A new week of spring
We'll get a healthy dose of spring weather this week with warmth, humidity, showers and storms all included.
Today and Tonight: Your Monday, like Easter Sunday will include some shower and thunderstorm activity during the afternoon hours. Skies will offer a lot of clouds otherwise. High temperatures will make it to near 80° by early afternoon before showers ease thermometers back into the 70s. Overnight, showers will come to an end but clouds and fog will linger. Expect the first of many muggy mornings this week as Tuesday wake up temperatures will be in the mid 60s.
Looking Ahead: Tuesday through Thursday will be warm and humid with highs in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 60s. Afternoon skies will be partly sunny and while a pop-up shower or storm can't be eliminated from the forecast, especially Thursday, no washouts are foreseen. Beyond that, we'll need to keep an eye on the Friday to Sunday timeframe as several washouts could be in the cards.
Forecast Discussion: A warm front will be lifting north through the region on Monday. As this front serves as a lifting mechanism for a moist air mass, an advancing mid-level wave out of Texas will add another trigger giving us confidence in a modest spread of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon hours. Once the front clears north, the Gulf will be open as they say and moisture will stream in over the next several days. Expect steamy afternoons with highs in the mid to upper 80s through Wednesday. A lack of triggers will likely keep shower and thunderstorms very isolated to non-existent with the best chances hanging on to coastal areas where lake and sea breezes generate more activity. By late Thursday, Friday and Saturday a cold front will slowly settle into the region and stall. This nearly stationary boundary with a number of mid-level disturbances waltzing by overhead will be the impetus for widespread showers and thunderstorms. On top of that, we'll have had a week to really saturate the region with plenty of Gulf of Mexico moisture. Scenarios like this tend to favor times of training thunderstorms and thus we'll need to watch this period for some potentially heavy rain over a number of days. Stay tuned!
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