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Crummy weather to close carnival season

1 year 8 months 5 days ago February 16, 2015 Feb 16, 2015 Monday, February 16 2015 February 16, 2015 5:06 AM in Weather
Source: WBRZ Weather Center
By: Meteorologist Josh Eachus

After nearly perfect carnival season weather, Lundi Gras will be wet, while Mardi Gras will be chilly.


Today and Tonight: Your week will start off wet and milder than is typical for the middle of February. Scattered showers will plague a gray day with highs topping out around 70°. Most of the rain will occur with a line of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm - 7pm. A rapid drop in temperatures is expected for the overnight hours as showers begin to wrap up. By morning, it will be drier but with lows ending up in the middle 30s. It is not impossible that an ice pellet or snowflake mixes in before precipitation ends, but with thermometers above freezing, no impacts would occur.

Looking Ahead: Mardi Gras day will turn out drier than expected late last week, but still no "walk in the park." Chilly temperatures will be noted-bundle up if heading out to any festivities. In many cases, high temperatures will fail to leave the 40s, as skies feature more clouds than sun. A freeze is likely into Wednesday Morning with sunshine allowing afternoon highs back into the 50s. Expect more sun on Thursday followed by a returning chance of showers for Friday.


Forecast Discussion: A storm system climbing out of Texas and northeastward into the Lower Ohio Valley will drag a cold front into the area overnight. With the front pulling through the area much quicker than anticipated days ago, colder and drier air will arrive sooner meaning a quicker end to precipitation. Additonally, an impressive pressure gradient will increase winds up to 20mph with locally higher gusts. Now, with such a strong push of cold air, it still isn't out of the question that on Monday Night a few ice pellets or snowflakes mix in as showers end, but nothing of significance is expected. On the big if that this does occur, it would most likely be relegated to Southwest Mississippi. Consequently, while Mardi Gras looks drier than formerly expected, it will also be breezy and cold. The next disturbance will move on as we approach the weekend, but as has been the case with poorly performing forecast models of late-there are timing issues with this one as well.


You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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