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Showers and storms through Monday Afternoon

9 months 2 weeks 6 days ago February 15, 2016 Feb 15, 2016 Monday, February 15 2016 February 15, 2016 5:58 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather Center

One or two strong thunderstorms are possible as a fast-moving system pushes through the area today.

 

THE FORECAST:

 

Today and Tonight: Unfortunately, your new week will begin unsettled, hopefully only on the weather front. Look for cloud cover, showers and a few thunderstorms from morning into late afternoon. While severe weather is unlikely, we can’t rule out one or two strong thunderstorms, though the threat should be limited to locations north and east of Baton Rouge. If any storms are able to become strong today, the primary hazards would be gusty wind and hail. Highs will make a run for 70 degrees with a little humidity in the air. Skies will clear overnight with lows dropping back toward the upper 40s.


A video briefing for today's unsettled weather from Meteorologist Josh Eachus can be found right here:

 


Up Next: The rest of the week is looking quiet and mild. Sunshine is expected Tuesday through Friday with high temperatures climbing from the lower to upper 70s. Nights will be clear with lows in the low 50s. Winds will be generally light and southerly.  

THE SCIENCE: 

Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough will be moving from the Midwest to the Gulf Coast on Monday. With it, a surface low in Eastern Texas will migrate towards the Gulf Coast as well, becoming encapsulated in the mean flow aloft. The upper level winds with this system remain as they have for the last several days, suggesting only a marginal chance for severe thunderstorm development. Absent last week but more impressive now is the instability forecast. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center is highlighting the forecast area with a slight risk for severe storms and this seems appropriate given the questionable parameters. Rain is expected area wide with one or two storms perhaps getting frisky—primarily east of I-55 and north of I-12.Once this system moves out of the region, by Tuesday Morning, a surface high building in from the west will return drier air to the region. Additionally, the cool down this time won’t be significant, if at all. Temperatures are expected to remain mild to well above average as the week progresses under mainly clear skies. An upper level ridge will see to it that afternoon highs reach the mid and even upper 70s Wednesday through Friday.  

 

--Josh 

Twitter: @Josh_Eachus
Google+: Josh Eachus
Facebook: Meteorologist Josh Eachus

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