A three day stretch of ample sunshine is ahead for Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi.

Today and Tonight: That’s more like it! Thursday will return full sunshine to the region. After a chilly start, thermometers will warm to numbers just below average, in the mid 60s. Winds are expected to be much lighter. Overnight, skies will stay clear and we feel another chilly one with lows in the upper 30s.

Up Next: Friday and Saturday will offer clear skies with highs in the mid 60s and lows in the upper 30s. Quiet weather will be carried right through the weekend. Baseball at the Box is looking great all weekend long; however, you’ll want the jacket and gloves—especially heading out to Friday Night’s game! There is a slim shot at showers on Monday and Tuesday, but widespread rain should hold off until at least Wednesday.  

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A surface high pressure is digging into the Lower Midwest as a trough hangs on in the Eastern United States. This will send a moisture starved backdoor cold front through the region this evening, doing little more than shifting winds northerly and keeping temperatures steady for another day or so. The next two days will have lows in the upper 30s and highs in the low 60s. The upper flow will turn zonal as the surface high parks over Louisiana for Saturday and allows some compressional warming. Cold morning temperatures will make it into the mid 60s by afternoon. The high will base out of Florida by Sunday introducing southerly winds and raising temperatures back above average as a result. Forecast models are in good agreement with regard to this quiet weather pattern through the weekend. By early next week, there is a hint that a weak surface trough may try to initiate some light shower action however dew points will be low and mid-level moisture appears lacking—would not expect widespread rain at this time. By Wednesday, a fairly sharp shortwave cutting through the Midwest will warrant attention. With this system, the dynamics look a little bit better and with a few days of return flow at work, there should be enough moisture for showers and thunderstorms. The surface low is looking weaker and projected to track much farther north which is better news for the local area after Tuesday’s event. So, at this point, it is too early to say whether or not we’ll deal with more severe storms—but this is the next frame worth watching for active weather.  

--Josh

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