Baton Rouge, Louisiana
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Temperatures climbing

8 years 4 months 3 weeks ago Thursday, February 18 2016 Feb 18, 2016 February 18, 2016 5:40 AM February 18, 2016 in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather Center

Sunshine will continue across the area as afternoon highs peak in the mid to upper 70s over the next several days.




Today and Tonight: Thursday will bring sunshine and a high temperature in the low 70s. Winds will be easterly at 5-10mph. During the overnight hours, skies will remain clear but lows will alas be a bit above average—in the low 50s.


Up Next: Return flow will kick in on Friday, meaning winds will become southeasterly. That will allow temperatures to warm well into the upper 70s as sunshine continues across the region. There have been some chilly opening day games played at Alex Box Stadium, but not this time. The LSU Baseball season will begin against Cincinnati Friday Evening at 7pm beneath clear skies with a temperature falling through the upper 60s. Both weekend days will have foggy mornings and partly sunny afternoons with highs in the upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s.



Forecast Discussion: An upper level ridge is centering over the Southeastern United States. This thicker atmosphere will mean a warmer thermal profile and thus higher temperatures at the surface through Saturday. Meanwhile, at the surface, a high pressure will migrate from the Northeast U.S. Coast to the Florida Coast by Sunday. As a result, winds will shift southeasterly Friday to Sunday further enhancing the warming trend. Clear skies are expected through Friday. The return flow will introduce enough moisture to the low levels of the atmosphere that fog formation will be a possibility on Saturday and Sunday Morning. Furthermore, with the ridge tending to flatten into Sunday, less subsidence will mean some afternoon cloud development is likely. By Monday, a trough will be digging back into the Eastern United States generating a temperature boundary across the Mid-South. A surface low pressure system will develop along this boundary in Eastern Texas thus promoting rain development in the local area on Monday. Right now, there are too many ambiguous factors to determine whether or not severe storms could be a possibility. This system will be slow going across the Gulf Coast as the upper trough continues to deepen in the Eastern U.S. and the east to west oriented front is stuck in a parallel upper wind flow—inhibiting the southward push. As a result, we’re now holding rain in the forecast into Tuesday with temperatures slowly falling. It could in fact turn out to be a fairly gnarly, chilly day. Cooler than average temperatures will last into the middle of next week with dry conditions.  



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