Posted: Mar 1, 2012 12:47 PM by Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum
Updated: Mar 1, 2012 12:47 PM
Source: WBRZ Weather Center
A severe weather outbreak is forecast to occur Friday Night through Saturday Morning across much of the Southeast U.S. The main area that will see this rough weather will be Northern Mississippi, Northern Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky and into the Ohio River Valley. Damaging winds of 60 mph or greater along with tornadoes can be expected across those states.
Fortunately, Louisiana will miss out on most of the severe weather. There is just a slight chance we will see some severe weather in Baton Rouge, with a better chance in Northeast Louisiana. We will still have rain and thunderstorms but they should remain below severe limits at this time.
The very warm and humid air mass ahead of a strong cold front will combine with strong winds aloft. This will make the atmosphere very unstable in those states on Friday, and allow the storms to rotate. Additionally, a squall line will likely form across the Great Plains States by Friday Night and race through the Southeast U.S.
It is ahead and along the squall line where severe weather will break out. Unfortunately, this severe weather will occur over areas that received severe weather earlier this week. The strong winds aloft will be pushed down to the ground in the storms and that is why there is a high chance of damaging winds greater than 60 mph.
We will closely watch this developing weather situation on Friday here in the WBRZ Weather Center. Again, there is just a small chance for severe weather across the Baton Rouge area.
For more details on this forecast, read the Storm Prediction Center's Day 2 Outlook.