WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ WBRZ Weather Weather en-us Copyright 2014, WBRZ. All Rights Reserved. Feed content is not avaialble for commercial use. () () Tue, 2 Sep 2014 23:09:22 GMT Synapse CMS 10 WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ 144 25 Just Dolly http://www.wbrz.com/news/just-dolly/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/just-dolly/ Weather Tue, 2 Sep 2014 3:33:22 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Just Dolly

As many head back to work and school, our weather pattern digs into a state of normal for the week ahead.

Tuesday will feature an early, hazy sunshine and a quick warm up into the lower 90s. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are again expected during the afternoon hours.

The nighttime will bring a close to most shower activity and send temperatures back into the mid-70s.

Tropical Storm Dolly was named in the Bay of Campeche early Tuesday Morning. As of 4am CDT on Tuesday, the storm was positioned about 200 miles east of the Mexican Coast. Dolly has maximum sustained winds of 45mph and a minimum central pressure of 1005mb. Some slight strengthening is possible before the tropical cyclone turns west-northwest and makes landfall in Mexico on Wednesday Morning. The storm poses no threat to the local area.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Onward to cooler temperatures http://www.wbrz.com/news/onward-to-cooler-temperatures/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/onward-to-cooler-temperatures/ Weather Mon, 1 Sep 2014 10:07:25 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Onward to cooler temperatures

The average high on August 1 and August 31 is 92°. You can't get much more stagnant than that. However, as we journey into September, we'll find our average high temperature going from 92°, to 85° by the end of the month! Highs in the 80's! It's amazing! Average lows will be in the mid 60's by the end of the month.


Granted, we've been fairly cool this summer (all year really). The highest temperature we've experienced all year is only 96°, and we've hit that mark twice during the "hottest weekend of the year" on the 23rd and 24th.


As far as precipitation goes, we normally see about 5.68 inches in August. This past August, we saw 5.64. This isn't a huge difference. In September, we usually see a little less; around 4.54 inches. Severe weather also becomes more common in September as cold fronts become more numerous and the atmosphere is changing.


Not a bad year thus far, but will cooler temperatures overall segway into another cool winter with chances of snow? Only time will tell.

 

On Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

On Twitter: @RG3wbrz

 


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Labor Day Forecast http://www.wbrz.com/news/labor-day-forecast/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/labor-day-forecast/ Weather Mon, 1 Sep 2014 3:36:32 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Labor Day Forecast

Your Labor Day will be warm and steamy with highs in the lower 90s. Morning sunshine will give way to some convective clouds this afternoon and even a few thundershowers but coverage won't be nearly as widespread as Saturday.

Overnight, any showers will diminish and lows will keep to the mid-70s.

Little change in the weather is expected through this week ahead.

There is only one area of action being monitored by the National Hurricane Center. An organized cluster of showers and thunderstorms on the Yucatan Peninsula is beginning to move westward into a warm Bay of Campeche. The complex is likely to organize into a tropical depression as it continues on a westerly track. Regardless of further development, heavy rain is expected on the Yucatán and in Eastern Mexico. There is currently no threat to the United States mainland.

For much more, visit our weather blog.

 


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Wet weather for football fans http://www.wbrz.com/news/wet-weather-for-football-fans/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/wet-weather-for-football-fans/ Weather Fri, 29 Aug 2014 6:23:36 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Wet weather for football fans

Today: Friday will begin with sunshine and a warmup into the lower 90s before afternoon clouds, showers and thunderstorms develop. Activity is expected to be a bit more than Wednesday and Thursday with scattered coverage in the rain department.

Tonight: The area will maintain humidity, cloud cover and spotty showers, with a ramp up in rain intensity and coverage expected near dawn Saturday. Temperatures will keep to the mid-70s.

Saturday Washout: As far as any long duration outdoor activities go, Saturday's weather will not cooperate. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to be widespread and heavy at times, especially for the Baton Rouge area and points to the west. It will stay humid but with clouds and rain, temperatures will keep to the 80s.

Timing: Rain will begin shortly after (if not before) dawn and be scattered about through the afternoon hours. Only brief, lighter showers will linger into the evening hours.

Amounts: Generally, 1-3" of rain will fall with locally higher totals. Forecast models pin the heaviest action along the coast from Morgan City to Lake Charles. There, upwards of 4" may fall.

Hazards: Heavy downpours will pose a risk for flash flooding. Locations stuck under particularly strong storms could quickly pick up 2-3" creating ponding water and bulging bayous.

Impacts: Of course, ponding of water on roadways means travel could be complicated for LSU and Southern fans traveling westward to Houston and Lafayette for their respective games. Leave early and drive slowly through heavier pockets of rain. I-10 from Lafayette to Houston is where the highest rainfall totals are anticipated on Saturday. Also, if tailgating, be sure to have a backup plan if you hear thunder. It is not safe to be outdoors with lightning in the area.

Sunday & Labor Day: Sunday will have a little less rain coverage with early sunshine and scattered afternoon thundershowers. Labor Day will be partly sunny with only a pop-up afternoon shower or storm. Highs both days will be in the low 90s.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Anniversary: Isaac comes inland http://www.wbrz.com/news/anniversary-isaac-comes-inland/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/anniversary-isaac-comes-inland/ Weather Thu, 28 Aug 2014 8:21:38 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Anniversary: Isaac comes inland

It has been exactly two years since a hurricane has made landfall in the state of Louisiana.

On August 28, 2012 around 6:45pm, Hurricane Isaac came ashore near the mouth of the Mississippi River with maximum sustained winds of 80mph and a minimum central pressure of 965mb.

While the storm was a category one hurricane, geographically it was expansive, creating widespread impacts due to storm surge, heavy rain and wind.

The highest observed surge was in Shell Beach, Louisiana where a gauge rose 11.03 feet above normal tide levels. Parts of Plaquemines and St. Bernard Parishes were inundated with storm tide more than 10 feet above ground level. Higher waters likely occurred in uninhabited areas within the Federal Levee System.

Most of extreme Southeastern Louisiana experienced over 10" of rainfall causing many reports of flash flooding. 20.66" of rain was recorded in New Orleans. The Tangipahoa River at Robert crested 9.0' above flood stage. Baton Rouge received roughly 6" of rain due to the storm.

17 tornadoes were spawned by Isaac within the United States, with one EF-2 reported in Mississippi.

In the United States, 5 deaths were attributed to Isaac-one in Louisiana. A 75-year old Slidell man drowned when his car plummeted off of an I-10 on-ramp into a roadside ditch filled with 9 feet of water.

The United States damage estimate for Hurricane Isaac came out to $2.35 billion. Specifically in Louisiana, about 59,000 homes were damaged by Isaac and the storm cut power for 901,000 residences-47% of the state's power customers. 90% of the Louisiana's sugarcane crop was damaged.

See when the last hurricane landfall occurred for states other than Louisiana by clicking here.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Sun with a shower http://www.wbrz.com/news/sun-with-a-shower/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/sun-with-a-shower/ Weather Thu, 28 Aug 2014 3:38:31 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Sun with a shower

Thursday will be similar to Wednesday. Expect early sunshine and warmth to blow up some afternoon clouds which will squeeze out a couple of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will get to the lower 90s before any rain begins.

Overnight, the activity will diminish per usual and lows will stop in the low 70s.

Hurricane Cristobal was positioned about 650 miles to the southwest of Nova Scotia as of 4am Wednesday. The storm is packing winds of 75mph with a minimum central pressure of 985mb. Cristobal is moving northeast at 29mph and should continue to accelerate to the northeast over the next 48 hours with little change in strength.

There are two other disturbances being watched by the National Hurricane Center-both looking highly unlikely to develop beyond a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. One is actually the upper level disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that brought Monday's showers and storms to Southeastern Louisiana; the other is near the Lesser Antilles. A much impressive looking wave that will need monitoring is expected to push off the African coast later this week.

 


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2 years and counting http://www.wbrz.com/news/2-years-and-counting/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/2-years-and-counting/ Weather Wed, 27 Aug 2014 6:26:00 AM WBRZ Weather 2 years and counting

The last time Southeastern Louisiana has been under a hurricane warning was exactly two years ago-August 27, 2012 as Hurricane Isaac approached the coast.

Most coastal National Weather Service forecast offices have gone even longer without needing to issue such an advisory. After the quietest hurricane season since 1983 last year and a slow start to 2014 (aside from Arthur), 20 of the 24 forecast offices along the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean from Texas to Maine have gone more than two years without issuing a hurricane warning. For seven offices, it has been more than 10 years.

As far as tropical storm warnings, all 24 offices have had to issue at least one within the last five years. The last for the National Weather Service New Orleans/Baton Rouge was on October 3, 2013, as a weakening Tropical Storm Karen meandered off of the Gulf Coast.

Warnings, of course, are just the alert product indicating that hurricane or tropical storm conditions are imminent. Most of the time they verify as warranted, and in rare instances they do not.

National Weather Service hurricane and tropical storm warnings are issued for any and all locations expected to experience hurricane or tropical storm force conditions.

WBRZ meteorologists Josh Eachus and Robert Gauthreaux dug a bit deeper, beyond the wide-reaching impacts of previous tropical systems. Eachus and Gauthreaux identified the last time each coastal state took a direct hit, or had a hurricane or tropical storm make landfall within.

Here are the results:

Last Hurricane Landfall by State:

Maine: Gerda (2) | September 9, 1969
New Hampshire: None on Record
Massachusetts: Edna (1) | September 11, 1954
Rhode Island: Bob (2) | August 19, 1991
Connecticut: Carol (3) | August 31, 1954
New York: Gloria (1) |September 27, 1985
New Jersey: Sandy (ET) | October 29, 2012
Delaware: None on Record
Maryland: None on Record
Virginia: Floyd (1) | September 16, 1999
North Carolina: Arthur (2) | July, 4 2014
South Carolina: Gaston (1) | August 29, 2004
Georgia: David (1) | September 5, 1979
Florida: Wilma (3) | October 24, 2005
Alabama: Ivan (3) | September 16, 2004
Mississippi: Elena (3) | August 30, 1985
Louisiana: Isaac (1) | August 28, 2012
Texas: Ike (2) | September 13, 2008
California: Unnamed (1) | October 2, 1858
Oregon: None on Record
Washington: None on Record

Last Tropical Storm Landfall by State:

Maine: Bertha | July 14, 1996
New Hampshire: None on Record
Massachusetts: Beryl | July 20, 2006
Rhode Island: Unnamed | July 21, 1916
Connecticut: Hanna | September 6, 2008
New York: Irene |August 28, 2011
New Jersey: Hanna | September 6, 2008
Delaware: None on Record
Maryland: Hanna | September 6, 2008
Virginia: Danielle | September 25, 1992
North Carolina: Gabrielle | September 8, 2007
South Carolina: Hanna | September 6, 2008
Georgia: Chris | August 28, 1988
Florida: Andrea | June 6, 2013
Alabama: Irene | October 8, 1959
Mississippi: Cindy | July 6, 2005
Louisiana: Lee | September 4, 2011
Texas: Edouard | September 5, 2008
California: "Long Beach" | September 25, 1939
Oregon: None on Record
Washington: None on Record

Prior to Arthur in North Carolina earlier this season, the last hurricane to make landfall in the United States was Isaac in 2012, which came ashore in Southeast Louisiana. The National Hurricane Center did not classify Sandy as a tropical cyclone at the time of landfall.
The last tropical storm to come inland for the United States was Lee, also in Louisiana, in September of 2011.

The east coast state that has seen the most time pass since the last hurricane landfall is Connecticut. Carol struck in August of 1954. Connecticut's last tropical storm hit came from Hanna in 2008.

Three east coast states do not have a direct hit from a hurricane on record: New Hampshire, Delaware and Maryland. The former two, also have no record of a tropical storm landfall.

As hurricane season 2014 continues, stay up to date with the latest tropical forecasts by checking in with the WBRZ Weather Team on-air, online at wbrz.com/weather, and on social media.

Pat Shingleton:
Twitter - @Pat_Shingleton

Josh Eachus:
Twitter - @Josh_Eachus
Facebook - Meteorologist Josh Eachus
Google+ - Josh Eachus

Robert Gauthreaux:
Twitter - @RG3wbrz
Facebook - Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

WBRZ Weather:
Twitter - @2StormView
Facebook - WBRZ Weather


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Pop-up T-Showers Return http://www.wbrz.com/news/pop-up-t-showers-return-63999/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/pop-up-t-showers-return-63999/ Weather Wed, 27 Aug 2014 3:48:38 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Pop-up T-Showers Return

Your Wednesday will feature early sunshine and a quick warmup to the lower 90s. During the afternoon, clouds will develop along with a few showers and thunderstorms. Widespread activity is not anticipated, though any particularly vigorous storm cells could drop heavy rain and produce a lot of lightning.

Nighttime will mark the dissipation of showers and clearing of skies. Lows will run in the middle 70s.

Hurricane Cristobal was positioned about 400 miles to the west of Bermuda as of 4am Wednesday. The storm is packing winds of 80mph with a minimum central pressure of 983mb. Cristobal is moving north at 12mph and should accelerate to the north-northeast over the next 48 hours. Bermuda is under a tropical storm watch, but the storm should stay well west and north of the island.

There are two other disturbances being watched by the National Hurricane Center-both looking highly unlikely to develop beyond a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. One is actually the upper level disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that brought Monday's showers and storms to Southeastern Louisiana; the other is near the Lesser Antilles. A much impressive looking wave that will need monitoring is expected to push off the African coast later this week.

 


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Fewer storms, Cristobal a hurricane http://www.wbrz.com/news/fewer-storms-cristobal-a-hurricane/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/fewer-storms-cristobal-a-hurricane/ Weather Tue, 26 Aug 2014 3:40:02 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Fewer storms, Cristobal a hurricane

Aside from a coastal shower during the morning hours, sunshine and rapidly warming temperatures are expected to rule the early hours. By afternoon, some clouds will bubble up and perhaps squeeze out a spotty shower or thunderstorm, but most locations will keep dry today. Highs will make it into the mid 90s.

Overnight will be mostly clear with low temperatures in the low 70s.

Cristobal was upgraded to a hurricane yesterday by the National Hurricane Center. The storm packs maximum sustained winds of 75mph and a minimum central pressure of 987mb as of 5am Tuesday Morning. Cristobal was located 600 miles southwest of Bermuda moving north at 12mph. Despite all of the hype and speculation last week, this storm is forecast to accelerate north-northeastward and out to sea through mid-week.

Another area of disturbed weather is showing up midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde Islands. A disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms is given a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days by the National Hurricane Center.

You can also get breaking local and tropical weather updates from Meteorologist Josh Eachus on Twitter and Google+.


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Tropics reaching peak http://www.wbrz.com/news/tropics-reaching-peak/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/tropics-reaching-peak/ Weather Mon, 25 Aug 2014 9:27:56 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Tropics reaching peak

Thus far, as forecasted, the tropical season has been relatively quiet. There have been three named storms, Arthur, Bertha, and Cristobal, two of which achieved hurricane status, and likely Cristobal as well in the coming days. On average, by the final week of August, there are four named storms with at least one reaching hurricane strength.

The 2013 hurricane season was fairly quiet as well. By the end of August 2013, there were up to six named storms. Coastal residents realize how thin such stats can be, because Andrew was the first named storm in 1992, and it didn't even strike Louisiana until August 26th.

Officially, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration classifies a below-normal season as a season with four to nine tropical storms, two to four hurricanes, and zero to two major hurricanes. So far, the Atlantic Basin is well below those numbers. In a normal year there are around 12 tropical storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Typically, there is not a major hurricane until early September.

With that said, late August through the end of September marks the peak of hurricane season. Historically speaking, August finds a dramatic increase in tropical activity, as we approach the historical peak of action near September 11th. Development can be expected further east into the Atlantic and closer to Africa as tropical waves progress westward.

Below average or not, residents of the Gulf States should continue to prepare as usual during hurricane season, because it only takes one.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III weekends on News 2 at 5:30, 6 and 10. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, liking Robert on Facebook and following him on Twitter.

 


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Storms for Louisiana and the Atlantic http://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-for-louisiana-and-the-atlantic/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/storms-for-louisiana-and-the-atlantic/ Weather Mon, 25 Aug 2014 3:57:10 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Storms for Louisiana and the Atlantic

On Monday, expect partly sunny skies early, with thermometers jumping up to the lower 90s. Humidity will stay quite high. By late morning and early afternoon, showers and thunderstorms will be developing from east to west across the region. These showers and thunderstorms will be widespread and slow-moving, thus some heavy downpours will be possible. The storms could also contain gusty wind and frequent lightning.

Tonight, the showers and storms will end and skies will go partly cloudy with lows in the low 70s.

Named over the weekend, Tropical Storm Cristobal contains maximum sustained winds of 50mph and a minimum central pressure of 994mb as of 5am Monday Morning. Cristobal is located near the Bahamas and moving to the north at 3 mph. Despite all of the hype and speculation last week, this storm is forecast to accelerate north-northeastward and out to sea through mid-week.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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New weather products for more accurate forecasting and analysis http://www.wbrz.com/news/new-weather-products-for-more-accurate-forecasting-and-analysis/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/new-weather-products-for-more-accurate-forecasting-and-analysis/ Weather Fri, 22 Aug 2014 8:17:51 AM WBRZ Weather Team New weather products for more accurate forecasting and analysis

In an effort to bring you the most accurate and reliable forecasts, the WBRZ Weather Team has acquired new features with our already "state-of-the-art" weather graphics system.


You have seen our Futurecast, which is an interpretation of the Rapid Precision Mesoscale model, or "RPM." The purpose of this model is to present a 24 hour forecast with updates every three hours. It is a fairly reliable depiction of where and when we can expect rainfall.


We now have access to another model in our graphics system, the High Resolution Rapid Refresh model, or "HRRR." This high resolution model is updated hourly, and gives us a better idea of when we can expect to see thunderstorms pop up around the area, over the next 12 hours.
These two models will give us the option to show you what we believe is the best scenario, whether it's one model's forecast, the other's, or both. It allows us to give you the most updated and accurate forecast possible.

Other features we have incorporated are storm surge mapping graphics, as well as "dual-polarization" radar products. During severe weather, these radar products will enable us to observe hail more easily, as well as pick up signature radar features such as the infamous "debris balls" in relation to tornadoes.


We thank you for trusting the WBRZ Weather team with your weather forecast needs as we strive to bring you the best and the most accurate.


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Hottest weekend of the year? http://www.wbrz.com/news/hottest-weekend-of-the-year-/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/hottest-weekend-of-the-year-/ Weather Fri, 22 Aug 2014 7:39:06 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Hottest weekend of the year?

Relatively speaking, we've been on the cool side this year, but with temperatures reaching the upper 90s, we are looking at the hottest weekend of the year thus far. August is typically the hottest month in Louisiana.

An area of high pressure parked right over us will be keeping rain chances low, while raising temperatures and pumping in that extra moisture. That will make it feel a lot hotter than it actually is; more like 105 if not hotter. If you're lucky enough to catch a stray shower, then things should feel more pleasant.

Overall, shower chances are low, but not impossible. About 10% of the area should see showers today and through the weekend. Once that ridge begins to break down, our rain chances should rise as our temperatures fall into the lower 90s.

TROPICS

Watching Invest 96L, an a hurricane hunter aircraft is still scheduled to fly this afternoon. While is is a tad bit more organized, it is still fairly disorganized all together. Most models are now taking it out to sea, or at least the East Coast. Gulf entry can't be 100% ruled out, but most models agree that an upper level trough will help carry this away from the US. Little development is expected over the next few days. We could see it turn into a depression this weekend, but it still has some terrain to move over, and the high Cordillera Central mountains of Hispaniola. I'll be with you throughout the weekend with the latest updates.

On Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

On Twitter: @RG3wbrz

~RG3

 


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Warmth and Invest 96L http://www.wbrz.com/news/warmth-and-invest-96l/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/warmth-and-invest-96l/ Weather Thu, 21 Aug 2014 3:37:26 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Warmth and Invest 96L

Early sunshine will promote a rapid warmup into the mid-90s. By afternoon we should see a few cumulus clouds as thermometers chug into the upper 90s. The high temperatures combined with oppressive humidity will make the body sense over 100° outside for many hours this afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms may once again pop up during the afternoon hours.

Overnight will be quiet but sticky with lows in the mid-70s.

We continue to watch a disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms east of the Lesser Antilles-Invest96L. The National Hurricane Center forecasts a 70% chance of development for this system over the next 5 days. The area of low pressure has many obstacles to overcome including a path over many mountainous islands and some dry air aloft. Should it survive that, over the next week or so it could move in South Atlantic or Caribbean Sea waters more conducive for development. While erratic and unreliable with a storm not even formed yet, forecast models have taken a much more northern and eastern track with this system. As of now, the southern and western most model still keeps this system east of Florida.

More than a week out, there is very little skill in forecast models-especially with tropical systems, however anything in the tropics warrants attention as we enter the peak of hurricane season. As always, stay prepared.


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Don't buy the hype, steal the truth http://www.wbrz.com/news/don-t-buy-the-hype-steal-the-truth/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/don-t-buy-the-hype-steal-the-truth/ Weather Wed, 20 Aug 2014 8:48:49 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Don't buy the hype, steal the truth

It is inescapable; a few times each year, significant weather systems affect the United States. More frequently, long-term forecast models hint at the possibility of a serious weather event and nothing ever materializes. And intolerably too often, long-term weather modeling gets into the wrong hands and becomes a "hype-cast."

Tuesday Afternoon, the GFS, an American computer weather model, placed a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. As the Atlantic Basin rounds the bend into peak hurricane season, any such depiction bears watching. Forecast models like the GFS run 2-4 times daily. Meteorologists look for "run-to-run" consistency in models individually and agreement amongst many different models to increase confidence in a forecast. As of now, the two most reliable models have had a few corresponding, consistent runs to warrant attention, as does any tropical system this time of year.

Unfortunately, there are those who abuse this information and turn it into propaganda-a ploy for Facebook shares and Twitter retweets. Some have made blasphemous prophecies such as "hurricane threatens Gulf States next week." Quite simply, such a headline is an unscientific and irresponsible exclamation that contradicts the goal of a reputable meteorologist.

More troubling might be the reaction of seasoned meteorologists to this hype. They share and retweet the information themselves, of course with captions degrading the source for its bad information. Certainly worth pointing out, but also giving such a source exactly what it craves-more attention. Perhaps a more appropriate course of action would be to identify this source publicly, with a good old-fashioned "call-out." Another option, take the high road, and use time more efficiently by continuing to find and share accurate and reliable forecast data to those actively seeking out GOOD weather information.

The National Hurricane Center maintains a 50% chance of development for Invest 96L over the next five days.

The WBRZ Weather team has identified numerous obstacles Invest 96L would need to overcome for further development, including dry air and some wind shear the Caribbean Sea. Should it be able to make it through harsher conditions, forecast models carry the storm generally off to the WNW over the next 7 days.

The bottom line is, at such an early stage in the game, watching and staying prepared as usual is the extent of what should be done. Just like no outlandish forecasts should be made on one model's prediction alone, no brash life alterations should be made on long-term forecast possibilities alone.

As servants to the public with a goal of protecting life and property meteorologists can ask that you do yourself, your family and your friends a real favor. Don't buy into the hype. If you want a weather forecast to share or tweet, steal a reliable forecast from a trusted source-we won't mind.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7 a.m. and News 2 at Noon from 12-1 p.m. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Heat and a Tropical Peek http://www.wbrz.com/news/heat-and-a-tropical-peek/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/heat-and-a-tropical-peek/ Weather Wed, 20 Aug 2014 4:00:03 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Heat and a Tropical Peek

Another hot and humid day is on the horizon. Early sunshine will promote a quick warmup into the lower 90s. By midday, with thermometers in the low 90s, convective cloud development could produce an isolated shower or thunderstorm-but only about 30% of the area in Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi will receive rain today. The top out temperature will be near 94°.

The overnight hours will remain sticky and sweaty. Clouds will break but thermometers will struggle to leave the upper 70s.

There are two unorganized clusters of showers and thunderstorms approaching the Lesser Antilles. The tropical wave slightly farther west, Invest 96L, is given a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days by the National Hurricane Center. IF this system can survive harsh upper level conditions and dry air in the Caribbean Sea, there are a few forecast models that advance it towards the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week. More than a week out, there is very little skill in forecast models-especially with tropical systems, however anything in the tropics warrants attention as we enter the peak of hurricane season. As always, stay prepared.

The second wave is looking even less impressive as of Wednesday Morning and the National Hurricane Center puts its chances at 20% of development over the next 5 days.

Remember to follow @2StormView on Twitter and WBRZ Weather on Facebook for breaking tropical and local weather updates.


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Fewer showers, more heat http://www.wbrz.com/news/fewer-showers-more-heat/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/fewer-showers-more-heat/ Weather Tue, 19 Aug 2014 3:37:06 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Fewer showers, more heat

The day will be mainly sunny early with a quick warmup into the lower 90s. By noontime, vertical clouds will develop and perhaps grow enough to bring an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Although activity is expected to be far less widespread than on Monday, any storms that get wound up could provide heavy downpours and frequent lightning.

The nighttime hours mark an end to showers and a break in clouds. It will remain muggy with lows in the mid-70s.


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Like Sunday http://www.wbrz.com/news/like-sunday/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/like-sunday/ Weather Mon, 18 Aug 2014 3:48:39 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Like Sunday

Monday's weather will be similar to Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing late in the morning and moving about Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi through the late afternoon hours. Any showers and storms could produce heavy downpours, frequent lightning and gusty winds. Prior to that, partly sunny skies will warm thermometers into the low 90s.

As shower coverage diminishes during the evening hours, skies will clear. Temperatures will stay sticky in the mid-70s.

 

 

 


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Heading into the weekend http://www.wbrz.com/news/heading-into-the-weekend/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/heading-into-the-weekend/ Weather Fri, 15 Aug 2014 3:37:35 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Heading into the weekend

Warm but not terribly humid conditions will be felt under mostly sunny Friday skies. Highs will make it to the low 90s.

The overnight will have an evening cloud or two followed by the all clear and lows in the 70s again. Mugginess will be creeping back.

The weekend won't feature the same atypical August weather as did the preceding week. Saturday Afternoon will be partly sunny, warm and a bit muggy with highs into the lower 90s. In all likelihood, afternoon showers will be relegated to the coast but aren't entirely impossible inland.

By Sunday, with August humidity back in full force and plenty of afternoon sunshine and warmth, an isolated shower or thunderstorm will pop-up within about 20-30% of our viewing area of South Mississippi and Southeast Louisiana.

 


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Breaker of humidity, deflector of hurricane http://www.wbrz.com/news/breaker-of-humidity-deflector-of-hurricane/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/breaker-of-humidity-deflector-of-hurricane/ Weather Wed, 13 Aug 2014 6:42:38 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Breaker of humidity, deflector of hurricane

Barely noticeable, but undeniably welcome, an August "cold front" is providing South Louisiana and Southern Mississippi with a slight downswing in the oppressive summertime humidity. The third and most subtle such occurrence this summer will keep temperatures near or just a touch below average, but mitigate the steam to greater extent. Accustomed to sweltering August weather, you might say it can't get better this time of year. But it can.

Exactly ten years ago, from August 13-18 2004, the region had a weather two-for. A cold front that etched an unprecedented six straight days worth of records also barricaded the area from a destructive hurricane.

As reported by the New Orleans/Baton Rouge National Weather Service, on August 12, 2004 an unseasonably potent cool air mass swept south across the United States. By the morning of August 13, Baton Rouge thermometers had dropped to 60° which is 14° below average. On August 14, the first of two mornings in the 50s found a low of 59°. Five more record lows would fall on subsequent mornings, with 58° on August 15 being the coolest August temperature ever recorded in Baton Rouge. Three record lows were also set in New Orleans.

The same record-breaking cold front in South Louisiana was paramount in steering powerful Category 4 Hurricane Charley out of the Central Gulf of Mexico and unfortunately into the west coast of Florida. The storm made landfall in Cayo Costa and Punta Gorda, Florida packing winds in excess of 145mph. Charley killed eight and caused over $5 billion in property damage to the state of Florida. The storm would re-emerge in the Atlantic and make a third U.S. landfall in South Carolina as a category 1 hurricane before the same, determined cold front snagged the storm and turned it extra-tropical.

So summertime cold fronts CAN get better than this-heat relief and hurricane protection. Yes, please.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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