Warm and sticky temperatures will continue with the daily shot for a pop-up shower or storm.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Expect Tuesday to bring humidity and a high temperature in the mid 80s beneath partly sunny skies. A stray shower may develop in the afternoon hours—but the chance appears to be very low. Southerly winds of 5-10mph will continue. Overnight, skies will be mostly clear with a low near 70 degrees.

Up Next: The forecast for Wednesday and Thursday will be similar. Afternoons will be warm and humid with a pop-up shower or thunderstorm possible. Daily highs and lows will be in the mid 80s and low 70s respectively. On Friday, a cold front will slide into the region bringing increased coverage in showers and thunderstorms, but this will give way to drier air and more sunshine for the weekend.       

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion:  As atmospheric heights have fallen, there is just a little bit of instability available for the development of showers and thunderstorms. Lacking will be deep layer moisture and any large scale forcing mechanisms. Continued onshore flow will result in slightly warmer than average low temperatures and increased humidity. By Friday, a stubborn upper level trough over the Midwest will eject northeastward into Canada and the axis of this trough will help to push a cold front toward the Gulf of Mexico. With this feature, a bit more organized convection is expected. The forecast may show increasing rain chances for Friday through the week to account for more widespread activity along the front. Beyond the front, drier air will enter the region due to a weak northerly wind associated with a broad area of high pressure in the Midwest. In the upper levels, a zonal flow will likely keep temperatures closer to average.        

--Josh

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