In summary, some wet days are ahead and many locations will pick up around two inches of rain with higher amounts beneath thunderstorm downpours. Increased moisture in the atmosphere will lead to a lot of lightning in the deeper storms. Fortunately, no organized severe weather is expected, but we know that these moisture laden storms can still be attention getting with downpours, frequent cloud to ground lightning and even downburst wind gusts. By Sunday, a northern stream trough will nudge southeastward into the Eastern United States and this should help to bump the surface trough southeastward. Likely cut off from the flow at that point, the upper trough will eventually weaken and become absorbed by the jet stream. This same cold front would serve to deflect any tropical moisture that organizes away from the local area. Quieter, more typical weather is then expected by the middle of next week. Returning sunshine will guide high temperatures back into the 90s.
For updates, stay connected with Meteorologist Josh Eachus: