Once the cool air moderates, warming temperatures will signal the arrival of increasing clouds and rain showers by the weekend.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Your Monday will be chilly with high temperatures once again struggling to climb through the 50s. Under sunny skies, we’re projecting a high of 59°. Winds will be light and easterly. Overnight will be clear and cold with a low in the mid 30s. Typical cold spots north of Baton Rouge could reach freezing once again.

Looking Ahead: Tuesday will be a bit warmer with highs reaching the mid 60s. It does appear as though some mid and high level clouds will sweep across the region, however no rain is expected. For Wednesday, travel weather appears to be in good shape for the eastern two-thirds of the nation. While a light rain shower is possible from Iowa southward to Texas, no major delays should occur due to weather. Locally, the pattern appears quiet through Thanksgiving with Wednesday and Thursday highs in the low 70s and lows in the upper 50s.

THE SCIENCE: 

Forecast Discussion: High pressure parked over the Gulf South will begin to slide northeastward beyond Monday. In doing so, local wind will turn around to the east-southeast beginning a slow moderating trend in temperatures. Tuesday Morning will be cold once again with more clear skies and continued dry air, but the day shouldn’t start off freezing. A mid-level disturbance will push through the region on Tuesday, but with limited moisture, isn’t expected to do more than stir up some high clouds. Highs will struggle back into the 60s. The next cold front will move into the region after Thanksgiving. Forecast models are having a difficult time in showing the speed and strength of the front making the forecast highly uncertain right now. Where there seems to be agreement is that a front WILL bring generally lighter showers into the region between Friday and Sunday. The disagreement stems from exact timing of the front, when the greatest chance for showers will be, and how temperatures respond beyond the front. Stay tuned as we hash out the details.

 --Josh

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