Ready to roll
A drier and warmer pattern takes shape for the weekend—with carnival season festivities enjoying cooperative weather.
Today and Tonight: Friday will feature a sunny and mild afternoon. High temperatures will make it into the upper 60s. The Krewe of Artemis can expect clear skies and temperatures near 60 degrees as they roll at 7pm. The overnight low will drop into the mid 40s.
Up Next: Saturday will be a touch warmer with highs in the low 70s and plenty of sunshine allowing Mystique parade-goers to perhaps wear short sleeves! With the Krewe of Orion taking to the streets of Baton Rouge at 6:30pm, temperatures will remain in the 60s with little more than a passing cloud. Nighttime lows won’t fall out of the mid 50s. On Sunday, fur coats will be required for the Krewe of Mutts, but everyone else may again leave jackets at home with highs in the mid 70s under partly sunny skies.
Forecast Discussion: A surface high will set up in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday allowing winds to turn west and skies to stay clear. Positioned in Florida over the weekend, return flow will bolster highs above average and into the 70s. A few weak patches of energy will roll overhead through this time but should have little moisture to establish any more than some scarce clouds. One possible issue could be fog on Sunday and Monday Mornings as dew points rise into the low 60s. Then, a very deep trough is shown on the forecast models for early next week. This one will inspire a surface low to deepen in the Lower Midwest on Monday with a cold front charging eastward on Tuesday. At this time, we can see a fairly favorable jet stream, but it is unclear what, if any, parameters would be in place for severe weather. Regardless, a big clash in air masses always requires watching. The Storm Prediction Center has already hashed out a 15% risk area along and north of I-10 into Mississippi. Regardless, rainfall is likely during this event with all signs pointing towards a gloomy Tuesday. Much cooler than average temperatures will conclude next week with the aforementioned deep trough moving over the eastern third of the United States.
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