THE FORECAST: 

 Tonight and Tomorrow: High pressure still influencing our area from the southeast, keeping conditions dry and warm into Monday. Partly cloudy skies tonight will allow for temperatures to slowly cool into the 60s by 11 PM, with overnight lows poised to drop near 61° with calm winds. Patchy fog will likely develop overnight, especially south of I-10, but should burn of by 9 AM Monday morning. Mostly cloudy skies on Monday, as temperatures break into the 70s around 11 AM with highs of 80° with light southerly winds.

Up Next:  Showers return on Tuesday, but should stay rather light and fragmented. Elevated high temperatures stay the course through the week, but scattered showers and storms are in the forecast on Friday and Saturday as temperatures cool into the weekend.

THE EXPLANATION:

Same setup that we have experienced for almost a week now, with strong high pressure over Northern Florida and a stalled front just to our north. At the upper levels, a ridge has also been parked over the Gulf Coast. A couple shortwaves off the main stationary front will attempt to drive south and toward the Gulf Tuesday and Wednesday. This will provide some isolated showers and maybe a storm or two. The storm activity will be at a minimum based on the ridge inhibiting vertical development. The ridge should shift east later in the week, opening the door to a frontal system that should make it into the Gulf. Scattered showers and storms will develop through the afternoon on both Friday and Saturday, as highs cool into the low 70s over the weekend.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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