Showers today, break tomorrow
This afternoon should provide our final bout of scattered action before some drier weather eases in for the next few days.
Today and Tonight: Again we can look for a fast warm up through the 70s and 80s to near 90 before some afternoon showers and thunderstorms develop. Any rain will begin later today than it did Monday and Tuesday. The action has been scattered about the last few days and should be so this afternoon with about 40% areal rain coverage. Tonight, showers will slacken but temperatures will stay sticky in the mid 70s.
Looking Ahead: Thursday and Friday will offer a drier stretch for Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi. We can expect partly sunny afternoons with highs topping out in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be stubborn and in the 70s. A pop-up shower or storms appears possible on Saturday Afternoon, but save for a few minutes inside to get away from lightning, outdoor plans will be a go.
Forecast Discussion: An upper trough is lifting and pulling away from the Southeastern United States. Prior to that, one last bit of energy will try to cycle around the trough basin and bring an enhanced chance of afternoon showers on Wednesday. Water vapor imagery is showing a bit of a clockwise flow over the region aloft which could serve to lessen shower development compared to Tuesday. High resolution models seem to agree with this notion as they are not as robust with the afternoon storm coverage. After the trough exits, a slight upper level and surface ridge of higher pressure will settle into place serving to lessen shower and thunderstorms chances Thursday and Friday. Energy will be tough to come by and away from coastal influences, most locations will keep it dry. For the weekend and beyond, forecast models are hinting at a developing upper ridge across the south-this would promote a drier and hotter weather pattern.
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