WBRZ https://www.wbrz.com/ WBRZ Weather Weather en-us Copyright 2019, WBRZ. All Rights Reserved. Feed content is not avaialble for commercial use. () () Mon, 14 Oct 2019 HH:10:ss GMT Synapse CMS 10 WBRZ https://www.wbrz.com/ 144 25 Have an umbrella in tow through Tuesday https://www.wbrz.com/news/have-an-umbrella-in-tow-through-tuesday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/have-an-umbrella-in-tow-through-tuesday/ Weather Mon, 14 Oct 2019 6:21:09 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Have an umbrella in tow through Tuesday

A warm front, cold front combination will bring a few rounds of showers to start the week. Humidity will increase until the next cold front passes through early Wednesday.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: A warm front will move across the region on Monday causing mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. It will not be an all day washout. Thermometers will take a run at 80 degrees. The bigger change will be a steady increase in humidity through the afternoon and evening hours. Tonight will be much less comfortable with lows in the low 70s. Some spotty showers could linger.

Up Next: On Tuesday, another cold front will approach the area. This boundary will be responsible for more widespread rain and thunderstorms—some of which could be heavy. The first half of the day could be mainly dry with rain coverage increasing for the afternoon and evening hours. The cold front should push through Wednesday morning, drying conditions through the afternoon hours, and dropping high temperatures back into the low-to-mid 70s Wednesday and Thursday. Signs point to more unsettled weather for the weekend prior to an even stronger cold front.

The Tropics: Tropical Storm Melissa is weakening across the north Atlantic and is expected to diminish by the middle of the week. A disturbance emerging from the African Coast will pass over the Cabo Verde Islands early this week. It has a high chance of formation but its long-term prospects are limited, as it will encounter harsh conditions by Wednesday and Thursday. A second disturbance will meet its demise near the Windward Island over the next two days. A third system will cross Central America and end up in the Bay of Campeche by the end of the week. This will have a limited development possibility but could feed some moisture northward to enhance rain along the Gulf Coast as a cold front approaches this weekend.

THE EXPLANATION:

A warm front will push through the region Monday afternoon and evening. Ahead of and along this front, southwest winds aloft will maintain a stream of moisture allowing for ample cloud cover and scattered showers. Thermometers will slowly warm and dew points will steadily increase as that front lifts north. A cold front will approach the area on Tuesday and ample moisture plus frontal forcing will create showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon through night. Some of the storms could cause downpours and gusty wind. The cold front will push south on Wednesday with cooler temperatures to follow. The cold front will stall over the northern Gulf and deep tropical moisture will move northward over the western Gulf through the end of the week. Forecast model guidance is not clear on how a storm system will manifest but it does point to rainfall along the Gulf Coast. An stronger cold front is advertised to move through the area as well as the entire gulf, clearing things out rapidly by the start of next week.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Showers Return to Begin Workweek https://www.wbrz.com/news/showers-return-to-begin-workweek/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/showers-return-to-begin-workweek/ Weather Sun, 13 Oct 2019 6:23:10 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Showers Return to Begin Workweek

THE FORECAST: 

 

Tonight and Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies and a mild night ahead. Temperatures will be cooling into the 70s around 11 PM, as overnight lows drop to near 66° with calm winds. Mostly sunny skies through Monday morning, but clouds will be increasing through the afternoon hours. Showers and storms will be developing after 4 PM, and should linger through Tuesday. Highs will reach near 82° with light winds out of the east.

Up Next:  Temperatures staying in the low-to-mid 80s to start the workweek, as scattered showers and storms stay through Wednesday morning.

The Tropics:

 

Tropical Storm Melissa continues to weaken over the open north Atlantic. Currently located 405 miles southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia, with 40 mph sustained winds and moving east-northeast at 18 mph. This motion is expected to continue through tonight. A further increase in forward speed and a turn toward the east are expected on Monday, with that motion continuing into Wednesday. Additional weakening is expected, and Melissa is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low later tonight or early Monday.

We are currently monitoring three waves in the tropics.

 

The first is a vigorous tropical wave that is accompanied by a well-defined low pressure system that has emerged over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean just west of the coast of Guinea-Bissau. Showers and storms are beginning to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the next few days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward over or just east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any significant development by midweek. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 50% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 70% chance within the next 5 days.

 

The second is a broad area of low pressure located along the coast of northeastern Nicaragua that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over most of the southwestern Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Honduras, and much of Central America. This system is forecast to continue moving west-northwestward across northern Nicaragua, northern Honduras, southern Belize, and northern Guatemala, which will inhibit tropical cyclone formation for the next couple of days due to land interaction. By Wednesday, however, the disturbance is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche where conditions could become a little more conducive for some organization to occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next few days, which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 10% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

 

The third is a tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic and is producing disorganized thunderstorm activity and strong gusty winds to near gale force in the northern portion of the wave. Upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for development to occur during the next few days while the system moves westward at around 15 mph. By late Wednesday as the disturbance approaches the southern Lesser Antilles, upper-level winds are forecast to become quite hostile for any significant development to occur. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 10% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, increasing to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

The surface high over the Deep South will be slow to move northeast through Monday, keeping northeast to east winds at the surface. These wind directions will help to keep skies sunny to start the workweek. Flow will begin coming out of the southwest through the day though, allowing for showers to develop as temperatures break into the low 80s through the afternoon. This will again stay the course into Tuesday, as another cold front from the strong low pressure located near the Great Lakes region begins to move toward the northeast and into Canada. This front should push through Wednesday morning, drying conditions through the afternoon hours, and dropping high temperatures back into the low-to-mid 70s Wednesday and Thursday.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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A cool night in store https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-cool-night-in-store/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/a-cool-night-in-store/ Weather Sat, 12 Oct 2019 7:21:35 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan A cool night in store

THE FORECAST: 

Tonight and Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies tonight, as temperatures will be bottoming out near 58° heading into Sunday morning. Conditions will be mostly sunny through the day on Sunday, but cloud cover will be increasing through the evening hours. Highs will reach near 81° with a light wind out of the northeast.   

Up Next:  Temperatures rebound and rain chances increasing through the beginning part of the workweek before another cold front pushes into the Gulf on Wednesday.

The Tropics:

 Tropical Storm Melissa has been downgraded from hurricane status earlier today, and it should weaken as it accelerates away from the United States tonight. It is currently located about 305 miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and moving east-northeast at 12 mph. This general motion is expected to continue with a gradual increase in forward speed through Monday. On the forecast track, Melissa will continue to move away from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts. Gradual weakening is expected over the next day or so, and Melissa is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by Sunday.

We are currently monitoring two waves in the tropics.

 

The first is a broad area of low pressure that is forming over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

 

The second is a tropical wave that is accompanied by a broad area of low pressure that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected to move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 10% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 40% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

A zonal flow regime in the upper levels is expected to remain in place through Monday night, allowing scattered showers and storms through the beginning part of the workweek. By Monday night, the warm front should surge toward the I-20 corridor. This should provide a brief window of drier weather late Monday night into Tuesday morning. Behind the warm front, highs should rebound in the mid-80s Tuesday, with southerly winds which will continue to pipe gulf moisture onshore to provide scattered rain. Another cold front is poised to break through our area and into the Gulf on Wednesday, keeping isolated showers in the forecast Wednesday as highs stay in the upper 70s through Thursday.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Cold front sets stage for some rain, sharp cool down https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-sets-stage-for-some-rain-sharp-cool-down/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-sets-stage-for-some-rain-sharp-cool-down/ Weather Fri, 11 Oct 2019 6:28:39 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Cold front sets stage for some rain, sharp cool down

It will be a rather unsettled finish to the week with showers and thunderstorms. However, fall-like air will push in for the weekend.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday in association with a cold front moving through the area. The threat for severe thunderstorms is low. While this could deliver some needed rain to much of the area, the possibility is there for rain to come too fast and create some isolated area nuisance flooding.

Temperatures may make into the middle 80s if there are enough breaks in the clouds. Once the boundary crosses around dusk, expect a sharp drop in temperatures in a short time. Showers will taper this evening from northwest to southeast. Some drizzle and cloud cover may persist through the night. North winds will send temperatures tumbling into the upper 50s overnight.

Up Next: Clouds could linger well into Saturday morning followed by some sun later in the day. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s at daybreak and barely sneak into the 70s during the afternoon. For LSU and Southern fans, this will mean that jackets are needed for morning tailgates and the evening games! Temperatures will slide into the 60s after dark and continue down into the upper 50s Sunday morning. A quick rebound to average temperatures is expected for Sunday afternoon into early next week. Showers and thunderstorms will be in the forecast Monday to Wednesday ahead of the next front.

The Tropics: Overall, the Atlantic Basin is not terribly troubling at this time. An area of lower pressure off the East Coast of the United States has a 20 percent chance of tropical or subtropical development through Friday before upper level winds become unfavorable. Areas of low pressure off the Central American and African Coasts are also each given a 20 percent chance of development over the next 5 days. Neither appears to be a threat to the United States.  

THE EXPLANATION:

A strong storm system will move across the nation on Friday. For the local area, an approaching cold front will force showers and thunderstorms to develop. Instability will be high enough to support thunderstorms but a lack of wind shear should keep them from turning severe. Atmospheric moisture content is rather high for the time of year and given the instability and frontal forcing, some downpours could possibly lead to some isolated street and poor drainage flooding. Frontal passage is expected to occur Friday evening. This front will slam on the brakes as it approaches Alabama on Saturday. While the showers will taper on the stable west side of the front, some clouds will linger. Moisture return will begin due to onshore flow Sunday. The old front will jog back to the north and into our area by Monday inducing more showers and thunderstorms through at least midweek. The next cold front will press into the region on Wednesday but is not clear if this will stall and hold rain in the forecast or clear the area with another stretch of cooler temperatures.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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School district says bus driver will not be fired after video shows speeding bus https://www.wbrz.com/news/school-district-says-bus-driver-will-not-be-fired-after-video-shows-speeding-bus/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/school-district-says-bus-driver-will-not-be-fired-after-video-shows-speeding-bus/ Weather Wed, 9 Oct 2019 12:50:42 PM WBRZ Staff School district says bus driver will not be fired after video shows speeding bus

HOLDEN- The Livingston Parish school system says the driver of a school bus seen on video speeding down a rural highway between stops will not be fired.

The video taken by a concerned commuter shows the man trailing behind the bus along LA 441 near Montpelier with a speedometer in the foreground. The school bus appears to reach speeds over 70 miles per hour, pausing at bus stops only to pick up speed again. The bus was heading to Holden School.

“My concern was for the care and safety of the kids,” said Jody Vicknair who filmed the video and posted it to Facebook. “I couldn’t pick up the phone to make calls and do all of that. It’s one button to hit video and I wasn’t trying to get anyone in trouble but we’re talking about kids here.”

School officials say their buses cannot go faster than 72 miles per hour. The current speed limit on state highways is typically 55 miles per hour. The Assistant Superintendent says they’re looking into the incident, but the driver is keeping their job.

“No, and if people got fired all over the place because of spending I think you and I would be unemployed as well,” said Steve Parrill. “We have to manage what would be the correct discipline, if any, in a situation and we’re very much on top of it.”

Parrill said he is concerned about the speed of the bus. He’s also concerned about the recording.

“I was concerned because we had someone follow our bus driving with one hand, holding a cell phone. From watching the video you can see someone speeding up and slowing down. For somebody stressing bus safety, he was conducting himself very safe behind a bus,” said Parrill.

Vicknair acknowledges he was speeding himself while using his phone. He says he did it to show other parents what he was witnessing.

“Yes, I’m in the wrong but, there again, it’s the children and I’d do it tomorrow and every day after,” said Vicknair. “I’m actually glad [the driver] is not fired. I would just like things to get evaluated and bus drivers to do their job, and do it safely. That’s it.”

The principal of Holden School traveled that bus driver’s route this morning to make sure everything went smoothly. 


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Showers and thunderstorms ahead of weekend cool down https://www.wbrz.com/news/showers-and-thunderstorms-ahead-of-weekend-cool-down/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/showers-and-thunderstorms-ahead-of-weekend-cool-down/ Weather Thu, 10 Oct 2019 6:23:59 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Showers and thunderstorms ahead of weekend cool down

It didn’t last long, this won’t last long. Warm, humid conditions will hold on until a stronger cold front moves through the area early Saturday.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Slowly but surely, moisture is returning to the atmosphere. The result will be warmth and some humidity as well as isolated showers and thunderstorms for your Thursday. Expect a high temperature near 87 degrees.  Clouds will increase overnight with spotty showers and a low temperature of 73 degrees.

Up Next: A round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Friday afternoon and evening associated with a cold front. The threat for severe thunderstorms is low and this could deliver some needed rain to much of the area. A punch of crisp air will arrive for the weekend.

At this time, the WBRZ Weather Team expects showers to end Friday night with some lingering clouds Saturday morning followed by sun later in the day. Temperatures will be near 60 degrees at daybreak and barely sneak into the 70s during the afternoon. For LSU and Southern fans, this could mean that jackets are needed for morning tailgates and the evening games! After a cool Sunday morning, thermometers will quickly return to average for Sunday afternoon into early next week. Showers and thunderstorms will be in the forecast Monday to Wednesday ahead of the next front.

The Tropics: Overall, the Atlantic Basin is not terribly troubling at this time. An area of lower pressure off the East Coast of the United States has a 40 percent chance of tropical or subtropical development through Thursday before upper level winds become unfavorable. Another system well east of Bermuda is given a 40 percent chance of development before conditions become too harsh.

THE EXPLANATION:

By Thursday, enough moisture will be established to make it feel more humid and even generate isolated showers and thunderstorms. A strong storm system will move across the nation on Friday. For the local area, an approaching cold front will force showers and thunderstorms to develop. Instability will be high enough to support thunderstorms but a lack of wind shear should keep them from turning severe. Frontal passage is expected to occur overnight Friday into Saturday. Timing of this boundary is important to the forecast. Should the front pass at night as it currently expected, showers will end before daybreak with a morning temperature in the 50s or 60s, followed by clearing skies and an afternoon temperature in the 70s. If the front slows at all, some showers could linger into the first half of Saturday with an early high in the 70s and steady or falling temperatures into the 60s for the afternoon. Again, this spell will be short with a return to above normal temperatures by Sunday afternoon into early next week. A few weak, fast moving systems could spread some showers across the area Monday and Tuesday. Another cold front will sweep across the region on Wednesday.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Warmth and humidity return prior to the next front https://www.wbrz.com/news/warmth-and-humidity-return-prior-to-the-next-front/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/warmth-and-humidity-return-prior-to-the-next-front/ Weather Wed, 9 Oct 2019 6:02:33 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Warmth and humidity return prior to the next front

Temperatures will climb as some humidity returns the round out the week. While records are not back in play, thermometers will once again be above average.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: After a comfortable start, temperatures will stretch back to the upper 80s on Wednesday beneath a mostly sunny sky. Winds will begin to take on a southeasterly direction, and so nighttime temperatures will once again struggle to leave the 70s.

Up Next: Thanks to the southeasterly wind shift, enough Gulf moisture will be around for isolated showers and thunderstorms to develop by Thursday afternoon. Warmer, more humid conditions will hold on until a stronger cold front moves through the area Friday and early Saturday. After another round of showers and thunderstorms, a punch of crisp air will deliver a fall feel into the weekend. Specific timing of the front is not locked in yet and this does affect the details of the forecast. At this time, the WBRZ Weather Team expects clearing skies through Saturday with morning temperatures in the 60s and afternoon temperatures the 70s. For LSU and Southern fans, this could mean that jackets are needed for morning tailgates and the evening games! See below for an analysis of the situation and alternate possibilities.

The Tropics: Overall, the Atlantic Basin is not terribly troubling at this time. An area of lower pressure off the East Coast of the United States has a 40 percent chance of tropical or subtropical development through Thursday before upper level winds become unfavorable. Another system well east of Bermuda is given a 40 percent chance of development before conditions become too harsh.

THE EXPLANATION:

The weak upper level trough associated with the recent frontal passage has exited to the northeast. Unsurprisingly, the first taste of cooler temperatures and lower humidity will therefore be short lived. Winds will gradually turn to the southeast allowing onshore flow to moderate the air mass. With less morning cloud cover than Tuesday, high temperatures will surge back to above average levels on Wednesday afternoon. Due to ample dry air aloft, showers should not develop away from the coast. By Thursday, enough moisture will be established to make it feel more humid and even generate isolated showers and thunderstorms. A strong storm system will move across the nation on Friday. For the local area, an approaching cold front will force showers and thunderstorms to develop, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Frontal passage is expected to occur overnight Friday into Saturday. Timing of this boundary is important to the forecast. Should the front pass at night as it currently expected, showers will end before daybreak with a morning temperature in the 50s or 60s, followed by clearing skies and an afternoon temperature in the 70s. If the front slows at all, some showers could linger into the first half of Saturday with an early high in the 70s and steady or falling temperatures into the 60s for the afternoon. Again, this spell will be short with a return to above normal temperatures by Sunday afternoon into early next week. A few weak, fast moving systems could spread some showers across the area Monday and Tuesday.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Refreshed feel, more to come https://www.wbrz.com/news/refreshed-feel-more-to-come/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/refreshed-feel-more-to-come/ Weather Tue, 8 Oct 2019 6:09:41 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Refreshed feel, more to come

You will notice a difference in steeping outside on Tuesday. A much drier and somewhat cooler air mass has arrived. The afternoons will remain warm but less humid.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Your Tuesday will bring average temperatures for the time of year. A few clouds will hang around the area but some sunshine will guide lunchtime thermometers into the upper 70s and lower 80s with an eventual afternoon high temperature near 84 degrees. Light, north winds and clear skies will allow low temperatures back into the mid 60s overnight.

Up Next:  Late Wednesday, the recent front will rebound north. This will bring isolated showers and thunderstorms back to the forecast by Thursday afternoon. A stronger cold front will then move through the area Friday and early Saturday. After another round of showers and thunderstorms, a punch of crisp air will deliver a fall feel into the weekend. At this time, expect highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s and even 50s for the upcoming weekend. For LSU and Southern fans, this will mean that jackets may be needed for morning tailgates and those heading into the evening games.

The Tropics: A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop along a frontal boundary over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores by Monday night. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 50 percent chance of tropical or subtropical depression formation Tuesday or Wednesday. Another non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop over the western North Atlantic between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States in a few days. The low could acquire some subtropical characteristics later in the week and it is given a 30 percent chance of development. A trough of low pressure extending from the Yucatan Channel northeastward across the southern Florida peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  There is a 10 percent chance of development as this system moves off the southeast U.S. coast.  The disturbance is forecast to merge with a low off the east coast of the United States by Wednesday, and no further development is anticipated after that time.

THE EXPLANATION:

A weak cold front has pressed into the Gulf of Mexico and allowed some drier, cooler air to spill into the region. Tuesday will be seasonably warm with highs in the mid 80s but comfortable warmth with no significant humidity. Onshore flow will commence on Wednesday allowing moisture to return to the atmosphere. By Thursday, this will be enough to trigger isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The next storm system will be a more significant cold front that is expected to bring a round of showers and thunderstorms late Friday followed by a Canadian based air mass. Timing with this front has been accelerated by forecast models, which would allow cool air and dry conditions to set up for the weekend. Highs and lows are expected to be 10 degrees below average behind this one. 

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Cold front arrives this evening, bigger cool down next weekend https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-arrives-this-evening-bigger-cool-down-next-weekend/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-arrives-this-evening-bigger-cool-down-next-weekend/ Weather Mon, 7 Oct 2019 6:26:49 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Cold front arrives this evening, bigger cool down next weekend

A long awaited cold front will move into the region on Monday. Humidity will break with some slightly cooler temperatures expected for mid-week.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Your Monday will still be warm and humid. Some sunshine will allow temperatures into the mid to upper 80s by early afternoon. At that time, a cold front will cross the region from north to south. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected with the boundary—though not all locations will receive rain. Any storms could bring brief downpours and gusty wind. You will likely notice drier air pushing in this evening and winds become northerly. By Tuesday morning, temperatures will be in the mid 60s.   

Up Next: On Tuesday, high temperatures will still be above average, but considerably cooler. Expect clear skies behind the front on Tuesday and Wednesday, but the front will rebound north as a warm front into Thursday. This will bring isolated showers and thunderstorms back to the forecast. A stronger cold front will then move through the area Friday and early Saturday. After another round of showers and thunderstorms, a punch of crisp air will deliver a fall feel into the weekend. At this time, expect highs in the 70s and lows in the 60s and even 50s for the upcoming weekend.

The Tropics: A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop along a frontal boundary over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores by Monday night. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 50 percent chance of tropical or subtropical depression formation Tuesday or Wednesday. Another non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop over the western North Atlantic between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States in a few days.  The low could acquire some subtropical characteristics later in the week and is given a 30 percent chance of development.

THE EXPLANATION:

A cold front will move southward across Louisiana and Mississippi on Monday. High temperatures will remain above average prior to its arrival. The boundary should arrive in the Baton Rouge area during the mid to late afternoon hours. Ahead of it, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop but not all locations will receive rain and those that do will not get enough to put a major dent in the dry spell we have had of late. Rain will end from north to south with dry air pushing in this evening as winds turn northerly. Cool air advection will establish overnight and low temperatures will settle into the mid 60s by Tuesday morning. Tuesday will be seasonably warm with highs in the mid 80s but comfortable warmth with no significant humidity. Onshore flow will commence on Wednesday allowing moisture to return to the atmosphere. By Thursday, this will be enough to trigger isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The next storm system will be a more significant cold front that is expected to bring a round of showers and thunderstorms late Friday followed by a Canadian based air mass. Timing with this front has been accelerated by forecast models, which would allow cool air and dry conditions to set up for the weekend. Highs and lows are expected to be 10 degrees below average behind this one.  

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Cold Front Finally Breaks Through Monday https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-finally-breaks-through-monday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/cold-front-finally-breaks-through-monday/ Weather Sun, 6 Oct 2019 6:46:18 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Cold Front Finally Breaks Through Monday

THE FORECAST:

Tonight and Tomorrow: Mostly clear skies tonight, but clouds will be building through the overnight hours due to an approaching cold front from the northwest. Temperatures will be dropping into the 70s around 9 PM, on our way to an overnight low of 71° with calm winds. Mostly cloudy through the day on Monday, as scattered showers and storms will be developing through much of the day. These are associated with a cold front, which should peak between 10 AM until 5 PM. Lingering showers will be possible until 10 PM, but should stay relatively light and spotty. Temperatures will be warming slowly because of the cloud cover and rainfall, breaking into the 80s around 10 AM, with highs peaking near 85° with 5 to 10 mph winds out of the north.    

Up Next:  Scattered showers and storms on Monday, as temperatures cool slightly through much of the week behind the frontal system. A second, stronger front later in the week should suppress high temperatures to the 70s next weekend. 

The Tropics:

 

We are currently monitoring two waves located over the Atlantic Ocean.

 

The first is a non-tropical low pressure system that is expected to develop along a frontal boundary over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores during the next day or two. Gradual development of this system is possible while it moves slowly westward, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the middle of the week before upper-level winds become unfavorable. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 50% chance within the next 5 days.

 

The second is another non-tropical low pressure system that is forecast to develop over the western North Atlantic between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of next week. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics later in the week while it meanders off the east coast of the United States. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 30% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

The much anticipated first cold front of the season will be pressing into the Gulf on Monday and early Tuesday before stalling in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Highs will still be above average, but will be much cooler. Sunny skies behind the front on Tuesday and Wednesday, but the front will rebound back north as a warm front into Thursday. This will bring isolated showers and storms back in the forecast. Models are still in agreement about a stronger front that will move through the area Friday and early Saturday. This front will be more oriented north to south, and bring scattered storms back through Friday and Saturday morning. It should finally fell like fall as we proceed into the weekend, as high are poised to stay in the mid-to-upper 70s and lows in the mid-50s.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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More Afternoon Storms Sunday https://www.wbrz.com/news/more-afternoon-storms-sunday/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/more-afternoon-storms-sunday/ Weather Sat, 5 Oct 2019 7:02:50 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan More Afternoon Storms Sunday

THE FORECAST:

 Tonight and Tomorrow: Conditions will continue to dry through the evening, as clouds will also break up to lead to mostly clear skies tonight. Temperatures will be dropping into the 70s around 9 PM, eventually reaching an overnight low of 72° with calm winds. More isolated afternoon storms expected on Sunday which should develop earlier in the afternoon, mainly between the hours of 1 PM and 6 PM. Highs will peak near 90° with light winds out of the east.    

Up Next:  Isolated afternoon showers stay the course through the weekend, as highs stay in the low 90s on Sunday. Temperatures are poised to drop to near average next week, as a cold front should break through and into the Gulf on Monday. A second, stronger front later in the week should suppress high temperatures to the 70s next weekend.

The Tropics:

 

We are currently monitoring two waves located over the Atlantic Ocean.

 

The first is a non-tropical low pressure system that is expected to develop over the North Atlantic between Bermuda and the Azores in a few days. Some subtropical or tropical development is possible while the low moves westward through the middle of next week. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 50% chance within the next 5 days.

 

The second is another non-tropical low pressure system that is forecast to develop over the western North Atlantic between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of next week. This low is expected to move slowly northward to northeastward after it forms, and some subtropical or tropical development is possible thereafter. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

The sea breeze regime continues on Sunday, as easterly winds will push Gulf moisture onshore and west from the lakes. The large high pressure ridge that has been staying put over the southern states has finally flattened out. This has altered the weather pattern, changing from dry to a wetter pattern heading into the beginning part of the workweek. This is due to the ability of the sea breeze front to continue to push onshore through the weekend, and the first cold front of the season approaching Sunday and Monday. This front will push into the Gulf Monday and early Tuesday, bringing scattered showers and storms across our area Monday. By Tuesday, we will be behind the front and will enjoy a cool and sunny day. Dry conditions will continue on Wednesday, but the front will rebound and head back inland as a warm front on Thursday, bringing isolated afternoon showers back in the forecast. Models are suggesting another, stronger front will push west to east across the Gulf States on Friday. This front could be bringing a quick fall, as high temperatures on Saturday could stay in the low-to-mid 70s.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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Developing Storms Later Today https://www.wbrz.com/news/developing-storms-later-today/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/developing-storms-later-today/ Weather Fri, 4 Oct 2019 7:09:23 AM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Developing Storms Later Today

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Some areas of patchy fog possible this morning before 8 AM, then mostly sunny skies through the remainder of the morning. Clouds will be building slightly through the afternoon, as isolated showers and storms develop likely after 3 PM east of Baton Rouge and pushing west through the rest of the day. Showers could be lingering until closer to midnight tonight. Temperatures will again be above average, breaking into the 80s around 9 AM, as highs peak near 94° with heat index values close to 104°.   

Up Next:  Isolated afternoon showers stay the course over the next several days, as highs stay well above average through the weekend. Temperatures are poised to drop to near average next week, as a cold front should break through and into the Gulf.

The Tropics:

 

We are continuing to monitor a broad area of low pressure that the National Hurricane Center has been tracking over the northwestern Caribbean Sea which is now located just north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and it appears to be degenerating into a broad trough of low pressure. Only a few showers remain associated with this system, and development is not anticipated while it moves over the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days and 5 days.

A new are of concern is a low pressure system that is forecast to form in the North Atlantic between Bermuda and the Azores by the middle of next week. This system will be monitored for signs of tropical or subtropical development while it moves slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical formation over the next 2 days, increasing to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

The large high pressure ridge that has been staying put over the southern states is starting to lose its grip and beginning to flatten out through the day today. This will allow for a stronger sea breeze front to develop later today, with afternoon showers and storms building along the I-10 corridor. Coverage should stay isolated, but cells could linger until midnight tonight. Most storms should stay well shy of strong or severe criteria, but gusts close to 40 mph will be possible. This sea breeze regime will continue through the weekend, keeping spotty to isolated afternoon showers and storms in the forecast through the weekend. The first cold front of the season is still expected to push into our area and into the Gulf Monday and Tuesday, bringing more scattered storms through our area but also cooler temperatures. Drier conditions will be the case behind the front on Tuesday, as highs stay suppressed in the mid-to-upper 80s starting Monday. The front rebounds as a warm front later in the week on Wednesday and Thursday, bringing spotty showers back into the forecast and slightly increasing highs close to 90°. Models are still hinting of a second, stronger cold front pushing through our area next weekend. This front is likely to be more north to south versus the flatter cold front earlier in the workweek.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.

 


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Rain Chances Increase Starting Today https://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-increase-starting-today/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-increase-starting-today/ Weather Thu, 3 Oct 2019 7:05:27 AM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Rain Chances Increase Starting Today

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Sunny skies initially to start your Thursday, but clouds will be increasing through the morning hours. Spotty showers will be possible through the afternoon after 1 PM until 8 PM, but cells should stay to our north along the Mississippi/Louisiana border. A cell or two could break south along the I-10 corridor, but unlikely. It will be another warm day, as temperatures will peak near 93° for your afternoon high. Dewpoints will be back in the low-to-mid-70s which will allow heat index values to likely break into the triple digits. Conditions will be drying by 7 PM to 8 PM, as clouds will break up late and overnight. Lows will drop near 72° with calming winds.

Up Next:  Isolated afternoon showers stay the course over the next several days, as highs stay well above average through the weekend. Temperatures are poised to drop to near average next week, as a cold front should break through and into the Gulf.

The Tropics: 

We are continuing to monitor a broad area of low pressure that is centered a little more than 100 miles south of the western tip of Cuba, but its associated shower activity is disorganized and located well to the east of the low. This system is forecast to move westward across the northern portion of the Yucatan peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche during the next few days. Although surface pressures are forecast to remain low across the area, upper-level winds do not favor any significant development. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 0% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, but that increases to a 20% chance within the next 5 days.

THE EXPLANATION:

The all-powerful ridge is still centered over the southern states, but will finally begin to flatten through the weekend. This will allow for afternoon isolated showers and storms to develop due to a sea breeze font that will keep pushing onshore each day. The flattening ridge will also open the door to the first cold front of the season breaking through and into the Gulf on Monday and Tuesday. This will bring scattered showers and storms during this timeframe, but also high temperatures will finally drop to near fall averages. Models are hinting at another, stronger cold front pushing through late next week.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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Continued 90s until a cold front arrives early next week https://www.wbrz.com/news/continued-90s-until-a-cold-front-arrives-early-next-week/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/continued-90s-until-a-cold-front-arrives-early-next-week/ Weather Wed, 2 Oct 2019 6:15:43 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Continued 90s until a cold front arrives early next week

Warm temperatures will continue through the week. Two cold fronts are in our future. The first will not bring major changes, but the second will provide some cooler air.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Wednesday will be mostly sunny and warm with highs in the low to mid 90s. Overnight will be mostly clear and mild with lows in the low 70s.  

Up Next: A weak trough will finally begin to break down a dominant ridge of high pressure that has been maintaining hot, dry conditions for more than a week. Meanwhile, a fast moving disturbance will move from east to west across the Gulf of Mexico bringing a slightly better chance of rain Thursday, and especially Friday, as a weak front moves into the region.

This boundary is not a game changer though. It will only lead to a slight reduction in humidity for the weekend. However, a second cold front will then have an open door to move into the region on Monday. While rain chances with this front remain questionable, some cooler air will be able to mosey on in by the early part of next week. Rather than highs and lows in the 90s and 70s, we can expect seasonable readings in the 80s and 60s.   

The Tropics: Hurricane Lorenzo has moved northeast of the Azores and is transitioning to an extratropical low, but still packing 90mph winds.  By the end of the week, high swells, rain and wind are likely across the British Isles. A weak disturbance in the northwestern Caribbean Sea will cross the Yucatan Peninsula and southern Gulf of Mexico later this week into the weekend. This wave is only given a 20 percent chance of development.  However, this system could throw some moisture northward to the central Gulf Coast to enhance the possibility of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday.

THE EXPLANATION:

The upper level ridge of high pressure responsible for the lengthy stretch of hot, dry weather is beginning to break down due to a number of influences. A westbound upper level wave of low pressure will slide across the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday and Friday. Meanwhile, a weak cold front will approach from the north. The combination of these two features, plus the breakdown of the ridge will finally allow some showers and thunderstorms to develop. Still, extensive precipitation coverage is not expected either day. The first, weak cold front will cross the area on Friday but should not do much to modify temperatures, but it could drop dew points by a few degrees. A temporary break between systems is anticipated on Saturday with more sun and warmth. The next, more significant cold front will move into the region Sunday and Monday. The two major forecast models are about 24 hours apart on specific timing in that window but expect these details to be hashed out as we get closer. Either way, behind the front, temperatures will finally be sent to seasonable average by Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the low to mid 60s.

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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October begins warm, but a cold front is in sight https://www.wbrz.com/news/october-begins-warm-but-a-cold-front-is-in-sight/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/october-begins-warm-but-a-cold-front-is-in-sight/ Weather Tue, 1 Oct 2019 6:12:00 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus October begins warm, but a cold front is in sight

The city of Baton Rouge has capped off its hottest September on record since 1930. Warmth and generally dry conditions will continue through at least mid-week. Alas, the first sign of a noticeable temperature drop is in view for early next week.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: More sunshine is ahead for your Tuesday. There is an outside chance at some cloud cover and stray showers near the coast. It will likely be the warmest afternoon of the week with highs reaching the middle 90s. Overnight will be mostly clear with lows in the low 70s.

Up Next: A large ridge of high pressure has been camped out over the Southeastern U.S. since last week and that will continue through the middle of this week. High and low temperatures will stay in the 90s and 70s respectively through the week. An isolated shower or two could occur near the coast through Wednesday. The ridge will finally begin to weaken by the latter part of the week, allowing a weak trough to initiate a weather pattern that is conducive for a cold front to push farther southward. By Thursday, a weak and fast moving disturbance will move from east to west across the Gulf bringing a slightly better chance of rain Thursday, and especially Friday, as a weak front moves into the region. This boundary is not a game changer though. It will only lead to a slight reduction in humidity for the weekend. More interesting is that this front could set the stage for a stronger front with cooler air to mosey on in by the early part of next week.  

The Tropics: After becoming the strongest storm ever recorded so far north and east in the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Lorenzo will move dangerously close to the Azores. Hurricane warnings have been issued for the islands. Lorenzo remains large and strong with maximum winds of 100mph. By the end of the week, the storm will lose tropical characteristics as it approaches the British Isles. High swells, rain and wind are likely there as a result.  Two other weak disturbances have been identified by the National Hurricane Center and both have small, 10 to 20 percent development chances. The first wave is east of the Bahamas and will scoot south of Bermuda. The second wave is west of Jamaica and will cross the southern Gulf of Mexico.

THE EXPLANATION:

A large ridge of high pressure remains anchored across the Mid Mississippi River Valley. Vertical descent continues to bring warmer and drier than normal conditions to the region. A weak tropical wave moving across the Caribbean Sea will race into the Gulf by the middle of the week. Conditions do not favor any kind of tropical development, but this system could fling enough moisture into the region for a couple of showers Wednesday through Friday, but still, not much. As the large ridge finally starts to break down, moisture associated with the Gulf disturbance could be drawn northward by a weak front approaching from the north. These two factors should combine for the best chance at showers and thunderstorms in more than a week. This front will then push through the area and take dew points down by a few degrees on Saturday, but afternoon temperatures will remain warm. While not too exciting, this front will be important in setting the stage for another, more significant front on Sunday or Monday. Whether or not any rain occurs will depend on the position of a ridge of high pressure behind the boundary. If the high trails closely behind, rain chances will be low.

Either way, the aspect of the front of more interest to most will be temperatures. Should this front push through, we will have a chance at some cooler temperatures, perhaps a little closer to seasonal averages in the mid 80s and mid 60s by the middle of next week. Both the GFS and ECMWF model are on board with this solution and only differ in how much temperatures drop behind the front. Stay tuned!

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Ending a hot September and searching for a cold front https://www.wbrz.com/news/ending-a-hot-september-and-searching-for-a-cold-front/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/ending-a-hot-september-and-searching-for-a-cold-front/ Weather Mon, 30 Sep 2019 6:22:57 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Ending a hot September and searching for a cold front

With the 30th straight day of above average temperatures, the Baton Rouge area is capping off its hottest September on record. Even as we begin the new month, warm and dry conditions will continue.

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: More sunshine is ahead to start the new week. There is a little better chance at some cloud cover and a stray shower near the coast. High temperatures will again march into the low 90s with light, southeast winds. Overnight, there may be some passing clouds with low temperatures in the low 70s.

Up Next: A large ridge of high pressure has been camped out over the Southeastern U.S. since last week and that will continue through the middle of this week. That means that above average temperatures and generally dry conditions will continue. High and low temperatures will stay in the 90s and 70s respectively through the week. An isolated shower or two could occur on Wednesday thanks to a weak, fast moving disturbance sliding from east to west across the Gulf. The ridge will finally begin to weaken by the latter part of the week, allowing a weak trough to initiate a weather pattern that is conducive for a cold front to push farther southward.

Forecast model guidance does point to a weak front pushing into the area on Friday, allowing some slightly drier air to arrive for the weekend. More interesting is that this front could set the stage for a stronger front with some actual rainfall and actual cooler air to mosey on in by the early part of next week.  

The Tropics: After becoming the strongest storm ever recorded so far north and east in the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Lorenzo will move dangerously close to the Azores. Though no longer a category five hurricane, the storm remains large and strong with maximum winds of 105mph. By the end of the week, the storm will lose tropical characteristics as it approaches the British Isles. High swells, rain and wind are likely there as a result.  

THE EXPLANATION:

A large ridge of high pressure remains anchored across the Mid Mississippi River Valley. Vertical descent continues to bring warmer and drier than normal conditions to the region. A weak tropical wave moving across the Caribbean Sea will race into the Gulf by the middle of the week. Conditions do not favor any kind of tropical development, but this system could fling enough moisture into the region for a couple of showers Wednesday through Friday, but still, not much. As the large ridge finally starts to break down, moisture associated with the Gulf disturbance could be drawn northward by a weak front approaching from the north. There is forecast model support to say this front will push through the area. While rainfall remains questionable, some drier air is expected by the weekend. This will pave the way for the more interesting and exciting feature. A stronger cold front will move into the region by Sunday or Monday. It is common for fronts this time of year to be moisture starved. Whether or not any rain occurs will depend on the positon of a ridge of high pressure behind the boundary. If the high trails closely behind, rain chances will be low. Either way, the aspect of the front of more interest to most will be temperatures. Should this front push through, we will have a chance at some cooler temperatures, perhaps a little closer to seasonal averages in the mid 80s and mid 60s by the middle of next week. Stay tuned!

--Josh

The WBRZ Weather Team is here for you, on every platform. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, wbrz.com, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.


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Rain Chances Increasing through the Week https://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-increasing-through-the-week/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-increasing-through-the-week/ Weather Sun, 29 Sep 2019 6:02:53 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Rain Chances Increasing through the Week

THE FORECAST: 

 

Tonight and Tomorrow: Some areas of drizzle have successfully pushed onshore, but will dry out by 7 PM. Mostly clear skies tonight, as clouds will continue to break up through the remainder of the evening. Temperatures will be dropping into the 70s around 10 PM, as overnight lows bottom-out near 73°. Mostly cloudy start to the workweek, as some areas of patchy fog will also be possible – especially near bodies of water. High temperatures will still be above average, peaking near 92° through the afternoon. There is a potential for a slight chance of light showers along the coast, but they should stay confined to areas along of Highway 90. Winds will be coming out of the southeast at 5 to 10 mph.  

Up Next:  Highs staying above average through the workweek, as a chance for spotty afternoon showers will be possible beginning Wednesday.

The Tropics: 

Hurricane Lorenzo has weakened slightly, but is still a large and powerful category 3 hurricane. It is currently located about 1260 miles west-southwest of the Azores with 115 mph sustained winds and moving north-northeast at 10 mph. A turn to the northeast is expected on Monday with a gradual increase in forward speed through Wednesday. Gradual weakening is expected over the next couple of days, but Lorenzo is expected to remain a large and potent hurricane.

THE EXPLANATION:

There is a slight chance of a spotty drizzle along the coast, but moisture will have a tough time breaking father inland. This is due to the large ridge that has set up along the gulf states, which has effectively inhibited any sort of vertically developing rain or storm cells. This large upper level ridge will begin to flatten through the middle and latter part of the week, allowing for a weak trough over the east coast that will initiate a weather pattern conducive for a cold front to push farther southward. The GFS and Euro model are indicated a weak front pushing into the region on Friday, with a stronger one reinforcing cooler temperatures and significant rain Sunday and into the early part of the following week. Fall seems to finally be arriving.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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High Pressure and Heat Lingering https://www.wbrz.com/news/high-pressure-and-heat-lingering/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/high-pressure-and-heat-lingering/ Weather Sat, 28 Sep 2019 6:51:17 PM Meteorologist Matt Callihan High Pressure and Heat Lingering

THE FORECAST: 

 

Tonight and Tomorrow: A nice night ahead, as mostly clear skies stay overhead. Winds will stay light out of the southeast through the night, as temperatures drop into the 70s around 9 PM before reaching an overnight low of 73°. Mostly sunny and warm conditions continue for Sunday, with highs peaking near 92° with heat index values around 101°.  

Up Next:  Highs staying above average through the workweek, as a chance for spotty afternoon showers start on Tuesday.

The Tropics:

 

Hurricane Lorenzo has restrengthened into a category 4 hurricane. It is currently located about 1470 miles southwest of the Azores with 130 mph sustained winds and moving north at 10 mph. This motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north-northeast is forecast on Sunday, followed by a faster motion toward the northeast beginning Monday or Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Lorenzo will be approaching the Azores on Tuesday. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next day or so. Lorenzo is expected to gradually weaken through Tuesday, but it will remain a large and potent hurricane while it approaches the Azores.

THE EXPLANATION:

High pressure stays in control through all levels of the atmosphere, keeping conditions relatively dry. There will be a chance of a spotty showers Sunday along the coast and west of the Atchafalaya Basin through the afternoon. Dewpoints are creeping up on Sunday, as heat index values will be breaking into the triple digits during the afternoon. Highs are poised to stay above average through the remainder of September and into the beginning of October. There is another chance of spotty showers starting Tuesday, which should stay the course through the rest of the week. This is due to southerly winds pushing Gulf moisture onshore, but they should again stay light and between the I-10 corridor and the coast.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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Above Average Temperatures Stay the Course https://www.wbrz.com/news/above-average-temperatures-stay-the-course/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/above-average-temperatures-stay-the-course/ Weather Fri, 27 Sep 2019 6:07:48 AM Meteorologist Matt Callihan Above Average Temperatures Stay the Course

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Mostly sunny skies for your Friday, as high pressure is still under control. Temperatures will be breaking into the 80s around 10 AM, as highs peak near 91° with heat index values near 97°. Winds will stay light and out of the south through the day, and will be calming later this evening. Clear skies tonight, as overnight lows bottom-out near 72°

 

Up Next:  Spotty showers will be possible on Saturday, but should stay rather sparse. Highs will stay above average through the weekend and into the workweek, as conditions stay dry Sunday and Monday.

The Tropics: 

Tropical Storm Karen is currently located about 350 miles southeast of Bermuda with 40 mph sustained winds and moving northeast at 8 mph. This general motion is forecast to continue this morning, but Karen is forecast to become nearly stationary by tonight or early Saturday. A westward motion is then anticipated by the end of the weekend. Karen is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Saturday.

Hurricane Lorenzo is currently about 1620 miles southwest of the Azores with 145 mph sustained winds and moving north-northwest at 14 mph. This general motion is forecast to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected on Saturday, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Sunday. Some fluctuations in strength are possible today. Slow weakening is forecast to begin by the weekend.

THE EXPLANATION:

High pressure stays in control through all levels of the atmosphere, keeping conditions relatively dry. There will be a chance of a spotty shower on Saturday due to the southerly winds, but they will be rather light and should stay confined to the coast and south of I-10. There will be a little more cloud cover on Saturday, but highs will still break into the low 90s and stay above average. Highs are poised to stay above average through the remainder of September and into the beginning of October. There is another chance of spotty showers Tuesday and Wednesday, but they should again stay between the I-10 corridor and the coast.

--Meteorologist Matt Callihan

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Warm temps, minimal rain chances into early next week https://www.wbrz.com/news/warm-temps-minimal-rain-chances-into-early-next-week/ https://www.wbrz.com/news/warm-temps-minimal-rain-chances-into-early-next-week/ Weather Thu, 26 Sep 2019 6:06:07 AM Chief Meteorologist Dr. Josh Eachus Warm temps, minimal rain chances into early next week

Not only will the month round out with above average temperatures, but most locations will remain rain free. To date, the area is running a deficit for the month, precisely 1.29 inches shy of normal at Metro Airport. To stay green, most lawns need about 1-2 inches of water per week, so the sprinkler systems may need some work.   

THE FORECAST:

Today and Tonight: Lots of sunshine will send high temperatures back into the 90s. That will make 108 days this calendar year exceeding 90 degrees, above the average number of days to reach that mark in a given year. A drier air mass will maintain tolerable humidity levels. Overnight low temperatures will fall into the low 70s.  

Up Next: An upper level ridge of high pressure will try to slide east by Friday. In doing so, southeasterly winds will transport a bit of moisture inland and this could be just enough for isolated showers to develop Friday and Saturday afternoon. However, coverage will be quite low. Warm temperatures will continue. The Climate Prediction Center outlook into early October offers little hope for significant cooling. The entire Southeast U.S. has a high likelihood of experiencing above average temperatures.  

The Tropics: Tropical Storm Karen will meander over the central Atlantic between Bermuda and Puerto Rico over the next several days. An upper level ridge over the Eastern U.S. is expected to broaden and drift eastward changing the upper level steering winds to the west or southwest. Therefore, early next week, Tropical Storm Karen will begin to loop back across its previous path. Stationary until this move, a prolonged period over churned up water it has created will make strengthening difficult. The storm may not even hold together, but should not be much more than a depression as it drifts west, southwest toward the Bahamas by the middle of next week. Right now, it does not appear to be a major threat. West of the Cabo Verde Islands, Lorenzo is set to become a major hurricane. Fortunately, this system does not pose any imminent threat to land and will eventually turn north and stay out to sea.

THE EXPLANATION:

The upper level ridge and surface area of high pressure remains stacked across the Southeast. This is why the pattern has been and will remain warm and dry. The ridge may slide just far enough to the east on Friday and Saturday that a bit of onshore flow will provide some moisture for a spotty shower. Anybody that gets rain will be lucky. The ridge will likely strengthen over the local area early next week leading to more hot temperatures and dry conditions. If this ridge were in place during July or August, it would most certainly lead to heat advisories. However, thanks to the lowering sun angle as we move into “fall,” the heat is somewhat less intense.

--Josh

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