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Still steamy, more relief in store though

5 months 1 week 9 hours ago June 28, 2016 Jun 28, 2016 Tuesday, June 28 2016 June 28, 2016 5:57 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather

Early heat and steam over the next few days will give way to returning showers and thunderstorms.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: A weak front will tap into ample heat and humidity to spark off showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Coverage will be fairly robust, meaning that most of the forecast area will pick up rain. As is typical with summer storms, downpours and frequent lightning can be expected. Prior to the showers, highs will top out around 90 degrees. Activity will begin to diminish overnight while lows stay muggy and in the mid 70s. 

 

Up Next: More scattered showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Wednesday, although forecast area coverage may be a tick lower with more action found along and south of the interstates. Highs will still make it into the low 90s but humidity will begin to scale back a bit. This is more likely to be noticed into Thursday and Friday as no more than a stray shower is found on the slightly less humid northern side of the front. To end the week, highs will be in the low 90s with lows in the mid 70s. If you’re already making plans for Independence Day Weekend, the outdoors should face minimal weather interruption—though that means the heat will be back in full swing.      

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion:  The ridge responsible for recent heat and relatively dry weather has retreated westward into Texas while an upper level trough is moving into the Eastern United States. The subtle drop-off in pressure and temperatures aloft will help to destabilize the atmosphere for more vigorous shower and thunderstorm development over the next few afternoons—there is certainly no shortage of unstable air ready to rise at the surface! The upper trough may help to guide a very weak cold front into the area Tuesday and Wednesday which would act as an additional trigger for showers and thunderstorms. With the added action, afternoon temperatures will be fairly limited compared to where they have been. Highs will generally be around 90 degrees on account of earlier clouds and showers. By Thursday, the weak upper level trough and surface front will lose their influence on the region as the ridge builds back overhead. Fortunately, the front will leave behind a brief time of northerly surface winds which will keep dew points, or humidity down compared to the last several days. Therefore, even though the ridge will lead to mostly sunny skies and hot temperatures, the comparatively lower humidity will lead to feels-like temperatures no worse than the last few days. Expect those conditions to persist through Fourth of July.  

--Josh

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