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Sun, gradual warming

1 year 2 months 1 week ago January 12, 2016 Jan 12, 2016 Tuesday, January 12 2016 January 12, 2016 5:49 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather

Keep the layers handy as we head into midweek.

 

THE FORECAST:

 

Today and Tonight: While still chilly, Tuesday Afternoon will feel a bit more becoming of January normalcy with a high in the upper 50s. Once again, sunshine will be the main player in the skies. Winds are expected to remain light. Save for a few high clouds, overnight will be mostly clear and chilly with a low in the mid 30s.  

 

Up Next: Wednesday will show the region one more dry and sunny day. A gradual warming trend will continue with highs stretching for 60. Overnight, increasing clouds will result in lows staying up quite a bit—in the low to mid 40s. By Thursday, skies should be mainly cloudy with rain arriving late. Showers could linger into Friday as well.

THE SCIENCE: 

Forecast Discussion: High pressure remains the driver of the regional weather pattern. Centered over the Central Gulf Coast, winds have been light and variable with skies mostly clear. A few upper level impulses have managed to generate a few high clouds over the last 24 hours and this could continue to be there case through Wednesday Morning. However, the bottom line remains that a dry atmosphere and subsidence resulting from the surface high will keep ample sunshine and zero threat for rain through Wednesday. On Thursday a shortwave trough sliding over the baroclinic Texas Gulf Coast will help to develop a surface low pressure system. This low will track east-northeastward along the Gulf Coast spreading a shield of rain. While timing still needs ironed out a bit, right now it looks as though some rain could begin Thursday Evening and persist into Friday Afternoon. At this time, forecast models are not overly aggressive keeping most of the activity on the storm’s eastern side and thus more of a cloudy, showery pattern for the local area. Another cold front will pass the region next weekend with another shot of below average temperatures Sunday into next week.

 --Josh

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