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Thursday PM Forecast: gradual warming trend

8 months 1 week 4 days ago Thursday, March 24 2022 Mar 24, 2022 March 24, 2022 5:13 PM March 24, 2022 in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather

It is tough to ask for much nicer spring weather as we hit the final weekend of March. It will be difficult to find clouds most of the time, as temperatures will be near seasonal averages.

Next 24 Hours: A weak disturbance will quickly leave the area tonight allowing for all clear skies. Low temperatures will dive right back into the low 40s with northwest winds of 5-10mph. Friday will bring full sunshine and very dry conditions. The northwest breeze will keep relative humidity at 40 percent or lower during the daytime hours. High temperatures will make it into the low 70s.

Up Next: Skies are expected to stay mainly clear all the way through the weekend with high temperatures climbing from the mid 70s Saturday afternoon to the upper 70s Sunday afternoon. Expect those numbers to be back into the 80s on Monday and Tuesday. A few clouds will start to appear early in the week as winds shift south and some moisture comes in from the Gulf of Mexico. The next frontal system will arrive around Wednesday night with rain and thunderstorms likely. It is too early to nail down the strength of the system. CLICK HERE for your detailed 7-Day Forecast.

The Explanation: An upper level trough of low pressure will move away from the local area toward the Eastern U.S. through the weekend. This will keep upper level winds northwesterly in the local area, promoting a very dry atmosphere. Clouds will be tough to find. Mainly clear skies, dry air and light winds will cause a large diurnal temperature range with cool mornings and warmer afternoons. In addition, that dry air will keep daytime relative humidity between 20-40 percent, which is quite low for the Gulf Coast. On Sunday, a weak upper level ridge of high pressure will move overhead, sending high temperatures into the upper 70s. Winds will begin to take on a southerly direction on Monday; low temperatures will break back into the 50s and that is near average for the time of year. Monday and Tuesday afternoon will reach the 80s with the gradual moisture return resulting in some low cumulus development. By the middle of next week, a deep trough of low pressure will dig into the Lower Midwest and aim its associated frontal system at the local area. This system is very likely to deliver rain and thunderstorms to the area, but it is a little early to assess the strength of the system overall and therefore if storms could be strong or severe. Both the American and European model show early indications of a sharp trough, strong upper level winds and instability, but wind shear could be a bit lacking this far south. It is way too early to dig deeper, but it is the spring season, and frequent threats for severe weather should be expected.

--Josh

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