WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ WBRZ Weather Weather en-us Copyright 2015, WBRZ. All Rights Reserved. Feed content is not avaialble for commercial use. () () Tue, 3 Mar 2015 00:03:26 GMT Synapse CMS 10 WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ 144 25 Severe Weather Awarness Week underway http://www.wbrz.com/news/severe-weather-awarness-week-underway-70337/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/severe-weather-awarness-week-underway-70337/ Weather Mon, 2 Mar 2015 8:53:17 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Severe Weather Awarness Week underway

Meteorologically speaking, it is now severe weather season for Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi. While tornadoes, damaging thunderstorm winds, large hail, and flash floods can occur at any time of the year, now through May is the time in which these hazards most often occur. As such, the week of March 1, 2015 has been designated "Severe Weather Awareness Week" for Louisiana. So as we flip the calendar from February to March, take a few minutes each day to be sure you and your family are aware and prepared for severe weather hazards before they happen.

What can you do to be ready? Develop a severe weather plan. The National Weather Service says that post-storm interviews with survivors confirm that having a safety plan in place greatly increases the chance of survival. A successful severe weather plan consists of knowing the meanings of watches and warnings, knowing safety rules pertinent to each severe weather hazard and having a reliable source of weather and emergency information.

2014 was a quiet year for severe weather. While this is obviously good news, it does pose a slight problem in that awareness for severe weather tends to be lessened after a lull.

There were just 15 tornadoes in Louisiana-the lowest total number for the state in 20 years. On average, there are 37 tornadoes per year in Louisiana. Locally, Southeastern Louisiana only dealt with 4 tornadoes. One of these was stronger, an EF2 that touched down east of Amite just two days before Christmas. The twister took a 5 mile track taking down trees, power lines, and damaging several homes. Fortunately, there were no injuries or fatalities reported with any the Louisiana tornado events this year.

However, there were two minor injuries associated with a severe thunderstorm event that downed a tree which fell onto a house in Kentwood during a severe thunderstorm on June 24th

Throughout the week, we'll be reviewing the different types of hazards, important safety information and the meanings of watches and warnings.

Stay ahead of severe weather; stay in touch with our weather team on social media:

Facebook: WBRZ Weather
Twitter: @2StormView
@Pat_Shingleton
@Josh_Eachus
@RG3wbrz
@KellerWatts

 


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Very March http://www.wbrz.com/news/very-march/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/very-march/ Weather Mon, 2 Mar 2015 4:17:09 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Very March

March is beginning as we might typically expect-milder with showers.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: The week will begin cloudy and damp with scattered showers-especially early on Monday. The activity should lessen as we move into the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will be warmer with highs in the low 70s. By nighttime, there may be a few breaks in the clouds and any lingering showers will only be spotty in coverage. Low temperatures will be in the low 60s.

| As February has ended and March has begun, review the chilly month behind us with Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux: http://www.wbrz.com/news/time-to-almost-thaw/ |

Looking Ahead: Into mid-week, skies remain mostly cloudy and temperatures will stay above average. Tuesday and Wednesday still carry the chance for a few showers, but neither day appears to be a total washout. In fact, showers should be isolated in nature leaving the opportunity for some spots to stay entirely dry over the two day stretch. With any peeks of sun, both afternoons should have no difficulty climbing into the upper 70s. A cold front will move into the area on Thursday. With this strong blaster, expect a line of showers and a few thunderstorms as well as rapidly falling temperatures. Once again, there will be some frozen precipitation behind this system-likely remaining north of the Baton Rouge. However, this will be close enough that it wouldn't take much of a shift for a different story-thus it is worth watching.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A warm front is lifting through the region today and has been the focal point for shower development since Sunday. A distinct temperature gradient existed on Monday Morning with Baton Rouge in the 60s and Alexandria in the 40s. Wind direction sharply changes along the boundary too with ESE. winds in Southeast Louisiana and northerly winds in Central Louisiana. As this boundary shifts north it will continue to provide a mechanism for uplift, lending to some scattered shower activity. As the front becomes more ambiguous on Tuesday and Wednesday, shower action will slacken somewhat, but in an unseasonably warm and moist atmosphere, the shower machine won't shut off entirely. No less, southerly winds will also provide a fairly distinct warmup into the upper 70s. By Wednesday Night, a front will move into the area with a line of showers and thunderstorms. Like a few of its predecessors, this front will be accompanied by a remarkable 30° drop in temperatures over a short period of time. Much of Thursday will be spent in the 40s with lingering showers. While you may have heard about some wintry precipitation possibilities-it appears as though trends are keeping the threat for sleet or freezing rain north of the Baton Rouge area. Forecast models have shown a warming trend in several previous runs and with such warm air in place ahead of this frontal passage, very much would need to be overcome to allow any kind of wintry scenario locally. The bottom-line is, 3-5 days out is far too early to advertise such chances for such a borderline and uncertain scenario.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Time to almost thaw http://www.wbrz.com/news/time-to-almost-thaw/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/time-to-almost-thaw/ Weather Sun, 1 Mar 2015 7:59:28 PM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Time to almost thaw


While this past January was relatively warm, January is normally the coldest month for the Baton Rouge area. February is typically the beginning of the thaw and we saw some evidence of that this past month. Don't be fooled though. A few freezes tend to squeak their way through before spring officially starts.

Temperatures reached the 70's seven days this past month, and we almost reached 80 one day! We only had one day in the 20's and it reached only 29 degrees.

On average, Baton Rouge sees 4.55 inches of rain in February. We only saw 3.38 inches; most of that during the final week of February. We're only slightly below normal for the year. However, we are carrying a rain deficit leftover from 2014.

March tends to be a little wet for us here in Baton Rouge, which is good news. On average you can expect 5.07 inches of rain. That's good for us considering the entire viewing area is under a moderate drought.

Our high temperature during the last day of February was right on average. As we end March, our average high temperature is 74 degrees.

You may remember the 1993 "super storm" where we received flurries in the Florida Parishes. That happened in mid-March, so don't put your guard down just yet, but feel at ease that we may be done with this bitter cold soon enough.

 


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Sunny end to the week http://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-end-to-the-week/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-end-to-the-week/ Weather Fri, 27 Feb 2015 4:06:15 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Sunny end to the week

Friday will feature plenty of afternoon blue sky and sun though we're still chilly.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Friday will be a pleasant end to what's been a wintry week. While temperatures will stay chilly with highs in the 50s, skies will become blue and sunny helping it feel warmer than the damp, overcast days from earlier in the week. Overnight, expect passing clouds skies to remain and it will again be cold with lows only a few degrees up from Friday Morning-mid 30s.

| Related: This cold Eastern U.S. winter has set a new record low-- with regard to severe weather. Details --> http://www.wbrz.com/news/watched-out/  |

Looking Ahead: The weekend will be split weather-wise. Saturday will offer a good amount of sun and slightly milder temperatures as highs work into the low 60s. Temperatures will not fall very much into Sunday Morning as lows keep to the 50s. This will be due to an increase of low level moisture which will also return clouds and the threat of rain showers on Sunday. So Sunday's high will be in the low 70s but there will also be scattered showers and thunderstorms. Early next week is looking much warmer with highs in the upper 70s and lows in the 60s, but the pattern will be somewhat unsettled with showers to dodge.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A high pressure system will move from Iowa to Pennsylvania Friday to Saturday. It will exert enough influence over the region to maintain mainly clear skies and easterly winds. As the high sets up off of the Atlantic Coast on Saturday Afternoon, a return flow off of the Gulf of Mexico will move over the region. This deepening southerly flow will return moisture and milder temperatures to the region. With additional moisture in place, minor disturbances in the mid-levels will trigger a few periods of showers Sunday through Tuesday. However, there will be times of sun and afternoon highs will climb into the upper 70s. B Wednesday, a cold front will enter the region with another push of showers and storms. Gradual cooling to slightly below average temperatures will occur behind the front-but no major cool down.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Watched out http://www.wbrz.com/news/watched-out/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/watched-out/ Weather Thu, 26 Feb 2015 8:13:58 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Watched out

Tornado and severe thunderstorm watches-alert products from the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) that notify us of the potential for severe weather. Of late, they are "severely" lacking. This is not for dearth of diligence from the SPC, rather a shortage of the weather that necessitates such products.

SPC Warning Coordination Meteorologist Greg Carbin says the United States has established new records lows for total watches, and severe thunderstorm watches during the January & February timeframe.

No severe weather watches are anticipated through the end of the month.

Through February 2015, there have been only 4 watches issued-all 4 were tornado watches-3 in January, 1 at the end of February. There have been no severe thunderstorm watches this year. The only time there has been a "0-watch" February over the last 46 years was in 1988. January has had 0-watches in 4 other instances: 1980, 1984, 1986 and 2003.

With the tornado (and total) watch count at 4, 2015 is the second lowest to 1985 when only 2 tornado watches were issued.

The highest number of January and February tornado (56) and total (82) watches occurred in 2008.

On average, 20 tornado watches and 11 severe thunderstorm watches are issued during the two-month span. So, the early 2015 watch count is running about 10 percent of normal.

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Drier but still cool http://www.wbrz.com/news/drier-but-still-cool/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/drier-but-still-cool/ Weather Thu, 26 Feb 2015 3:58:28 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Drier but still cool

Showers are gone for a while, but chilly air is staying put for the near term.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: While still chilly, today's weather will likely be considered a vast improvement over Wednesday. Times of sun and clouds will come along with afternoon highs in the mid 50s. Overnight, a reinforcing front will roll through the area and help us to near freezing temperatures by morning.

Looking Ahead: Again, Friday features sun, but cooler temperatures. High temperatures will struggle to return to the 50s. The opening half of the weekend is looking much nicer for outdoor activities with highs in the 60s and at least partly sunny skies. A mild night is expected into Sunday as moisture increases, so too will lows-in the 50s. While 70s are anticipated for Sunday Afternoon, ample cloud cover and scattered showers are also in the offing. In fact, a fairly unsettled, almost spring-like pattern is setting up Monday - Wednesday with highs in the mid 70s and daily shower or thunderstorm chances.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: Another arctic high is sinking south into the Upper Midwest. This high along with a broad upper trough will help drive a cold front into the Gulf of Mexico by Friday Morning. With an absence of moisture, little more than a passing cloud is expected. The high will quickly jut east by Saturday, gradually setting up a return flow off of the Gulf of Mexico. This southeast flow will continue and deepen through the weekend quickly pulling temperatures above average, returning moisture and aiding the development of scattered showers. Some forecast models want to pull a front into the area by the middle of next week, while others dissipate the boundary. Either way, chance showers and milder temperatures will stay in the forecast through Wednesday and perhaps beyond.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.

 


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Mid-week washout http://www.wbrz.com/news/mid-week-washout/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/mid-week-washout/ Weather Wed, 25 Feb 2015 4:08:55 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Mid-week washout

On whatever rating scale you'd like to use, Wednesday will be one of the least pleasant this winter.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Today will be a wash. Periods of rain will last into the evening commute and it will fall steadily at times. By day's end, most locations will receive about a half inch of rain. The overcast skies and additional cooling brought on by the rain will keep highs in the low to mid 40s. Take a little extra drive time today as it doesn't take much rain to complicate a Baton Rouge commute. Overnight, showers will diminish but stubborn clouds will linger and lows will fall into the low 30s. As some of our northern locations may drop to freezing, leftover puddles could become icy.

Looking Ahead: Improvements begin as we get into Thursday. While skies shouldn't clear entirely, alas some peeks of sun will be noted. Responding to this solar radiation, the afternoon highs will approach 54°. A reinforcing cold front will pass dry on Thursday Night and allow a light freeze on Friday. Much more sun will come in the afternoon with highs again in the 50s. A warming trend will continue over the weekend-60s on Saturday, 70s on Sunday but a chance of showers returns by the end of the weekend.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A pretty potent mid-level circulation has stirred up a surface low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico. This low will progress fairly rapidly throughout Wednesday, pushing into the Florida Gulf Coast by nightfall. As is grazes Southeast Louisiana, a modest spread of showers can be expected for Wednesday. Forecast models are in good agreement with regards to ample moisture, lift and spin. In addition, the three major global models reveal precipitation totals between 0.5 - 1.00". Finally, there is decent agreement from a timing standpoint with most shower activity shut down by nightfall. More specifically, high resolution model simulations wrap up steady rain by about 5pm. Beyond Wednesday the pattern will turn much quieter. As the upper trough steering the rain maker pushes through the region on Thursday, so too will a reinforcing cold front and we may still expect some passing clouds. By Friday, a high pressure system will settle into the Midwest and many north of the interstates will start near freezing. The high will control local weather through Saturday keeping winds easterly and skies mainly clear. A front will slowly sink into the region on Sunday and Monday increasing rain chances. Southerly winds ahead of this boundary will allow a few days to register afternoon highs in the 70s.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Ice threat leaves, cold air stays http://www.wbrz.com/news/ice-threat-leaves-cold-air-stays/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/ice-threat-leaves-cold-air-stays/ Weather Tue, 24 Feb 2015 3:59:28 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Ice threat leaves, cold air stays

Cold temperatures and periods of rain will dampen the forecast through Wednesday.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Lingering showers early on Tuesday will continue a dreary spell of weather in South Louisiana and Southwest Mississippi. While showers will diminish, clouds will hold pretty thick and again keep temperatures from escaping the 40s. It is possible that we gather a few rays of sun during the second half of the day, though any clearing will be short-lived. Overnight, a swath of rain developing in the Gulf of Mexico will spread northeastward into the region. This go around, there will not be a wintry precipitation threat as thermometers will hold in the upper 30s.

Looking Ahead: Wednesday is shaping up to be a rough one with cold temperatures and steady rain. Highs won't leave the 40s and a storm system in the Gulf could leave behind an inch or more of rain for most locations by the end of the day. A front will kick through the area on Thursday allowing a bit of sun to peek out but highs will stay in the 50s. Friday will be mostly sunny with a morning near freezing making it back into the low 50s.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: Lingering rain showers are pushing east with the latest upper level disturbance. Though "between" systems on Tuesday, there really shouldn't be enough of a dry out for clouds to fully break and thus cold temperatures-20°+ below average-will continue. The main focus of the forecast now shifts to Wednesday. A vorticity maxima trudging through the mid-levels will kick up a surface low pressure system along the Texas Gulf Coast. Expect this storm to ride east-northeastward through Wednesday and with ample atmospheric moisture in place, a large batch of rain will develop. Area-wide, 1" or so of rain could be possible by the end of Wednesday with the precipitation coming down steadily and perhaps heavily at times. By Thursday, a high pressure system dropping into the Midwest will send a cold front through the area. While reinforcing the chill, it will dry things out and allow for partly cloudy skies to close the week. The result of a bit of sun will be some slightly warmer afternoons, with highs in the 50s. Friday Morning does have the potential to reach freezing. While forecast models do not currently agree on timing, rain showers should return by the back half of the weekend with thermometers heading for the 70s Sunday and Monday.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Freezing Rain Advisory http://www.wbrz.com/news/freezing-rain-advisory/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/freezing-rain-advisory/ Weather Mon, 23 Feb 2015 9:38:35 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Freezing Rain Advisory

The National Weather Service has issued a FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY from 9pm Monday to 9am Tuesday for areas Northwest of Baton Rouge. This includes the Parishes of East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, and West Feliciana in Louisiana and the Counties of Amite, Pike and Wilkinson in Mississippi.

IMPACTS:

-Ice accumulations...up to a tenth of an inch

-Bridges and overpasses prone to icing

-Slick roadways

A freezing rain advisory means that periods of freezing rain or drizzle will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads, slow down, and use caution while driving.

FORECAST:

A few rain showers will linger in the region as temperatures continue to cool. All indications are that the atmosphere will remain too warm for any kind of snow or ice to reach the ground. However, as cooler air continues to move in at the surface, any light rain falling could freeze on contact (freezing rain) where thermometers dip to 32° and below. As of now, this only appears possible for locations north and west of the Capital City as overnight lows in Baton Rouge are expected to hover just above freezing. A slight nudge south in cold air could mean all the difference for Baton Rouge though, so stay connected with this changing forecast!

You can get ongoing information by following our weather team on Twitter: @2stormview, @Josh_Eachus, @Pat_Shingleton and @RG3WBRZ.

 


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A slap in the face http://www.wbrz.com/news/a-slap-in-the-face/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/a-slap-in-the-face/ Weather Mon, 23 Feb 2015 4:07:07 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus A slap in the face

After a mild February weekend, expect a brutal, weeklong reminder that it is still winter.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: The trickiest portion of the forecast period comes tonight. Monday is shaping up to remain overcast with periodic light rain showers. As you can imagine, the dreary weather will complicate any appreciable warming and the result is a very chilly day with highs stuck in the 40s. As for tonight, it currently appears as though a few rain showers will linger in the region as temperatures continue to cool. All indications are that the atmosphere will remain too warm for any kind of snow or ice to reach the ground. However, as cooler air continues to move in at the surface, any light rain falling could freeze on contact (freezing rain) where thermometers dip to 32° and below. As of now, this only appears possible in Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana, Wilkinson and Amite. A slight nudge south in cold air could mean all the difference for Baton Rouge though, so stay connected with this changing forecast!

Twitter: @2StormView, @Josh_Eachus
Facebook: WBRZ Weather, Meteorologist Josh Eachus

Looking Ahead: Unfortunately, no major improvements are expected as we head deeper into the week. Tuesday will be as raw if not more so than Monday. Clouds will stick, light showers will be scattered early and temperatures again won't leave the 40s. Overnight, thermometers will drop into the upper 30s as the next storm organizes to the south. On Wednesday, a low moving through the Gulf will send a batch of rain across the area. Continuing the trend, the clouds and rain will hold thermometers in the upper 40s come afternoon. By Thursday, a little sunshine will try to peek out and allow a warm up into the 50s.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: The front that stalled over the central portion of the WBRZ viewing area on Sunday has settled south into the Gulf of Mexico. Behind it, clearly colder air and a developing surface low to the west will mar the region with clouds, light showers and cold temperatures through Wednesday. All indications are that atmospheric temperature profiles are too warm to support snow falling. Therefore, as all liquid precipitation will fall with the lingering rain shower activity overnight, the question becomes, where will the surface freezing line settle? Ensemble runs seem to agree that the 32° isotherm will remain north of Baton Rouge. To that, while a close call, I am not anticipating any icing in the Capital City. However, the freezing line may sneak its way into northwestern sections of the viewing area-Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana, Wilkinson and Amite. In these locations, there is the risk of a period of light freezing rain. Where this occurs, expect slick roads and perhaps consider delaying late Monday Evening - Tuesday Morning travel plans if you can. By mid-morning Tuesday, the entire region will come above freezing. Then, another surface low will begin to develop in the Gulf of Mexico. This system will bring a much steadier batch of rain to the region late Tuesday through Wednesday; all the while maintain a cloud deck and thus chilly temperatures. Alas, another front will kick out the unsettled weather FOR Thursday, but likely reinforce the cool air meaning highs in the 50s will be as good as it gets until at least the weekend.

--Josh


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Switcheroo http://www.wbrz.com/news/switcheroo/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/switcheroo/ Weather Fri, 20 Feb 2015 4:06:10 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Switcheroo

Warmer air will enter the region today, but so too will clouds and rain showers.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Clouds will continue to stack up through your Friday Afternoon. Additionally, we'll begin to see a few showers developing in the region. We expect rain coverage to remain below 50% however-meaning most of us will not pick up measurable rainfall. The double-header of LSU baseball games may have to dodge a shower, but both games should finish. As winds have turned southerly, high temperatures will have a chance to reach the 60s. Overnight, clouds persist, showers will be scattered and temperatures will be MUCH milder-in the upper 50s.

Looking Ahead: The weekend forecast is a bit tricky. On Saturday there will certainly be more clouds than sun, but an expected lull in the rain action may yield a few peeks of blue sky and temperatures will respond by climbing into the mid 70s. Then towards evening, showers and winds will increase as a cold front approaches the area. Scattered activity appears more likely overnight into Sunday with lows near 60°. The front will bring clouds and showers to the area on Sunday with temperatures only rising a few degrees into the mid-60s. In fact, as a front drives through, temperatures may begin to fall later in the afternoon or evening-akin to what occurred last Monday. It appears as though clouds and showers will linger on Monday and northerly winds will make it a chilly day.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A warm front will lift through the region today thanks to a developing shortwave in the jet stream over the Southwest United States. A feed of moisture into the lower and mid-levels will allow clouds to increase through the day and a few showers may be triggered as the front crosses. The window of opportunity for showers appears to be Friday Afternoon to Saturday Morning. Saturday provides a few forecast challenges in that cloud cover and especially shower activity may be questionable. While moisture continues to increase, atmospheric profiles show additional warming and thus a lack in total saturation. As a result, some holes in the cloud deck will be possible and even a lull in shower activity. Mid-70s are already expected for afternoon highs but any times of sun could help push thermometers even warmer. As a surface low pressure system races northeast from Oklahoma to Ohio, a cold front will be pulled southeastward into the region. Showers will likely begin to increase ahead of this feature on Saturday Night. Southerly winds will pick up to about 15-20mph as well. Sunday looks like a cloudy and breezy day with scattered showers. The GFS seems to have caught up with the ECMWF on the idea that the front will hang up near the coast on Monday. This seems plausible as the jet stream will have a west-east orientation aloft and thus provide little push for the surface front. As a result, temperatures will begin to fall late Sunday. The Monday forecast will be highly subject to change but as of now I suspect clouds and showers will linger with temperatures in the 40s during the day. Tuesday through Thursday appear to remain chilly-with a few more rounds of showers.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Grandma and the mouse cold http://www.wbrz.com/news/grandma-and-the-mouse-cold/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/grandma-and-the-mouse-cold/ Weather Thu, 19 Feb 2015 8:11:35 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Grandma and the mouse cold

Studies say cold weather can make you sick.

Studies say cold weather can be good for you.

So which is it, doc? I'm freezing over here!

As it turns out, doctors and the old wives tales may both have some legitimacy. Let me explain.

In a possibly unknowing quest to prove grandma wrong, doctors from Yale University decided to see how lab rats responded to a mouse-modified version of the common cold (rhinovirus) in different environmental temperatures.

Their findings revealed that when air temperatures were cooler than mice body temperatures, mouse-cold-fighting cells were less active. The researchers believe this lends some credence to the idea that in colder temperatures, viruses may be able to grow more freely-especially in the cooler nasal cavity.

Of course you need to contract the virus first. So while the cold may not MAKE you sick, it could make you SICKER.

However, as long as you are healthy, there are actually some positive health impacts from cold temperatures.

The Mother Nature Network points out that the body burns more calories if it has to work to keep your core warm. Sleeping in a cooler room, will ramp up metabolism and you'll zap more calories while catching z's.

While we typically associate the cold weather with dry skin and chapped lips, Harvard doctors announced in 2010 that a modest chill is good for your vascular system. The cooler temps train the vessels in your skin to be more responsive-which explains rosy cheeks on a chilly morning!

Finally, measures of mental performance have been found to be highest at am environmental temperature of 62°. In 1972, the International Journal of Biometeorology deemed 62° the optimal temperature for working, reading and studying.

AUTHOR'S NOTE-The next day I forecast 62°, I'm hitting the links. Maybe better decision-making will help my score!

Want more weather? Check out Josh on Twitter!

Be sure to catch his forecasts weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm.

Additionally, if you'd like an in-depth look at the local and national forecast, catch our weekly weather vlog by clicking here.


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Sunny and cool again http://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-and-cool-again/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/sunny-and-cool-again/ Weather Thu, 19 Feb 2015 4:20:22 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Sunny and cool again

Similar to Wednesday, the Baton Rouge area will have a freezing morning become a sunny afternoon.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Your Thursday will again feature plentiful sunshine with high temperatures topping out in the mid 50s. During the evening hours, high clouds will quickly thicken as winds shift from north to southeasterly. This makes the low temperature forecast difficult as the wind shift will dictate exactly when overnight cooling ends. A freeze is not expected, so we'll forecast lows in the upper 30s after midnight before a bit of warming occurs prior to dawn.

Looking Ahead: On Friday, the region will start to notice effects from a warm front lifting north. A mostly cloudy day can be expected with a couple of showers as well. On the flip side, temperatures will quickly climb through the 40s and 50s into the mid 60s. Friday Night will be much milder with spotty showers and lows in the mid 50s. Your weekend doesn't appear to be a total washout, but keep in touch with us for radar updates as there will certainly be some showers to dodge. Saturday will be breezy and even warmer with highs in the 70s despite mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. We anticipate similar temperatures on Sunday with more clouds, showers and wind. A cold front will sweep through Sunday Night with falling temperatures into Monday as well as lingering showers.

Join the guys on our weekly weather vlog for much more detail: http://www.wbrz.com/videos/weekly-weather-vlog-february-18-2015/

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: High pressure over the Upper Mississippi River Valley will shift east on Thursday, weakening the northeasterly surface wind flow over the region. As winds take on a southerly component during the overnight hours, moisture will return quickly and a cloud deck will begin to develop. Low temperatures will respond to both phenomena-likely bottoming out early and then remaining steady or rising prior to dawn. It is difficult to pin down exactly when this will occur but as no freeze is expected and no significant impacts are expected from whatever the low may be, we will comfortably issue a forecast low in the upper 30s. On Friday, an upper-level wave over the Southwest U.S. will kick a warm front northward through Louisiana. With this added forcing and moisture, a mostly cloudy day will occur with some spotty showers also possible. Positioned in the warm sector of a newly developed surface storm in Texas, southerly breezes will prevail through the weekend. With a good deal of moisture in place and a modest omega (uplift) field, there will be no shortage of clouds but forecast model precipitation returns are low. This is because upper level support for shower development is rather unimpressive. Still scattered showers will be possible and chances will increase on Sunday as the storm complex shifts east and drives a cold front into the area. Forecast models also stall the front for a day and leave us under a cloud deck with showers on Monday. With a zonal (west to east) flow aloft, the isn't much push to drive the front south. So, the slower progression makes sense. Both models do have the cooler air arriving by Monday too. If clouds and showers stick, Monday could end up being a very raw day. 

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.

 


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Freeze bulletins posted http://www.wbrz.com/news/freeze-bulletins-posted/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/freeze-bulletins-posted/ Weather Wed, 18 Feb 2015 4:09:31 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Freeze bulletins posted

Amazingly, the 50s will feel like a significant warm up for the Baton Rouge area.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: After another freezing start, the Baton Rouge area will collect abundant sunshine into the afternoon hours. With dry air in place, thermometers will follow more normal daily temperature fluctuations and climb some 25-30° into the mid-upper 50s. A weak, reinforcing front will slide through the area tonight, aiding another freeze but producing no precipitation.

The National Weather Service has issued a HARD FREEZE WARNING for WILKINSON, AMITE, PIKE, ST. HELENA & TANGIPAHOA, along with a FREEZE WARNING for ASSUMPTION. Sensitive vegetation may be damaged or killed if preventative measures are not taken.

Looking Ahead: Thursday will run fairly similar to Wednesday. The latest front doesn't have much pop and thermometers are not expected to respond in a major way. If anything, the afternoon will end up 2-5° cooler. Meanwhile, sunshine will stick. The low temperature forecast for Friday Morning will be difficult as winds will shift southerly overnight while clouds increase-a combination that will essentially end cooling. It's likely that regional temperatures will stop near 40° and then find continued warming into the 60s on Friday as clouds build. The next storm system will take shape to the west and could provide a shower as early as Friday Evening. Mild temperatures and spotty showers are expected into Saturday. See the discussion below for some insight on the difficult forecast beyond.

Join the guys on our weekly weather vlog for much more detail: http://www.wbrz.com/videos/weekly-weather-vlog-february-18-2015/

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A straightforward forecast is expected through Thursday Evening. High pressure will settle into South Texas for Wednesday holding northerly winds and sunshine in place. A stronger high riding down the back side of a deep Eastern U.S. trough will send a reinforcing front through the area overnight into Thursday. By all accounts, another freeze is likely into Thursday, but with dry air in place little in the way of cloud cover is expected right through Thursday Evening. As we approach Friday Morning, southerly shifting winds will counteract radiational cooling and thermometers may in fact begin to rise prior to dawn. A nearly cut-off upper-level wave over the Southwest U.S. will begin to advance moisture into the local area on Friday. As the atmosphere saturates, clouds will thicken and it is feasible that a shower develops as a surface warm front lifts through during the day. A tricky forecast is evolving for the weekend. First, forecast models are showing a break in shower action between the warm front and very slow-moving cold front associated with this storm system. However, a saturated atmosphere and good deal of omega (uplift) are shown as well, and thus mainly cloudy skies will dominate through Saturday. Next, the GFS and ECMWF seem to agree with the general idea of a cold front sagging into the region, restarting the rain showers for Sunday and Monday-followed by another pop of cold air. Timing has been inconsistent as to exactly when the cold air arrives though and thus temperature forecasts for Sunday and Monday are subject to change.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Mardi Froid http://www.wbrz.com/news/mardi-froid/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/mardi-froid/ Weather Tue, 17 Feb 2015 3:58:43 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Mardi Froid

Your Fat Tuesday will be cold, but fortunately dry.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Mardi Gras is looking better than last year-just barely. While we are once again cold, at least the precipitation has shut off, which is an improvement on the 2014 version. Skies will have times of clouds and sun with highs struggling for the upper 40s. Winds won't be as stiff as Monday, but still noticeable and northerly at about 10mph. Thus, the skin will sense wind chills in the 20s and 30s for most of the day. Parade-goers should dress warm with jackets and perhaps the hats and gloves. Overnight, winds will calm, skies will go all clear and thermometers will slip to freeze #18 of the winter.

Looking Ahead: Wednesday is shaping up to be a nice, if not cool one. With plenty of sun, temperatures will climb back into the mid 50s. Another freeze is expected into Thursday followed by a carbon copied afternoon. Our pattern will turn unsettled as we approach the weekend. Look for milder temperatures but increasing clouds on Friday with scattered showers through the weekend. No washouts are anticipated at this time and we'll have a better grasp on the timing of specific rounds of showers by later in the week.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: Behind a potent cold front, temperatures will be quite chilly for Mardi Gras. While parade attendance will certainly require jackets, umbrellas and ponchos can stay home. The mid-level wave steering the latest storm system could be detected in Northeast Texas on water vapor imagery this morning. As this wave kicks through the area, another batch of clouds may be stirred up later today. Either way, winds will work with chilly temperatures to make it feel much colder. High pressure will build into South Texas, maintaining northerly surface winds through Wednesday. A broad surface trough will remain entrenched over the Eastern United States through mid-week, but fortunately, its basin will stay just north of us-with the deepest pool of cold air. Another weak front will slip through Wednesday Night to reinforce the cool air into Thursday. Expect a pair of freezing mornings on Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, winds will shift southerly in response to the next wave organizing a surface storm in Texas. Clouds will increase along with atmospheric moisture by week's end and over the weekend, we expect sporadic showers. At this time, forecast models do not agree on timing-but do share the same general themes that a frontal boundary will stall over the region and serve as the focal point for clouds and showers. On the warm side though, milder temperatures will prevail, but another rapid cool down is expected once this front kicks through. Again, that is a timing issue we will monitor as it nears.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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Winter storm system marches through the Mid-Atlantic http://www.wbrz.com/news/winter-storm-system-marches-through-the-mid-atlantic/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/winter-storm-system-marches-through-the-mid-atlantic/ Weather Tue, 17 Feb 2015 12:06:39 AM Hunter Robinson Winter storm system marches through the Mid-Atlantic

WASHINGTON, D.C. - A winter storm that brought some major cities in the South to a halt Monday has been sweeping through the Mid-Atlantic.

A state of emergency has been declared in Tennessee, where emergency officials have asked the National Guard to deploy a 10-person crew with Humvees to check on stranded motorists. The Tennessee Emergency Management Agency says motorists were backed up on Interstate 40 and part of I-24 was closed due to an earlier backup.

A snowstorm is blamed for the derailment of a train carrying more than 100 tankers of crude oil in southern West Virginia. At least 14 cars ignited and one went into a river about 30 miles southeast of Charleston. Two water treatment plants threatened by oil seeping into the river have been shut down and hundreds of families have been forced to evacuate their homes.

Meanwhile, the federal government has closed its offices in the Washington, D.C.-area.

Forecasters say the storm system is headed for the Northeast, where it's bitterly cold.


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Crummy weather to close carnival season http://www.wbrz.com/news/crummy-weather-to-close-carnival-season/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/crummy-weather-to-close-carnival-season/ Weather Mon, 16 Feb 2015 4:06:38 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Crummy weather to close carnival season

After nearly perfect carnival season weather, Lundi Gras will be wet, while Mardi Gras will be chilly.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Your week will start off wet and milder than is typical for the middle of February. Scattered showers will plague a gray day with highs topping out around 70°. Most of the rain will occur with a line of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm - 7pm. A rapid drop in temperatures is expected for the overnight hours as showers begin to wrap up. By morning, it will be drier but with lows ending up in the middle 30s. It is not impossible that an ice pellet or snowflake mixes in before precipitation ends, but with thermometers above freezing, no impacts would occur.

Looking Ahead: Mardi Gras day will turn out drier than expected late last week, but still no "walk in the park." Chilly temperatures will be noted-bundle up if heading out to any festivities. In many cases, high temperatures will fail to leave the 40s, as skies feature more clouds than sun. A freeze is likely into Wednesday Morning with sunshine allowing afternoon highs back into the 50s. Expect more sun on Thursday followed by a returning chance of showers for Friday.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A storm system climbing out of Texas and northeastward into the Lower Ohio Valley will drag a cold front into the area overnight. With the front pulling through the area much quicker than anticipated days ago, colder and drier air will arrive sooner meaning a quicker end to precipitation. Additonally, an impressive pressure gradient will increase winds up to 20mph with locally higher gusts. Now, with such a strong push of cold air, it still isn't out of the question that on Monday Night a few ice pellets or snowflakes mix in as showers end, but nothing of significance is expected. On the big if that this does occur, it would most likely be relegated to Southwest Mississippi. Consequently, while Mardi Gras looks drier than formerly expected, it will also be breezy and cold. The next disturbance will move on as we approach the weekend, but as has been the case with poorly performing forecast models of late-there are timing issues with this one as well.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.

 


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Thumbs up to down http://www.wbrz.com/news/thumbs-up-to-down/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/thumbs-up-to-down/ Weather Fri, 13 Feb 2015 4:19:56 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Thumbs up to down

Tranquil and pleasant weather this weekend will turn unsettled and uncomfortable into next week.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: With plenty of sunshine, Baton Rouge area thermometers will climb out of the ice box and into the mid 50s this afternoon. Grab a jacket for evening events such as the opening LSU Baseball game and the Krewe of Southdowns parade-both events will go on with temperatures falling through the 40s under a mostly clear sky. Overnight, temperatures will fall into the mid 30s.

Looking Ahead: Valentine's Day is full of events like the Spanish Town Parade and, of course, sweetheart dinners. The parade will roll at noon beneath blue skies with temperatures in the mid 60s. Afternoon highs will make it near 70°. For dinner dates, expect mainly clear skies with temperatures in the 50s. Overnight, another cold front will roll through the region and like its predecessors; it will not squeeze out any precipitation or much in the way of cloud cover. Lows will level off in the low 40s. On Sunday, expect a general increase in clouds and highs near 60°. Lundi Gras will be cloudy with periods of rain which could be moderate or heavy at times. Mardi Gras is a difficult forecast at this time, but one way or the other, it is shaping up to be gnarly day. Expect showers and wind with temperatures falling through the 50s and 40s.

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: The near term forecast isn't too tumultuous, with the most difficult details to pin being temperatures. Noting averages of 65/44, Friday through Friday Night will be below average, with Saturday Afternoon warming just above average. Expect high pressure centered over the Gulf South to maintain mainly clear skies through Saturday. Another weak cold front, with little moisture available, will pass the region dry on Saturday Night, leaving behind another seasonably cool afternoon on Sunday. Forecast models have sped up the arrival of the next storm system and as a result, increasing clouds will be noted for the second half of the weekend. Winter will unveil a few carnival tricks for next week. On Monday, a developing storm to our west will send a warm front over the area. With southerly flow on its lead side-expect a bump in thermometers back into the mid 60s. The warm front and an unseasonably moist atmosphere will combine to produce areas of rain which could fall moderately at times, leaving behind 1-2". In fact, there may even be enough instability that a couple of thunderstorms develop Monday and Monday Night. The Tuesday - Wednesday time frame is a VERY interesting forecast. A deep upper-level trough will be shoving a cold front south into the local area followed by a strong area of high pressure. This complex will be transporting MUCH colder air into the region. Secondarily, because of a sharp pressure gradient between low and high, winds will be stiff-20-30mph and gusting higher at times. Don't be surprised if the National Weather Service posts some wind bulletins. Temperatures will rapidly fall on Tuesday, possibly some 30° in about an 18-hour period. Showers will continue as the actual cold front crosses the area. Forecast models ARE NOT in agreement as to the exact timing of the front. The GFS model has Tuesday temperatures in the 40s, while the European model leaves the region in the upper 50s! Given the potentially colder solution, the major question mark in this part of the forecast will become, "how much moisture is leftover as cold air arrives?" At this time, both major models, seem to dry the region out before the arrival of air cold enough to support frozen precipitation. By Wednesday Morning though, the region will drop to freezing.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.

 


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Grab a jacket and enjoy http://www.wbrz.com/news/grab-a-jacket-and-enjoy/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/grab-a-jacket-and-enjoy/ Weather Thu, 12 Feb 2015 3:47:04 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Grab a jacket and enjoy

Over the next several event-filled days, dry and cool weather will persist.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: With a cold front through the area, thermometers will be noticeably cooler this afternoon compared to Monday and Tuesday. Despite full sun, highs will top out around 60°. The nighttime hours will be our coldest of the near future-a freeze for most with many areas north of the lakes and interstates slipping into the upper 20s.

Looking Ahead: Into the weekend, the region will stay dry and cool. This bodes well for a bevy of outdoor events (see below). For Friday, expect sunny skies to produce a warm up into the mid-upper 50s. At night, we're projecting mainly clear skies and lows in the mid 30s. For Saturday, tranquil weather will continue with afternoon thermometers getting close to average, which is 65° this time of year. Another front will move through on Saturday Night leading to a cooler, but still sunny Sunday.

Busy Weekend:

Baseball: Kansas at LSU, Alex Box Stadium, 7pm Friday Night- Mostly clear, 49°
Parade: Krewe of Southdowns, Baton Rouge, 7pm Friday Night- Mostly clear, 48°
Parade: Spanish Town, Baton Rouge, 12pm Saturday- Mostly sunny, 62°
Valentine's Day: Evening events- Mostly clear, 58°

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: A front has moved through the region returning dry, northerly winds to the local area. The expectation is that this push of cooler air will be a little more potent than the last, meaning Thursday Afternoon highs will stay below average and near 60°. The ideal setup is in place for full radiational cooling tonight and the clear skies and light winds will produce a freeze in many locations-especially north of the lakes and interstates. As high pressure builds into the region on Friday, warmth from the sun will help temperatures recover into the mid-upper 50s. With a wind shift to the east, we're not expecting quite as cold of air on Saturday Morning and subsequently, a milder afternoon into the 60s. By Saturday Night, yet another cold front will roll through. Forecast models have not fared well, at least in terms of consistency, in how this one will play out. However, previous runs have trended towards a warmer outcome, so we'll favor that and go with lows in the 30s and highs near 60° on Sunday while skies stay clear. By Monday, return flow will set up with increasing cloud cover and developing rain showers. We have another cold front pegged for Tuesday. So unfortunately, Mardi Gras is looking wet with some thunderstorms followed by another blast of cold air on Wednesday. Early model runs are very aggressive with this system bringing the coldest air this winter season into our region with even a Tuesday Night change from rain to snow in parts of Mississippi and Alabama.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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A little tease http://www.wbrz.com/news/a-little-tease/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/a-little-tease/ Weather Wed, 11 Feb 2015 3:36:49 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus A little tease

Temperatures will trend up today before a more significant cool down leading into the weekend.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Wednesday Afternoon will be our warmest through Sunday as high temperatures reach for 70° under a mainly sunny sky. During the overnight hours, a few clouds could develop as a front moves into the region, but immediately ahead of the front, lows will flat-line in the mid 40s.

Prefer your forecast in video? Our weekly weather vlog has you covered right here --> http://www.wbrz.com/videos/weekly-weather-vlog-february-10-2015/

Looking Ahead: A couple of chilly days are setting up on Thursday and Friday. Afternoon highs will have trouble climbing on Thursday immediately behind the next front. For the Baton Rouge area, highs may not reach 60°. After a freeze on Friday Morning, highs will keep to the mid 50s, despite plenty of sun. Into the weekend, another brief afternoon warm up is anticipated for Saturday Afternoon prior the next front at night. Again, this one will not produce any rain.

Busy Weekend:

Baseball: Kansas at LSU, Alex Box Stadium, 7pm Friday Night- Mostly clear, 49°
Parade: Krewe of Southdowns, Baton Rouge, 7pm Friday Night- Mostly clear, 48°
Parade: Spanish Town, Baton Rouge, 12pm Saturday- Mostly sunny, 59°
Valentine's Day: Evening events- Mostly clear, 58°

THE SCIENCE:

Forecast Discussion: The next cold front is swooping south through the Midwest and towards the Gulf Coast. As we've seen with previous fronts, a little spike in temperatures is likely due to some southeasterly flow ahead of the boundary. Wednesday highs will respond by nudging above average with overnight lows leveling off in the 40s. The cold air advection will begin in earnest around dawn Thursday, meaning while lows go seemingly unaffected, highs on Thursday will remain in the upper 50s for many locations. Continued cooling will set up freezing conditions into Friday Morning with some typical chilly spots north of Baton Rouge finding the 20s. Thermometers will recover a good 25° or so in the afternoon but this still leave many in the mid 50s. In a repeat, Saturday will again be a brief upward bounce into the 60s before another front arrives at night. Forecast models have been highly inconsistent trying to place the deepest, coldest air and that portion of the forecast remains a bit unclear. At this time, we are expecting cold temperatures-but likely not anything we haven't already experienced this winter. The next foreseeable shot at rain appears to be on Tuesday.

--Josh

You can get forecasts from Meteorologist Josh Eachus weekdays on 2une-In from 5-7am and News 2 at Noon from 12-1pm. Additionally, you can get the fastest and latest forecasts and weather news by checking in with wbrz.com/weather, connecting with Josh on Google+ and following him on Twitter.


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