A little extra moisture gave us slightly better thunderstorm coverage yesterday and that will continue today. On any given day, not everyone will see rain, but about 40% of the forecast area will—which in turn brings temperatures down a touch. It won’t be a huge change, it will still be hot and sticky, but every little bit helps.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight:  Look that mix of sun then scattered showers again today and thus, a degree or two cooler. Highs will be near 92 degrees—close to average for the time of year. Overnight, lows in the mid 70s under mostly clear skies. Humidity is down a notch, but it remains quite sticky out there.

Up Next:  Temperatures don't fluctuate much this week, but rain chances taper slightly toward Friday, with partly sunny skies ruling all through the week otherwise. Again, after an above-average June with regard to the tropics, things have been fairly quiet the last few weeks and we aren't expecting any development over the next few days. June seemed intense, but that doesn't mean that was the precedent for the whole summer.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion:  A slight weakness between two upper ridges, in the Southeast and Southwest, will be just enough to maintain status quo pop-up thunderstorms through the beginning of the week. Areal coverage will be in the 30-50% through the period with action trailing off somewhat through time. Most of the development will be driven by daytime heating so the daily window will be from 11am - 5pm. By the week end, there are signs of a returning ridge overhead, capping off convection and sending temperatures back above average-- possibly for some of the hottest readings so far this season. 

 --Josh

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