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Easter Weekend: dry to wet

11 months 4 weeks 8 hours ago March 25, 2016 Mar 25, 2016 Friday, March 25 2016 March 25, 2016 5:35 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather Center

The next two days will bring quiet weather to the region before rain returns on Easter Sunday.


Wasn't rain in the forecast yesterday? What happened? Click here for the science.


THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Good Friday will offer abundant sunshine and high temperatures just a tick below average, around 70 degrees. Winds will be light and northerly. Overnight will be clear and seasonably cool with a low around 50 degrees.

Up Next: Easter Weekend is best examined in two parts. Saturday will be partly sunny and mild with a high temperature in the upper 70s. If your egg hunt or cookout plans are weather dependent—this is your day. Sunday will return unsettled weather to the region with periods of rain and thunderstorms. Temperatures will top out in the middle 70s. Sunny skies and seasonable temperatures are then on tap for Monday and Tuesday.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: Thursday’s cold front is now southeast of the local area—and it will stay there, for now. A surface high will move from Arkansas to the Great Lakes over the next two days, maintaining mostly clear skies and promoting a wind shift from north to east. By Saturday Night, a shortwave trough racing across the country will help to pull the old front back north as a warm front. Moisture will return to the atmosphere setting the stage for unsettled weather. While the boundary will fizzle over land, it, with the shortwave, will aid in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Stratiform rain will turn convective by the afternoon and thus periods of rain and storms are expected through the day. A cold front will sweep across the region on Sunday Night, eliminating rain and returning sun for Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will be near normal through the early part of next week. We continue to monitor middle of next week as forecast models are showing a very deep trough digging into the Western U.S. This will bring another round of rain and thunderstorms to the region and the Weather Prediction Center is hashing out a swath of 1-3” of precipitation for the local area.

--Josh

Twitter: @Josh_Eachus

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