No rest for the soggy
We can expect more showers and thunderstorms, some of which may create additional heavy rain.
Today and Tonight: The call for today is a tough one. It appears as though another area of heavy storms could develop through the day; however the overnight action may have stabilized the atmosphere enough to trim back intensity today. No less, with the National Weather Service mentioning flood potential, we’ll continue to caution for that possibility as well. The call—mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms, some of which could be heavy. Highs will be in the low 80s with lows around 70.
Looking Ahead: The persistent and unsettled pattern will continue for the next several days. Wednesday through Friday, we can expect more than half of the WBRZ viewing to pick up rain each afternoon with highs staying in the mid 80s and lows remaining around 70. Again, a few storms may bring downpours and frequent lightning with isolated damaging wind gusts.
Forecast Discussion: An upper trough and associated wave of energy is carving through the Midwest and Mississippi River Valley. As the wave and accompanying increased lift move over the Louisiana Gulf Coast, where ample instability is in place, efficient, rain-making thunderstorms will develop. Fortunately, the most favorable wind conditions aloft to support severe weather will be north of the area, but the strong downdrafts with area storms could along be enough for some gusty winds. In addition, the water-logged storms will generate dangerous cloud to ground lightning. There is some question as to how this will play out into the afternoon hours as convective overturning from the active morning storms may limit development later. With enough drying and warming, we could see a weak shortwave help to spark off some more late day rain. We’ll watch how this evolves through the day but confidence is not too high in the near term forecast. Action will translate eastward into the overnight hours. The remainder of the week reverts back to the same old pattern of daytime instability triggering midday to early evening pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Still, downpours will be possible with some of these storms.
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