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Lower coverage in afternoon showers

10 months 4 weeks 2 hours ago June 30, 2016 Jun 30, 2016 Thursday, June 30 2016 June 30, 2016 12:03 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather

As the diurnal shower machine starts to fizzle, hotter and drier weather will be returning this weekend.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Partly sunny skies and isolated thunderstorms are in the forecast for Thursday, although forecast area rain coverage will be lower. Highs will squeak into the low 90s with humidity still present, albeit a touch lower. Your overnight hours will be quiet with lows in the low to mid 70s.

Up Next: Some relatively drier air will make its way across our area this weekend, bringing area rain coverage down to a minimum. This will also allow high temperatures to climb back into the mid 90s. Overall, the extended Independence Day Weekend will be warm and a bit humid, though not quite as oppressive as the previous weekend. Expect mostly sunny skies while afternoon highs will head for the mid 90s. An isolated, afternoon shower isn’t impossible, but a low probability.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion:  An upper trough and weak cold front have been focal points for shower and thunderstorm develop over the last three days. The front has more or less become only a trough with no distinct difference in temperature or humidity on either side. This is expected to fade along with development of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, although some isolated action may bubble when daytime highs are reached. A weak ridge moving over the region should halt action Friday and Saturday. While afternoon feels-like temperatures have been comparatively lower, they will approach 100 today and through the weekend. Highs will generally be around 90 the lower 90s. In between ridges on Sunday and Monday, that little “weakness” in the atmosphere, may be enough to bring isolated showers and thunderstorms back into the forecast. Then again, as that weak upper level trough and surface front lose their influence on the region, a larger ridge of high pressure will build back overhead for the middle of next week leading to some very hot conditions. Highs will be in the mid 90s with low sin the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies.

--JoshFor updates, stay connected with Meteorologist Josh Eachus:

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