Pat Shingleton: "Saxby's Prediction"
Similar to predictions with Tropical Storm Karen, expectations are made based upon data and trends. In 1868 a prediction for severe storms was made on a specific day, ten months in advance. It was Christmas Day, 1868 and British naval engineer Stephen Martin Saxby made an astounding prediction. Through a London newspaper, The Standard, he believed an "atmospheric disturbance" would occur on October 5th. On October 4,1869 in the northeastern United States and Canadian Maritime Provinces a gale claimed 100 lives, destroyed homes and grounding ships. It became known as "Saxby's Gale." Saxby's prediction was based on the position of the moon, relative to the Earth. This scenario ironically repeated itself during Hurricane Lili in October