The sun, pop-up showers and warm temperatures will continue.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Tuesday will play out similar to Monday in that partly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s will give way to pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Little more than 20% measurable rain coverage in the 13 Parish, 3 County forecast area is expected. Most, if not all action, will be during the afternoon hours. By the evening, any showers will fall apart and then overnight lows will stop in the upper 60s.

Up Next: Wednesday and Thursday will offer a slight uptick in shower and thunderstorm coverage—most likely in the Wednesday Afternoon time period. Skies will be partly sunny otherwise with highs in the mid 80s and lows in the upper 60s. By Friday, the sporadic spigot drip should shut off with a good deal of sun and highs in the upper 80s.  

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion:  While a weak mid-level ridge slides over the Central Gulf Coast, so too will positive vorticity advection. With pockets of increased moisture, isolated showers and thunderstorms could try to develop. However, the areal rain coverage should again be in the 20% range. By Wednesday and Thursday, the mid-level mid-range should be squashed to the southeast allowing just a bit more instability for afternoon convection to develop. In addition, some of the models suggest that a squall line will race eastward away from a storm system in the Midwest, perhaps reaching the local area Wednesday Evening. We’ll monitor the evolution of this potential feature. Once again, some ridging figures to be overhead Friday bringing a dry period into Early Saturday. By Sunday a surface low pressure system developed east of an upper level trough will move into the Texarkana Region with an associated cold front draped to its southwest. After a week of moisture loading in the local area, more widespread showers and thunderstorms will be the result—especially Sunday. As the trough pushes eastward into next week, the region will likely enter a more unsettled and cooler pattern for Early May.    

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