Showers stay isolated today
At least the weather is behaving as expected this week with no real surprises. Wednesday's forecast of 20% rain coverage in the WBRZ viewing area verified well.
Showers and thunderstorms will again be isolated this afternoon.
Today and Tonight: A few more showers and thunderstorms will be possible today compared to yesterday. After morning clouds and sprinkles, partly sunny skies will return with temperatures getting into the mid 80s. Deeper clouds will bubble up during the afternoon-a few of which may produce showers and thunderstorms. Rain will fall over about 30% of the WBRZ viewing area. Overnight we'll keep it muggy and near 70° with the possibility of a lingering shower.
Looking Ahead: Friday will feature more ingredients to support widespread showers and thunderstorms. An unsettled day with mostly cloudy skies will hold temperatures in the mid 80s with most locations finding showers and thunderstorms-especially from the mid-morning hours onward. Then, we should pick up a bit of sun each day this weekend with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the low 70s. However, the pattern remains favorable for showers and storms to spark off during the afternoon hours. It's not time to cancel plans yet, but have eyes to the sky and access to weather updates.
Forecast Discussion: An upper trough swinging through the Texas Big Bend into the Great Plains States will pinwheel lobes of energy through our region today and tomorrow. These disturbances, timed right in the afternoon, will likely be able to tap into daytime heating and trigger showers and thunderstorms. The atmosphere remains unstable and therefore it won't take much to get action going. More moisture and a more favorable flow aloft certainly makes Friday look like the day in which convection will be more widespread and potentially heftier. Over the weekend, deep southwesterly flow will remain. While upper-level forcing or lift isn't as pronounced, with instability in place, in won't take much to fire off afternoon storms. Lake and sea breezes will likely do the trick with a 40-50% chance (or coverage) of showers each day. Fairly stagnant in this pattern, don't look for much variation in temperatures either. Highs will be at or just above average in the mid-upper 80s with above average lows near 70s. Into next week, expect more of the same.
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