WBRZ https://www.wbrz.com/ WBRZ Forecast Discussion Forecast Discussion en-us Copyright 2021, WBRZ. All Rights Reserved. Feed content is not avaialble for commercial use. () () Sat, 19 Jun 2021 HH:06:ss GMT Synapse CMS 10 WBRZ https://www.wbrz.com/ 144 25 Minimal impacts to local area as tropical disturbance passes east https://www.wbrz.com/news/minimal-impacts-to-local-area-as-tropical-disturbance-passes-east/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/minimal-impacts-to-local-area-as-tropical-disturbance-passes-east/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 15 Jun 2021 7:13:55 PM WBRZ Weather Minimal impacts to local area as tropical disturbance passes east

Watch live updates here.

NEW: The Flash Flood Watch has been CANCELLED for metro Baton Rouge and majority of the WBRZ viewing area, besides Tangipahoa parish and Pike county in southwest Mississippi. Rainfall totals of 1-3 inches are still expected across the local area, but is manageable and does not warrant a Flash Flood Watch.

As of 7PM Friday, the disturbance was about 260 miles southwest of Mobile, Alabama moving north near 16mph. This general motion with an increase in speed is expected through tonight. On the current forecast track, the system will approach the Louisiana coast late Friday or early Saturday. A northeastward motion across the southeastern United States is likely after landfall. Maximum sustained winds are near 45mph with higher gusts. Without a well defined center, this system is still being labeled as "Potential Tropical Cyclone Three".

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border. This also includes Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the warning area in the next 24 hours including the possibility of 1-3 feet of water inundation for nearshore areas and sustained winds over 35mph.


THE FORECAST

Tonight: PTC #3 will move inland overnight with scattered showers and perhaps a brief period of steady rain to areas east of the Mississippi River. Heavier activity is expected east of I-55. As with any incoming tropical system, an isolated brief tornado will be possible as well, mainly east of I-55. Low temperatures will stay in the mid 70s due to the humid, tropical air mass.

Saturday: Rain coverage will likely be maximized early Saturday morning as the center of circulation passes over Lake Pontchartrain. Expect breezy conditions with winds shifting westerly at 10-15mph. Beyond dawn, scattered showers remain in the forecast but a washout is not anticipated. There should be plenty of breaks in the rain and even times of sun. High temperatures will top out in the mid 80s.

Sunday: Like Saturday, Father's Day will not be a total washout but more showers and thunderstorms will be around. With a tropical air mass still in place, any thunderstorms could bring downpours. With some breaks of sun available, high temperatures will likely return to the upper 80s to near 90 degrees.

The LATEST weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.



Permalink| Comments


]]>
The calm before the tropical showers and storms https://www.wbrz.com/news/the-calm-before-the-tropical-showers-and-storms/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/the-calm-before-the-tropical-showers-and-storms/ Forecast Discussion Thu, 17 Jun 2021 6:09:42 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo The calm before the tropical showers and storms

Thursday will be dry with low humidity and tropical showers will be moving in tomorrow.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Temperatures will again be in the 90s, but the humidity will be milder today. This is the last dry day in the forecast with mostly sunny skies. Overnight temperatures will be near 70 degrees.

Up Next: Friday morning the tropical moisture will move in. Scattered showers will start up in the late morning hours and Friday showers will be scattered in nature all day long. These showers and storms will be fueled by Gulf moisture and will be capable of producing a lot of rain in a short amount on time. A few inches of rain accumulation will be possible across the area by the end of the day Friday. Temperatures will max out in the 80s.

Saturday is setting up to be the wettest day in the forecast. Periods of heavy rain will start in the morning. With the current forecast, the heaviest rain is likely to be on the eastern edges of the WBRZ viewing area and even further east into Mississippi and Alabama. The tropical system will track northeast all day and the afternoon and evening hours will likely see fewer showers in number. The afternoon and evening activity will still be capable of producing those heavy downpours.

As the system moves away from our area on Sunday, some shower activity will linger. Scattered showers will be possible for the entire day and with deep tropical moisture more downpours. Adding up all the rainy days, the highest totals with be between 4-7 inches on the far east side of the viewing area. Totals of 2-5 inches will be the case for areas further west. Isolated higher amounts are expected. Once the disturbance in the Gulf fully develops, all the details will unfold, and we will likely see flash flood watches issued for the areas at the highest risk for flooding. Continue to check back for daily updates. Scroll down for more on the tropics. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.

In the Tropics:

Thursday 1am Tropical Outlook

Confidence in the forecast for this system continues to increase. Development into a tropical depression is expected late today or early tomorrow. There is already some northward movement of the storm and that is expected until the storm reaches the Gulf Coast over the weekend. It won’t have much time to organize before reaching the Gulf Coast, this means it will likely be lopsided with the east side of the storm seeing most of the rain. Gusty winds will come along with tropical showers and storms. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Reminder: With the threat for impactful weather—tropical thunderstorms—please have access to alerts through Saturday. You can download or activate the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device or turn on a NOAA Weather Radio for bulletins such as watches and urgent warnings. Of course, WBRZ, WBRZ+ and the Cable Weather Channel will have updates as active weather dictates. 


Permalink| Comments


]]>
One more dry day before tropical showers arrive https://www.wbrz.com/news/one-more-dry-day-before-tropical-showers-arrive/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/one-more-dry-day-before-tropical-showers-arrive/ Forecast Discussion Wed, 16 Jun 2021 5:39:15 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus One more dry day before tropical showers arrive

One more nice day is ahead before our area begins feeling the effects of a tropical system. While the “designation” of the system is still unclear, a period of rainy weather is the main concern this weekend.

Next 24 Hours: A mainly dry day will transition into a clear and mild night for the time of year. Low temperatures will stop near 70 degrees and some upper 60s are even possible north of I-12. Thursday will be another mainly sunny afternoon with highs in the low to mid 90s. The feels-like temperatures should remain in check, in the upper 90s, due to the air remaining slightly drier by June standards.

Up Next: All eyes turn to the south by Friday. Regardless of an officially named storm, a lot of tropical moisture will move over the area. Periods of rain can be expected Friday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. Saturday will be the wettest part of the forecast period. As is the nature of tropical rain, it could be torrential at times. The current expectation is for about 3 to 6 inches of rain, but isolated amounts up to 10 inches will be possible. The highest amounts should be east of I-55 with the lowest amounts west of the Mississippi River. The track and intensity of this system, while still unclear, is a bit less important than usual because confidence is high that rain will be the primary issue with this system and that it will occur well east of wherever a “center” passes. There could be coastal flooding and higher tides in usual trouble spots. If you live in the Baton Rouge area, continue to get weather updates into the weekend. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad area of low pressure. This system will move little through tonight and little, if any, development is expected during that time due to interactions with land.  However, the system should begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Hunters will fly into this system on Thursday. For the latest forecast and preparation reminders, visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: An unseasonably dry air mass will maintain mostly clear skies and slightly lower than average humidity through Thursday. Into Friday, all forecast focus is on the tropics. Confidence is lower in the eventual track or strength of a tropical system. However, confidence is higher that the eventual evolution of this system will result in a period of wet weather. By Friday, bands of showers and thunderstorms will pinwheel across the area in response to increased moisture and lift in the environment on the northern fringes of the tropical disturbance. With substantial instability in place as well, isolated tornadoes may also spin up throughout the night and into Saturday. It is possible, if not likely, that where the center of this storm moves over land will stay mainly dry while a swath of heavier rain is displaced well east of that. Periods of rain related to the system will stay in the forecast through at least Sunday morning. With near record moisture content in the atmosphere, rain could be very heavy at times and forecast models are pointing to 3 inches on the conservative end and 8 inches on the aggressive side. The official Weather Prediction Center rainfall forecast is for 3 to 6 inches of rain for areas north and west of Baton Rouge and 5 to 8 inches south and east. By Sunday, the system will begin to pull away to the northeast and the threat for heavy rain will start to diminish. However, showers and thunderstorms will stay in the forecast well into next week as a weak front stalls across the I-20 corridor serving as a trigger for activity.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Air Quality Alert for Wednesday, Tropical moisture to move in Friday https://www.wbrz.com/news/air-quality-alert-for-wednesday-tropical-moisture-to-move-in-friday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/air-quality-alert-for-wednesday-tropical-moisture-to-move-in-friday/ Forecast Discussion Wed, 16 Jun 2021 6:06:18 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo Air Quality Alert for Wednesday, Tropical moisture to move in Friday

Air Quality Alert issued for the Baton Rouge and New Orleans Metro areas.

An *AIR QUALITY ALERT* has been issued for the Baton Rouge area for Wednesday.  Light winds will reduce pollutant dispersion and continued warm temperatures and sunny skies will enhance ozone formation. Therefore, air quality levels will be Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups in the Baton Rouge area. You can help mitigate this issue and reduce emissions by driving less and refueling very early or very late in the day.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Today, besides the Air Quality Alert, conditions are very calm. Temperatures will be steamy in the mid-90s with the heat index near 100 degrees. A stray shower is always a possibility, but rain chances today will be very low. Overnight temperatures will be in the 70s.

Up Next: Temperatures will be in the 90s with heat index values near 100 degrees in the peak of the afternoon on Thursday. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid-70s. Looking ahead to Friday, tropical moisture is set to move in. The forecast is largely dependent on the disturbance in the Gulf, so there is still a lot of uncertainty. Tropical showers will be in the area as early as Friday morning. Saturday and Sunday will likely be washouts with temperatures in the 80s. Altogether, rainfall totals will likely be 5-7 inches with isolated higher amounts. Continue to check back for daily updates. Scroll down for more on the tropics. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.

In the Tropics:

Wednesday 7am Tropical Outlook

Confidence in the forecast for this system continues to increase. Development into a tropical depression could happen as early as this evening but will likely happen on Thursday. It is then forecast to move north and bring deep tropical moisture to the Gulf Coast. It won’t have much time to become perfectly organized before reaching the Gulf Coast. This means it will likely be lopsided with the east side of the storm seeing most of the rain. Gusty winds will come along with tropical showers and storms. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Reminder: With the threat for impactful weather—tropical thunderstorms—please have access to alerts through Saturday. You can download or activate the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device or turn on a NOAA Weather Radio for bulletins such as watches and urgent warnings. Of course, WBRZ, WBRZ+ and the Cable Weather Channel will have updates as active weather dictates. 


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Sunny and steamy with poor air quality, then tropical rain possible https://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-and-steamy-with-poor-air-quality-then-tropical-rain-possible/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-and-steamy-with-poor-air-quality-then-tropical-rain-possible/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 15 Jun 2021 5:26:56 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Sunny and steamy with poor air quality, then tropical rain possible

Through Thursday, steamy and mainly dry weather is expected. The forecast focus will be on the tropics as a disturbance could bring heavy rain by the weekend.

Next 24 Hours: The latest crop of showers and thunderstorms will diminish this evening. The rest of the night will be mostly clear with lows in the mid 70s. Wednesday will be mostly sunny, hot and humid with highs in the mid 90s and feels-like temperatures in the 105-110 range. A stray shower is possible, but unlikely. There is also an AIR QUALITY ALERT for the Baton Rouge Metro Area on Wednesday. CLICK HERE to see who will be most affected and what you should do.   

Up Next: Thursday should stay mainly dry with highs in the mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s. All eyes turn to the south by Friday. Regardless of an officially named storm, a plume of tropical moisture will move over the area. A period of wet weather is expected Friday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. As is the nature of tropical rainfall, it could be torrential at times. The current expectation is for about 5 inches of rain, but isolated amounts up to 10 inches could be possible. Of course, as a system has yet to develop, forecast confidence is lower at this time but will increase through the week. If you live in the Baton Rouge area, it will be important to get weather updates through the week. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad area of low pressure. This system is expected to move very little during through Wednesday, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period due to its close proximity to land. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and there is an 80 percent chance that a tropical depression will form late in the week when the low moves across the central and northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Bill is producing 60 mph winds, away from land, over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. The system is expected to become extratropical and then dissipate Wednesday or Thursday.

Shower activity is limited in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. There is just a 10 percent chance of development during the next couple of days while the wave moves westward. Thereafter, a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds should end the chances of formation.

For the latest forecast and preparation reminders, visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: The middle of the week will be warm and mostly dry as the eastern perimeter of an upper level ridge nudges overhead. This ridge will increase sinking air processes, which contribute to warming temperatures and work against convective development. Additionally, sitting on the eastern fringes of the ridge, upper level winds will be out of the north and drier. While this works to suppress showers and thunderstorms, any updrafts that can form could tap into this dry air to create gusty wind in any rogue thunderstorms. That is just something to be aware of even though Wednesday and Thursday will be mostly dry. Into Friday, all forecast focus will be on the tropics. Confidence is low in the eventual development, track or strength of a tropical system. However, confidence is higher that the eventual evolution of this system will lead to increasing moisture in the atmosphere over the local area, which will lead to a period of wet weather. By Friday, showers and thunderstorms will develop across the area in response to increased moisture and lift in the environment on the northern fringes of the tropical disturbance. Even if it is a messy, poorly organized system, it is expected to be slow moving enough to allow periods of rain to stay in the forecast through at least Sunday morning.

With near record moisture content in the atmosphere, rain could be very heavy at times and forecast models are pointing to 5 inches on the conservative end and 10 inches on the aggressive side. That alone should indicate that the local area should pay attention to the progress of this system and continue to get updates from our weather team. 

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Air Quality Alert issued for Metro Area on Wednesday https://www.wbrz.com/news/air-quality-alert-issued-for-metro-area-on-wednesday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/air-quality-alert-issued-for-metro-area-on-wednesday/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 15 Jun 2021 3:21:18 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Air Quality Alert issued for Metro Area on Wednesday

An AIR QUALITY ALERT will be in effect from 9am - 8pm Wednesday. This area includes East Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Ascension and Pointe Coupee parishes. The weather conditions will be favorable for the formation of ozone.

Tuesday through Thursday, a ridge of high pressure aloft will reduce atmospheric mixing and produce mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures throughout Louisiana, increasing the formation of ground-level ozone. Furthermore, lingering smoke from western wildfires will increase particle levels and enhance ozone formation on all three days. In addition, light winds on Tuesday will limit dispersion, allowing pollutants to accumulate. These conditions will cause AQI levels to be Moderate in most cities on all three days, with Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups AQI levels expected in Baton Rouge and New Orleans on Wednesday.

The Air Quality Index indicates that ozone will be at the orange level, which is Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups. Increasing ozone levels may cause unhealthy air quality during afternoon hours. Active children and adults, the elderly and people with respiratory diseases, such as asthma, should avoid prolonged outdoor activities and exertion.



Area residents are encouraged to take one or more of the following voluntary actions to help reduce the formation of ozone:

-Drive less. Carpool, walk and bike, combine errands and care for your car. Be sure your gas cap is on tight

-Refuel your vehicle, mow grass and use gas powered lawn equipment and off road vehicles after 6 p.m.

-Postpone chores that use oil based paint, varnishes and solvents that produce flame

-If you barbecue, use an electric starter instead of starter fluid

-Take your lunch to work or walk to lunch

-Conserve energy in your home



Incorporating these tips into your daily routines can make a significant difference. We all have a stake in better air quality. Spread the word by telling family, friends, co-workers and neighbors about OZONE ACTION DAYS.

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Triple digit heat, Tracking tropical showers late week https://www.wbrz.com/news/triple-digit-heat-tracking-tropical-showers-late-week/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/triple-digit-heat-tracking-tropical-showers-late-week/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 15 Jun 2021 6:06:10 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo Triple digit heat, Tracking tropical showers late week

The triple digit heat is not letting up, and the tropical forecast continues to unfold.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Temperatures started in the upper 70s this morning and we will have no trouble reaching the mid 90s this afternoon. The heat index will be between 100-105 degrees this afternoon. Practice good sun and heat safety today! A few showers will be around this afternoon, about 30% of the area will see rain today. Any showers will make a huge difference by dropping temperatures 10 to 15 degrees. Even if you don’t see any rain, a neighboring shower could provide some much-needed shade from the sun. Areas south of I-12 are most likely to see showers, but they are still possible for area to the north.

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car.

Up Next: The hot and steamy afternoons are set to continue for the rest of the week. Temperatures will be in the 90s with heat index values near 100 degrees in the peak of the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid-70s. Looking ahead to the weekend, tropical moisture is set to move in. The forecast is largely dependent on the disturbance in the Gulf, so there is a lot of uncertainty. Tropical showers could be in the area as early as Friday. Saturday and Sunday will likely be washouts with temperatures in the 80s. Altogether, rainfall totals will likely be 5-7 inches with isolated higher amounts. Continue to check back for daily updates. It’s only Tuesday and forecast details will likely change before the weekend. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.

In the Tropics:

Tuesday 1am Tropical Outlook

Mid to late week the disturbance in the southern Gulf will likely become more organized. It has about a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 5 days. Regardless of development, it is already a rain maker. Parts of Mexico will be dealing with tropical showers and storms for the first half of the week until the disturbance starts to track north. After the circulation becomes more organized, the forecast will become clearer. That likely won’t happen until Wednesday or Thursday at the earliest. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

 

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour by hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Summer pattern through Thursday, tropical rainfall possible beyond https://www.wbrz.com/news/summer-pattern-through-thursday-tropical-rainfall-possible-beyond/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/summer-pattern-through-thursday-tropical-rainfall-possible-beyond/ Forecast Discussion Mon, 14 Jun 2021 5:08:25 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Summer pattern through Thursday, tropical rainfall possible beyond

Through the first half of the week, standard summer weather is expected. Eyes will be on the tropics as a disturbance could bring a spell of rain by next weekend.

Next 24 Hours: Any isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to diminish early this evening. The rest of the night will be mostly clear with lows in the mid 70s. Tuesday will be partly sunny with highs in the low 90s. Feels-like temperatures will top out in the 100-105 range during the heat of the day. Isolated showers and thunderstorms should pop in the afternoon, especially along and south of the interstates.

Up Next: Wednesday and Thursday should be mainly dry with highs in the mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s. All eyes turn to the south by Friday. Regardless of an officially named storm, a plume of tropical moisture will move over the area. A period of wet weather is expected Friday afternoon through Sunday morning. As is the nature of tropical rainfall, it could be torrential at times. The current expectation is for about 5 inches of rain, but isolated amounts up to 10 inches could be possible. Of course, as a system has yet to develop, forecast confidence is lower at this time but will increase through the week. If you live in the Baton Rouge area, it will be important to get weather updates through the week. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: Showers and thunderstorms have continued over the Bay of Campeche in association with a broad area of low pressure. Gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico.  The system should begin to move northward by midweek, and there is a 70 percent chance that a tropical depression forms late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Bill formed on Monday evening off of the coast of North Carolina. A depression first formed earlier in the day. The storm will not harm land while accelerating away from the United States and then dissipating Wednesday.

 

A strong tropical wave located several hundred miles south- southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is maintaining a large but disorganized area of shower and thunderstorm activity. There is a 20 percent chance of some development of this system before a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds limit any chance of formation while the wave is over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean late this week.

For the latest forecast and preparation reminders, visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: The middle of the week will be warm and mostly dry as the eastern perimeter of an upper level ridge nudges overhead. This ridge will increase sinking air processes, which contribute to warming temperatures and work against convective development. Additionally, sitting on the eastern fringes of the ridge, upper level winds will be out of the north and drier. While this too works to suppress showers and thunderstorms, any updrafts that can form in the warm air mass could tap into this dry air to create gusty wind in thunderstorms. Therefore, while Tuesday through Thursday will not be completely dry, most locations will miss rain—especially Wednesday. Into Friday, all forecast focus will be on the tropics. Confidence is low in the eventual development, track or strength of a tropical system. However, confidence is higher that the eventual evolution of this system will lead to increasing moisture in the atmosphere over the local area, which will lead to a period of wet weather. By Friday, showers and thunderstorms will develop across the area in response to increased moisture and lift in the environment on the northern fringes of the tropical disturbance. Even if it is a messy, poorly organized system, it is expected to be slow moving enough to allow periods of rain to stay in the forecast through at least Sunday morning. With near record moisture content in the atmosphere, rain could be very heavy at times and forecast models are pointing to 5 inches on the conservative end and 10 inches on the aggressive side. That alone should indicate that the local area should pay attention to the progress of this system and continue to get updates from our weather team.  

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
It'll feel like 100-105 degrees in some areas today; Watching the tropics https://www.wbrz.com/news/it-ll-feel-like-100-105-degrees-in-some-areas-today-watching-the-tropics/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/it-ll-feel-like-100-105-degrees-in-some-areas-today-watching-the-tropics/ Forecast Discussion Mon, 14 Jun 2021 6:15:04 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo It'll feel like 100-105 degrees in some areas today; Watching the tropics

The heat advisory set earlier has been canceled.  Temperatures and humidity levels are currently lower than originally expected.  Though, heat index values may still rise to 100 to 105 degrees Monday afternoon, so continue to exercise caution during outdoor activities.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: After some overnight rain, temperatures started near 70 degrees this morning. Even though we started a little cooler, temperatures will have no trouble heating into the mid 90s. The heat index will be between 100-110 degrees this afternoon. Practice good sun and heat safety today! A few showers will be around this afternoon, about 30% of the area will see rain today. Any showers will make a huge difference by dropping temperatures 10 to 15 degrees. Even if you don’t see any rain, a neighboring shower could provide some much needed shade from the sun.

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car.

Up Next: The hot and steamy afternoons are set to continue for the rest of the week. Temperatures will be in the 90s with heat index values near 100 degrees in the peak of the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 70s. Looking ahead to the weekend, tropical moisture is set to move in. Saturday and Sunday will likely be washouts with temperatures in the 80s. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.

In the Tropics:

Monday 1pm Tropical Outlook

The disturbance off the east coast of the US has formed into Tropical Depression Two. CLICK HERE to see the forecast cone.

Mid to late week the disturbance in the southern Gulf will become more organized. It has about a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 5 days. Regardless of development, it is already a rain maker. Parts of Mexico will be dealing with tropical showers and storms for the first half of the week until the disturbance starts to track north. With the current forecast information, south Louisiana will likely see some tropical showers and storms by Friday afternoon with Saturday and Sunday setting up to be washouts.

Forecast information will become clearer as we get closer to the weekend, so please check back for new updates daily. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour by hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Storms around tonight, watching for development in the Gulf https://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-around-tonight-watching-for-development-in-the-gulf/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-around-tonight-watching-for-development-in-the-gulf/ Forecast Discussion Sun, 13 Jun 2021 9:36:31 AM Meteorologist Jake Dalton Storms around tonight, watching for development in the Gulf

** A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9PM **

Tonight and Tomorrow:
A few strong storms remain possible through this evening. Overnight, skies will be partly cloudy with lows in the mid 70s. Tomorrow, expect another hot and muggy summer day. Highs will be in the low-mid 90s, with a heat index over 100 at times in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will once again be possible, mainly in the late afternoon and evening. Rain coverage will be around 40%. 

Looking Ahead: Through Wednesday, we will be in a typical rhythm of daily afternoon shower & storm chances. Highs will be in the low-mid 90s, with a heat index over 100 in the afternoons. We may get a brief break in the rain coverage on Thursday, before tropical moisture moves into the Gulf Coast Friday-Saturday.

Click here for the 7-day forecast.

THE TROPICS:

The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for tropical development and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week. An area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche will meander there for the next few days, then slowly drift to the north or northwest. There is a lot of uncertainty this far out in time, but long range guidance continues to bring tropical moisture over our area by the end of the week.

BOTTOM LINE: Until a circulation develops the uncertainty remains very high. If/when a circulation forms, the forecast details will become more clear. The WBRZ Weather Team will continue to bring you daily updates.

-- Meteorologist Jake Dalton

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Storms possible tonight & Sunday, watching the tropics https://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-possible-tonight-and-sunday-watching-the-tropics/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-possible-tonight-and-sunday-watching-the-tropics/ Forecast Discussion Sat, 12 Jun 2021 9:57:06 AM Meteorologist Jake Dalton Storms possible tonight & Sunday, watching the tropics

Tonight and Tomorrow: Tonight, a weak disturbance will move through parts of southeast Louisiana, possibly sparking up a storm or two mainly after 10pm. Otherwise, skies will be partly cloudy with lows in the mid 70s. Tomorrow, expect high temperatures to warm into the low 90s once again. Scattered afternoon & evening storms are likely, with rain coverage around 50%. Sunday will not be a washout, but you'll want to keep an eye on the radar.

Looking Ahead: Into at least Wednesday of next week, we'll be in a typical rhythm of daily afternoon shower & storm chances. Highs will be in the low 90s, with a heat index around 102 in the afternoon. We may get a brief break in the rain coverage on Thursday, before tropical moisture moves into the Gulf Coast Friday and into next weekend.

Click here for the 7-day forecast.

THE TROPICS:


The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for potential tropical development and a tropical depression may develop by the middle of next week. An area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche will meander there for the next few days, then slowly drift to the north or northwest. At that time, models are in decent agreement that a closed low may try to develop. There is a lot of uncertainty this far out in time, but would expect at least an increase in rain chances across our area late next week.

-- Meteorologist Jake Dalton

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Hot & humid weekend, storms on Sunday https://www.wbrz.com/news/hot-and-humid-weekend-storms-on-sunday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/hot-and-humid-weekend-storms-on-sunday/ Forecast Discussion Fri, 11 Jun 2021 4:40:11 PM Meteorologist Jake Dalton Hot & humid weekend, storms on Sunday

Tonight and Tomorrow: Skies will be mostly clear overnight, with low temperatures in the mid 70s. Saturday will be mainly dry, so high temperatures will warm into the low 90s once again. Heat index values will be around 102 in the afternoon, so make sure you are staying hydrated while doing any outdoor activities.

Looking Ahead: An upper-level disturbance will move through on Sunday, creating scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region mainly in the afternoon and evening. While a washout is not expected, a back-up plan for outdoor activities may be needed. Make sure you have the WBRZ WX app downloaded to stay on top of the radar and forecast. Scattered afternoon showers/storms will likely continue into at least Tuesday as well.

THE TROPICS:


The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for potential tropical development over the next 5 days. An area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific is expected to cross into the southwestern Gulf next week, and then slowly drift to the north or northwest. At that time, models are in decent agreement that a closed low may try to develop. There is a lot of uncertainty this far out in time, but would expect at least an increase in rain chances across our area late next week.

-- Meteorologist Jake Dalton

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Triple digit heat until showers return to the forecast https://www.wbrz.com/news/triple-digit-heat-until-showers-return-to-the-forecast/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/triple-digit-heat-until-showers-return-to-the-forecast/ Forecast Discussion Fri, 11 Jun 2021 5:50:29 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo Triple digit heat until showers return to the forecast

Showers and storms will not hold off for long. Scattered showers are back before the weekend is over.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Temperatures will heat up to the low 90s with partly cloudy skies this afternoon. A stray shower will be possible, but rain chances are very low. The humidity will be high and the heat index reaching 100 in the peak of the afternoon. Overnight, it will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s.

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is at least a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car.

Up Next: Morning for the next 7 days will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s. Drier conditions will lead to warmer temperatures; afternoon highs will be in the low 90s with high humidity for Saturday. The heat index will be in the triple digits during the warmest afternoon hours and the UV index is hitting extreme levels. Be sure to practice good sun and heat safety. A larger cluster of rain in Mississippi may hold together long enough to bring a few showers late on Saturday night. Even if they don’t reach us, the moisture will be in place to spark up scattered showers again on Sunday afternoon. The day will not be a total washout, and some areas will stay totally dry. Afternoon showers will be a possibility every afternoon next week. Click here to see the 7-day forecast.

In the Tropics:

No circulation has formed yet, and it will take a few days for anything to start up. The yellow highlighted area in the southern Gulf has a low chance of developing in the next 5 days at 20%. The WBRZ Weather Team will continue to bring you daily updates. Right now there are no changes to the local forecast. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour by hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Sticky with very few showers into Saturday https://www.wbrz.com/news/sticky-with-very-few-showers-into-saturday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/sticky-with-very-few-showers-into-saturday/ Forecast Discussion Thu, 10 Jun 2021 6:03:56 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Sticky with very few showers into Saturday

Mainly quiet and sticky conditions will persist into the weekend. The long-range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has an area highlighted that we will be watching (more below).

Next 24 Hours: A few showers and thunderstorms that formed northeast of Baton Rouge will diminish beyond dusk. Nighttime lows will stop in the mid 70s beneath mostly clear skies. Your Friday will offer up repeat conditions from Thursday—a theme common during the summer months. With partly sunny skies, expect highs in the low 90s and enough humidity to drive feels-like temperatures close to 100.

Up Next: Any showers or thunderstorms will be highly isolated Saturday. Just about all of the area should stay dry through the afternoon. Again, highs will reach the low 90s with feels-like temperatures in the low 100s—perhaps for several hours. Overnight, into Sunday, we will be monitoring a complex of showers and thunderstorms north of the local area that could try to make some headway toward the I-10/12 corridor. Even if it diminishes, the remnants of those showers and thunderstorms should help to trigger scattered activity on Sunday. The clouds and areas of rain may reduce highs by a few degrees. A typical summer routine is anticipated for most of next week with highs in the low 90s, lows in the mid 70s and partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: For the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean, no tropical development is expected over the next five days. The Climate Prediction Center highlights the western Gulf of Mexico as an area which could have favorable conditions for tropical development, June 16 – 21. This Climate Prediction Center Outlook is not new, but is something our team shares with you as a “heads-up” even before the National Hurricane Center is monitoring a system that could develop. The outlook is more subjective than products that come from NHC. Finally, the outlook does not suggest any track, intensity or specific hazards. Be sure to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: A strong upper level ridge over Mexico and the Central U.S. will broaden across the country through Saturday. This will gradually bring a lowering of daily rain coverage through the end of the week and that trend will continue into Saturday. Of course, a lack of rain will push high temperatures back into the seasonably hot low 90s. By the end of the weekend, the ridge will shift slightly west and an upper level trough will dig into the eastern United States. The local area will sit between these two features in a persistent northerly steering flow. Additionally, forecast model guidance points to the axis of the eastern U.S. trough invigorating showers and thunderstorms, perhaps as far southwest as in our area, Sunday. For this reason, scattered showers and thunderstorms have been returned to the forecast for Sunday and beyond.   

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
The heat is on, Very little rain to cool things down https://www.wbrz.com/news/the-heat-is-on-very-little-rain-to-cool-things-down/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/the-heat-is-on-very-little-rain-to-cool-things-down/ Forecast Discussion Thu, 10 Jun 2021 5:38:20 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo The heat is on, Very little rain to cool things down

Hot and steamy conditions are here to stay.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Temperatures will heat up to the low 90s with partly cloudy skies this afternoon. A stray shower will be possible, but rain chances are very low. The humidity will be high and the heat index will be near 100 at the peak of the afternoon. Overnight, it will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s. 

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is at least a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car. 

Up Next: The dew point temperatures are telling the story. The air temperature can’t drop below the dew point, so that means while dew points are in the mid-70s, that’s as cold as it’s going to get. Morning for the next 7 days will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s. Drier conditions will lead to warmer temperatures, afternoon highs will be in the low 90s with high humidity. The heat index will be in the triple digits during the warmest afternoon hours and the UV index is hitting extreme levels. Be sure to practice good sun and heat safety. Into the weekend, hot and muggy all over again. Saturday temperatures will be in the low 90s. A few showers will be back in the forecast on Sunday, but it will not be a total washout. Click here to see the 7-day forecast. 

In the Tropics: The potential area of development in the Caribbean has dissipated. There are no current storms, but the long-range outlook is highlighting the Caribbean and the southern Gulf of Mexico as an area to watch for the next two weeks. The WBRZ Weather Team is watching it around the clock. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour-by-hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Into your weekend: fewer showers, higher heat https://www.wbrz.com/news/into-your-weekend-fewer-showers-higher-heat/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/into-your-weekend-fewer-showers-higher-heat/ Forecast Discussion Wed, 9 Jun 2021 5:27:48 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Into your weekend: fewer showers, higher heat

The number of showers and thunderstorms should tick down each day through Saturday. In the absence of rain, afternoons will be sultry.

Next 24 Hours: Isolated showers and thunderstorms will quickly diminish after sunset. Skies should become mostly clear. Another muggy overnight is expected with low temperatures in the mid 70s. Plenty of sun will be available through Thursday and will drive high temperatures in the low 90s. Combined with seasonably high humidity, the heat index will peak around 100 degrees during the afternoon hours. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible, but most locations in the 13 Parish, 3 County Forecast Area should stay dry.       

Up Next: Any showers or thunderstorms will be highly isolated Friday and Saturday. Just about all of the area should stay dry over that 48 hour stretch. Heat will be a bigger story with highs reaching the low 90s and feels-like temperatures in the low 100s—perhaps for several hours. Nights will not offer much relief as lows staying in the mid 70s. Onward from Sunday, enough instability and moisture should combine to add typical 30 to 40 percent rain chances across the board. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea over the next few days.  As the system moves slowly northwestward toward Central America, there is a 10 percent chance of tropical formation over the next 5 days. Be sure to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: Beginning on Thursday, a strong upper level ridge over Mexico and the Central U.S. will start to broaden across the country. This will gradually bring a lowering of daily rain coverage through the end of the week and that trend will continue over the weekend as the ridge builds overhead. One caveat is that some forecast model guidance is hinting that a band of showers and thunderstorms that develops well north of our area, could swing into town Thursday afternoon. This could lead to an uptick in rain coverage north of I-10, but for now, we are holding on to a drier outlook. Of course, a lack of rain will push high temperatures back into the seasonably hot low 90s. By the end of the weekend, the ridge will shift slightly west and an upper level trough will dig into the eastern United States. The local area will sit between these two features in a persistent northerly steering flow. Additionally, forecast model guidance points to the axis of the eastern U.S. trough invigorating showers and thunderstorms, perhaps as far southwest as in our area, Sunday. For this reason, scattered showers and thunderstorms have been returned to the forecast for Sunday and beyond.   

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
A heavy downpour possible before we dry out https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-heavy-downpour-possible-before-we-dry-out/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-heavy-downpour-possible-before-we-dry-out/ Forecast Discussion Wed, 9 Jun 2021 5:50:00 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo A heavy downpour possible before we dry out

A heavy downpour is possible with showers this afternoon. 

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: Temperatures will heat up to 90 degrees with partly cloudy skies this afternoon. A few showers will pop up, mainly east of Baton Rouge in the warmest hours of the afternoon. Some of them may be efficient rainmakers and could drop 1-2 inches of rain in isolated locations. Otherwise, showers will be small and short-lived. Overnight it will be muggy with temperatures in the 70s. 

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is at least a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car. 

Up Next: The dew point temperatures are telling the story. The air temperature can’t drop below the dew point, so that means while dew points are in the mid-70s, that’s as cold as it’s going to get. Morning for the rest of the week will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s every day. Each afternoon will be a little bit different. Thursday and Friday are trending drier with rain chances low. Drier conditions will lead to warmer temperatures, afternoon highs will be in the low 90s with high humidity. The heat index will be in the triple digits during the warmest afternoon hours and the UV index is hitting extreme levels. Be sure to practice good sun and heat safety. Into the weekend, hot, muggy, and a few showers will be back in the forecast on Sunday. Click here to see the 7-day forecast. 

In the Tropics: An area of low pressure is expected to develop and move over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in the next few days. The development chance for the next 5 days is 20%. This system could bring heavy rainfall to parts of Central America. At this time, this is not a threat to the Gulf of Mexico. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour-by-hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will not back down just yet https://www.wbrz.com/news/scattered-showers-and-thunderstorms-will-not-back-down-just-yet/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/scattered-showers-and-thunderstorms-will-not-back-down-just-yet/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 8 Jun 2021 5:09:19 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Scattered showers and thunderstorms will not back down just yet

In June, we know that steamy and sticky feel that comes without showers and thunderstorms. Dry areas should have no problem reaching the 90s in the days ahead.

Next 24 Hours: Any evening showers or thunderstorms will fizzle during the overnight hours. Beneath partly cloudy skies, low temperatures will bottom in the mid-70s, keeping a very muggy feel outside. On Wednesday, partly sunny skies will guide high temperatures into the upper 80s and low 90s. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the afternoon and evening with perhaps a bit more coverage than Monday or Tuesday. Storms should not be very long-lived, so no significant issues are expected but brief downpours and gusty wind are always possible with warm season boomers.       

It has been a while since we talked about rain coverage—the percentages on the forecast board often seen during the warm season. Here is a quick reminder about what those mean for the WBRZ Weather 13 Parish, 3 County forecast area.

10-30% - Isolated: a few locations receive measurable rain

30-60% - Scattered: part to half of the area receives measurable rain

60-100% - Widespread: almost all of the area receives measurable rain 

Keep in mind, those chances tell nothing about timing. For instance, 100% DOES NOT mean it will rain all day. We will be sure to provide information in our forecasts as to when you can expect rain when chances are on the board. MORE: https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-chance-to-remember

Up Next: Thursday is a tricky forecast. Indications are that the area should begin to trend drier but we will have to monitor and area of showers and thunderstorms well to the north that could surge south into the local area late in the day. Otherwise, the number of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast area should decline and stay in the stray or isolated category right on through Saturday. A warmer and more stable atmosphere should provide a change in fortune for saturated, rain weary areas. The partly sunny skies will easily allow temperatures to reach 90 degrees or higher. Nights will be still and sticky, in the low to mid 70s. Onward from Sunday, token 30 percent rain chances will be carried as the area looks to lock into a typical summer pattern. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea over the next few days.  As the system moves slowly northwestward toward Central America, there is a 20 percent chance of tropical formation over the next 5 days. Be sure to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: On Wednesday, the same a continuously weakening upper level trough will remain northeast of the local area. A final push of energy in the atmosphere associated with the center axis of the trough could serve as a trigger for a bit more convective development that what was observed Monday and Tuesday. Both instability and moisture will be in ample supply should this extra trigger come into play. That being said, the loss of daytime warming will lead to a repaid decay in showers and thunderstorms after sunset. Beginning on Thursday, a strong upper level ridge over Mexico and the Central U.S. will start to broaden across the country. This will gradually bring a lowering of daily rain coverage through the end of the week and that trend will continue over the weekend as the ridge builds overhead. One caveat is that some forecast model guidance is hinting that a band of showers and thunderstorms that develops well north of our area, could swing into town Thursday afternoon. This could lead to an uptick in rain coverage, but for now, we are holding on to a drier outlook. Of course, a lack of rain will push high temperatures back into the seasonably hot low 90s. By the end of next weekend, or early next week, an upper level trough moving out of Canada will swoop south and dampen the ridge leading to a return of more typical, afternoon showers and thunderstorms.       

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Hot and muggy, A few showers still in the forecast https://www.wbrz.com/news/hot-and-muggy-a-few-showers-still-in-the-forecast/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/hot-and-muggy-a-few-showers-still-in-the-forecast/ Forecast Discussion Tue, 8 Jun 2021 5:51:16 AM Meteorologist Marisa Nuzzo Hot and muggy, A few showers still in the forecast

While rain is still in the forecast, the dry hours will outnumber the wet ones.

THE FORECAST

Today & Tonight: After a mainly dry afternoon on Monday, a few showers will be around for Tuesday. It will be very muggy with temperatures approaching 90 degrees and the heat index approaching triple digits this afternoon. Any showers will cool things off. The showers and storms this afternoon will be more likely for areas east of Baton Rouge and about 40% of the area will see a shower today. Overnight, we won’t have much cooling. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s. 

Sun and Heat Safety: Some friendly reminders for your summer of fun events—sunburn can occur in less than 15 minutes with the extreme U.V. Index typical of this time of year. In addition to that, heat exhaustion and heat stroke can set in just as quickly. Seek medical attention if you or somebody you know is affected. While we all enjoy a list of cool beverages, be sure water is at least a part of that list! Finally, look before you lock. DO NOT leave people or pets in an unattended car. 

Up Next: The dew point temperatures are telling the story. The air temperature can’t drop below the dew point, so that means while dew points are in the mid-70s, that’s as cold as it’s going to get. Morning for the rest of the week will be muggy with temperatures in the mid-70s every day. Each afternoon will be a little bit different. On Wednesday, showers will be more numerous, and all areas have an equal chance of seeing rain. Afternoon temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s with high humidity. Thursday and Friday are trending drier with rain chances low. Drier conditions will lead to warmer temperatures, afternoon highs will be in the low 90s with high humidity. Into the weekend, hot, muggy, and a few showers possible on Saturday and Sunday. Click here to see the 7-day forecast. 

In the Tropics: By Wednesday or Thursday, an area of low pressure is expected to develop and move over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The development chance for the next 5 days is 30%. This system could bring heavy rainfall to parts of Central America. At this time, this is not a threat to the Gulf of Mexico. Click here to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center.

Need weather conditions HOUR BY HOUR? Get hour-by-hour weather and right now weather conditions for your location on the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates and unique weather insight from the whole team!


Permalink| Comments


]]>
Saturated Baton Rouge area looks to a drying trend https://www.wbrz.com/news/saturated-baton-rouge-area-looks-to-a-drying-trend/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/saturated-baton-rouge-area-looks-to-a-drying-trend/ Forecast Discussion Mon, 7 Jun 2021 5:28:36 PM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Saturated Baton Rouge area looks to a drying trend

To date, 2021 has been the wettest year on record at Metro Airport with data going back to 1930. Though we could add to those totals early in the week, the threat for additional flooding has diminished.  

Next 24 Hours: Any evening showers or thunderstorms will fizzle during the overnight hours. Beneath partly cloudy skies, low temperatures will bottom in the low 70s. A muggy morning with some sunshine will see high temperatures reach the upper 80s by early afternoon. With the peak daytime warming, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected. Storms should not be very long-lived, so no significant issues are expected.      

It has been a while since we talked about rain coverage—the percentages on the forecast board often seen during the warm season. Here is a quick reminder about what those mean for the WBRZ Weather 13 Parish, 3 County forecast area.

10-30% - Isolated: a few locations receive measurable rain

30-60% - Scattered: part to half of the area receives measurable rain

60-100% - Widespread: almost all of the area receives measurable rain 

Keep in mind, those chances tell nothing about timing. For instance, 100% DOES NOT mean it will rain all day. We will be sure to provide information in our forecasts as to when you can expect rain when chances are on the board. MORE: https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-chance-to-remember

Up Next: The pattern of scattered, afternoon showers and thunderstorms will continue on Wednesday. By the end of the week, a warmer and more stable atmosphere should provide a change in fortune for saturated, rain weary areas. Thursday through Saturday should be mainly dry with 20 percent coverage or less in afternoon showers. The partly sunny skies will easily allow temperatures to reach 90 degrees or higher. Nights will be still and sticky, in the low to mid 70s. CLICK HERE for your full 7-Day Forecast.

The Tropics: An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday. There is a 20 percent chance of some gradual development as the system moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. Be sure to visit the WBRZ Hurricane Center as we navigate all 183 Days of Hurricane Season.

The Explanation: An upper level trough will continue to weaken north of the area on Tuesday. Still, this mechanism will provide enough instability and with the axis of the trough, technically west of the area, some aid in lift as well. Atmospheric moisture will remain above average on Tuesday and so scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially north of I-12, closer to the upper level trough. Any outflow boundaries from previous storms may serve as a focus for initiation of new development. After a quiet night, one more repeat is in store for Wednesday. Beginning on Thursday, a strong upper level ridge over Mexico and the Central U.S. will start to broaden across the country. This will gradually bring a lowering of daily rain coverage through the end of the week and that trend will continue over the weekend as the ridge builds overhead. Of course, a lack of rain will push high temperatures back into the seasonably hot low 90s. By the end of next weekend, or early next week, an upper level trough moving out of Canada will swoop south and dampen the ridge leading to a return of more typical, afternoon showers and thunderstorms.        

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App on your Apple or Android device. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


Permalink| Comments


]]>