September 17, 2014
Daily variances in precipitation coverage are hardly enough to declare this pattern anything but repetitive.
Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough of lower pressures and cooler temperatures continues to dig into the Eastern half of the United States. The trough is shoving a surface cold front south which was positioned from the Carolina Coast to Central Alabama to North Louisiana as... more »
September 16, 2014
Even more showers and storms are expected on Tuesday.
Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough of lower pressures and cooler temperatures is pushing another weak cold front south towards the Gulf Coast. Due to this trough, a northwesterly flow is developing in the upper levels bringing cooler temperatures and destabilizing the atmosphere. With a front in the region enhancing uplift, and... more »
September 15, 2014
The drier air that you may have felt on Sunday is quickly receding and so too will our chances of dry afternoons.
Forecast Discussion: A now stationary frontal boundary that kicked through the region over the weekend is perched just south of the Louisiana and Mississippi Coasts. Though diffuse, enough of an airmass divide exists along this boundary for it to... more »
September 12, 2014
The weekend weather will be highly dependent on the track of Invest 92L.
Forecast Discussion: A surface cold front is moving slowly through the state of Louisiana. Out ahead of it, a saturated air mass and early warmth will set the stage for widespread showers and thunderstorms upon the arrival of better lift associated with the front later Friday Afternoon. The... more »
September 11, 2014
As we round out the week, there will be another uptick in shower and thunderstorm coverage.
Forecast Discussion: A surface cold front stretched from Pennsylvania to Texas will run into an upper level ridge of higher pressure and warmer temperatures. Warmth and humidity in the Deep South, caused by the ridge, will help to trigger showers and thunderstorms as the front... more »
September 10, 2014
In a month where temperatures should tend to fall back, an upward climb on the thermometers continues this week.
Forecast Discussion: A persistent ridge of high pressure stretching from Texas to the Southwest Atlantic will be the main influence on our weather pattern into the weekend. This ridge of higher pressure and warmer temperatures will lessen thundershower development, allow added sunshine... more »
September 9, 2014
A couple of steamy days lie ahead for South Louisiana.
Forecast Discussion: A weak boundary that kicked up scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday continues to wash away to the east of our region. It may still serve as a focus for spotty thundershower activity during the afternoon hours, but coverage should be lessened compared to Monday and especially the weekend.... more »
September 8, 2014
Are you tired of the scattered afternoon showers? Well, after one more day the pattern will ease up a bit.
Forecast Discussion: As a weak front washes out over the region today, the morning warmup coupled with high dew points will trigger a few more afternoon showers and thunderstorms. By Tuesday, the front will have fallen apart entirely and a light... more »
September 8, 2014
We saw more rain again today, and this time, within Baton Rouge city limits. Expect lower rain chances tomorrow, about 30% coverage. Temperatures will peak at 91. As we head into Tuesday, rain chances lower even more to around 20%, which will probably be our typical afternoon thunderstorms. The rain returns Friday as a cold front actually knocks our temperatures... more »
September 7, 2014
There was quite a bit of rain today, but most of it missed the actual city of Baton Rouge; good news for football. Expect a repeat tomorrow, about 60% coverage, however I can't tell you that Baton Rouge will escape the rain again. Temperatures will peak at 90. As we head into Monday and Tuesday, rain chances lower to around... more »
September 5, 2014
The big forecast challenge over the last several days has been identifying how much of the area in Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi would pick up rainfall on a daily basis. While each afternoon has featured scattered showers and thunderstorms, there have been subtle variations in rain coverage each day ranging from 40-60%. On Thursday, the forecast called for 40%... more »