Finally looking dry at The Box and beyond
An unsettled pattern which complicated regional baseball at Alex Box Stadium has finally broken. Sunshine and warmth are in store for the days to come.
Today and Tonight: Tuesday will offer high temperatures in the low 90s with a light, northerly breeze and abundant sunshine. If a shower can develop, it will occur near the lakes or coast. Nighttime may be just a smidge cooler with lows in the upper 60s beneath clear skies.
Up Next: Wednesday and Thursday will run very similar to Tuesday. With the tiny drop off in humidity, high temperatures should have no problem achieving low if not mid 90s. Skies will be mostly sunny both afternoons with morning lows in the upper 60s. By Friday humidity will begin to return—but expect continued afternoon sunshine. The next chance for a shower or thunderstorm will be holding off until at least Saturday.
The Tropics: As of 4am Tuesday Morning, Tropical Storm Colin was located over 110 miles to the northeast of Jacksonville, Florida. The system has maximum sustained winds of 50mph and a minimum central pressure of 1002mb. Moving to the northeast at 30mph, Colin will continue to produce rain and wind from Florida to North Carolina with 1-3” possible in from Coastal Georgia to Southeast North Carolina. Tropical Storm warnings remain posted from Altamaha Sound to Oregon Inlet. Colin will lose tropical characteristics as it races out to sea tonight.
Forecast Discussion: A stationary front will wash out over the Louisiana Gulf Coast today. Moisture content will drop as a result and shower action will shut down. A strengthening surface high pressure system moving through the Upper Mississippi River Valley will force a weak front through and a drier air mass into the area on Wednesday. The passage of the front will be dry but possible enough to lower humidity for mid-week. With models suggesting dew points in the mid 60s, Wednesday and Thursday may well begin in the 60s making morning a bit more comfortable. However, because dry air warms more efficiently than moist air, the afternoon will still be just as warm with highs in the low 90s. Additionally, 500mb progs have a broad ridge building over the Central CONUS Thursday into the weekend. Interestingly, as return flow kicks in over the weekend, models are suggesting some afternoon convection despite the ridge. Should this be the case, showers should be low topped and isolated and thus the normal “pop-up” summertime variety. While confidence is lower at this time, we’ll look at next weekend for the next chance of showers and thunderstorms.
For updates, stay connected with Meteorologist Josh Eachus: