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Local area continues cooling as U.S. monitors Matthew

10 months 2 weeks 6 days ago Thursday, September 29 2016 Sep 29, 2016 September 29, 2016 6:05 AM September 29, 2016 in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather

Yet another front will pass through the region continuing a downward trend in temperatures.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: On Thursday, skies will stay sunny despite another cold front rolling through the region. This front will come with little fanfare, though a reinforcing pop of cooler and drier air is expected. Depending on arrival time, afternoon highs could stop anywhere from the low to mid 80s. An overnight push into the Gulf of Mexico will leave skies clear and lows heading for the upper 50s!

Up Next: Friday through Sunday will feature very nice weather for any and all outdoor activities including high school football, tailgating and of course college football. Mornings may be on the cool side with temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s while afternoons get a little warmer each day from the low 80s Friday to the mid 80s Sunday. Sunshine will be at a maximum. Humidity? Forget about it.

The Tropics: Tropical Storm Matthew has moved into the Eastern Caribbean Sea, continuing a westward journey at 15mph. On Thursday Morning, maximum sustained winds were at 70mph with a minimum central pressure of 995mb. Matthew is expected to continue west through Friday, strengthening into a category one hurricane. However, track uncertainty is very high beyond that. As of now, the majority of tropical forecast models show a distinct right turn, to the north, and that is reflected in the National Hurricane Center official forecast. However, the always steady European model continues to display a few outcomes that involve the Gulf of Mexico. There is no cause for alarm right now—chances favor the official NHC track—however it is too early to call the local area completely off the hook. As always during hurricane season, review your plans and check the kit as preparedness never hurts! For an even more detailed video analysis, CLICK HERE


THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough over the Great Lakes Region will begin to meander southeastward into the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic States through the end of the week. At the surface, a center of low pressure, also in the Great Lakes Region, and a broad area of high pressure in the Midwest will help to maintain a funnel of northerly winds toward the Gulf Coast and send a secondary cold front through the area Late Thursday. This front will come by dry, but reinforce the cooler air and send temperatures a few degrees below average Friday and possibly Saturday. Lows will be in the upper 50s with Friday’s highs potentially struggling to leave the upper 70s. All outdoor plans are on track through the weekend as afternoons bring much sunshine and humidity is virtually absent. By next week, more of a zonal pattern will take shape. While temperatures will slowly moderate, west to east upper level flow will keep moisture at bay. For that reason, rain is unlikely right through next Wednesday. Another deep trough will dig into the west by the middle of next week. Not only could this bring the eventual next chance of rain and subsequent cold front for the following weekend, but it may also help to steer any tropical energy away from the Gulf of Mexico.

You can stay in touch with Meteorologist Josh Eachus on FACEBOOK and TWITTER.

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