Posted: Aug 21, 2014 5:37 AM by Meteorologist Josh Eachus
Updated: Aug 21, 2014 8:00 AM
Early sunshine will promote a rapid warmup into the mid-90s. By afternoon we should see a few cumulus clouds as thermometers chug into the upper 90s. The high temperatures combined with oppressive humidity will make the body sense over 100° outside for many hours this afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms may once again pop up during the afternoon hours.
Overnight will be quiet but sticky with lows in the mid-70s.
We continue to watch a disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms east of the Lesser Antilles-Invest96L. The National Hurricane Center forecasts a 70% chance of development for this system over the next 5 days. The area of low pressure has many obstacles to overcome including a path over many mountainous islands and some dry air aloft. Should it survive that, over the next week or so it could move in South Atlantic or Caribbean Sea waters more conducive for development. While erratic and unreliable with a storm not even formed yet, forecast models have taken a much more northern and eastern track with this system. As of now, the southern and western most model still keeps this system east of Florida.
More than a week out, there is very little skill in forecast models-especially with tropical systems, however anything in the tropics warrants attention as we enter the peak of hurricane season. As always, stay prepared.