As of 7pm Friday, Invest 99L remained an unorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the Central Bahamas. This area of low pressure has survived the harshest conditions it will encounter and convection has increased through the day. However, upper level winds remain hostile for further development in the near term.

As the system exits a pocket of dry air, conditions may become a bit more favorable for development as Invest 99L nears the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. The National Hurricane Center gives the wave a 50-percent chance of becoming a named storm over the next five days.

Still, residents in The Bahamas and Southern Florida should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development, heavy rain and some wind are possible in those areas over the weekend.

For Louisiana, it is important to remember this system is just a messy cluster of clouds. Without a well-defined center, Invest 99L will not be classified as a tropical cyclone. Additionally, such poor organization makes it very difficult for often reliable forecast models to pinpoint a track or intensity. Certainly, don’t let your guard down. Use this as a reminder of all that hurricane season preparation in June. Review your storm plan and stay in touch with the forecast. Seek out and share good information from the WBRZ Weather Team and the National Hurricane Center.

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