After brief break in humidity over the weekend, more seasonable weather is expected this week. 

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Expect skies to be mostly sunny early with increasing clouds and an isolated thunderstorm possible in the afternoon. Temperatures will be warm with more humidity-- highs in the upper 80s. Tonight, skies will be mainly clear with lows in the upper 60s.

Up Next: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms rule our pattern this week feeling more like summertime, thankfully without the 90s. We will be close though as we peak our afternoon temperatures in the upper 80s. It's quite possible a few places could squeak into the 90s briefly, especially if they go without seeing rain. A slightly better chance of showers is expected on Wednesday and Thursday, and it's possible for some slightly drier air to move in by the weekend. At the moment, it looks like we could be seeing a stormy system move through next Sunday, but it's still a little too early to confirm. 

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: This is the time of year where the subtleties in the upper levels become much more important. A building ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and into the Southeastern U.S. will result in weaker lapse rates and little more than an isolated shower or thunderstorm through Tuesday. In addition, more solar radiation will mean slightly warmer temperatures. Southwest flow aloft though will leave just enough moisture to keep us from eliminating rain chances altogether. By midweek, a shortwave trough in the Midwest will breakdown the ridge just enough for some additional instability to be available for more scattered afternoon showers and storms through Thursday. We will be keeping an eye on a more robust wave that could affect the region closer to Memorial Day. 

--Josh

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