WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ WBRZ Weather Weather en-us Copyright 2015, WBRZ. All Rights Reserved. Feed content is not avaialble for commercial use. () () Thu, 3 Sep 2015 02:09:26 GMT Synapse CMS 10 WBRZ http://www.wbrz.com/ 144 25 Rain chances slowly increasing http://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-slowly-increasing/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/rain-chances-slowly-increasing/ Weather Wed, 2 Sep 2015 6:05:20 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Rain chances slowly increasing

Moving into mid and late week, rain chances will nudge up a little bit each day into the isolated category.

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: Early sprinkles on Wednesday were a bit of a surprise as the atmosphere remains dry down low and fairly stable up top. For that reason, we’re still only expecting a stray shower or thunderstorm this afternoon with more clouds than sunshine. High temperatures will be in the low 90s with low temperatures in the low 70s. The humidity will remain elevated.

Looking ahead: Thursday and Friday offer slightly better rain chances with isolated showers and thunderstorms developing each afternoon. Overall, about 30% geographical rain coverage is expected in the forecast area. Away from any cooling showers, it will be partly sunny and humid with highs in the low 90s and lows in the low 70s. With a similar forecast carrying into the weekend, no outdoor plans will be washed out, be please remember to have shelter nearby in the event of lightning. That means you, tailgaters! You would only need to take a brief break indoors—worth it for your safety!

For much more detail on your local weather, watch out weekly weather vlog by CLICKING HERE.

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: An upper level wave pinched off near the Texas Coast has been allowing showers and thunderstorms to flirt with the local area. To this point, most of the activity hasn’t made it farther west than the Atchafalaya Basin. The wave is nudging eastward, but also weakening. Still, its influence provide a slightly better chance for a stray shower east of the Mississippi River on Wednesday although atmospheric moisture remains low and forecast models are not too aggressive with any precipitation. They do however start to feature better rain chances Thursday through Monday. This coincides with the region being east of a Southern Plains ridge and somewhat under the influence of a Southeast U.S. trough. As the trough gets closer through the weekend, showers will become more probable.

--Josh

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Times of changing weather? http://www.wbrz.com/news/times-of-changing-weather-/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/times-of-changing-weather-/ Weather Tue, 1 Sep 2015 6:07:01 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Times of changing weather?

Welcome to meteorological fall. While the new season doesn’t officially begin until Wednesday, September 23, we weather-folk begin to keep “fall” stats and forecast the seasonal patterns on September 1.

Locally, it is a month of change. Over the last 30 years in Baton Rouge, late September has been the time at which the first morning below 60° occurs. By early October, the area has a better chance at finding a reading below 50°.

In the meantime, although the calendars are changing over to September, your 7-Day forecast maintains the status-quo.

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: We’ll have another partly sunny and sticky afternoon. Like Monday, it will be a very close call on rain showers. The Mississippi River seems to be a good boundary line—showers are possible to the west and unlikely to the east. However, locations closer to the river and any stray showers may see more clouds than sun. High temperatures will peak in the low 90s. Tonight, we’ll keep it muggy and mainly clear with a low in the low 70s.

Looking ahead: Wednesday offers slightly better but still low rain chances. Temperatures remain near average. Thursday and Friday appear to offer the best opportunities for a shower or storm this week. However, the rain chances still aren’t great—below 50% at this point. Regardless, temperatures will not be straying from average with highs in the low 90s and lows in the low 70s.

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: An upper level trough pushing into Eastern Texas will further the moisture transport into our region. With vorticity enhanced on the east side of the trough, we’ll notice a gradual increase in shower and thunderstorm chances into mid-week. Alas, as the trough pushes overhead by Thursday, some slight cooling aloft will increase instability and increase rain chances by a bit.

--Josh

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Steam into September http://www.wbrz.com/news/steam-into-september/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/steam-into-september/ Weather Mon, 31 Aug 2015 5:56:33 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Steam into September

Humidity has returned and temperatures will be right where they should be as August ends and September begins.

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: Similar to Sunday, you can expect mainly sunny skies and a little uptick in humidity. Temperatures will top out around 93°. Showers are unlikely east of the Atchafalaya Basin. Overnight will be mostly clear and muggy with a low in the low 70s.

Looking ahead: Tuesday skies will find a few more clouds bubbling up, but still, most of the shower activity should stay west of Baton Rouge. A humid afternoon, highs will make it into the low 90s. Wednesday through Friday offers a very repetitive forecast. We’re calling for partly sunny skies with 30% coverage in showers and thunderstorms. Humidity will be up with highs in the low 90s with lows in the low 70s.

THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: There are not many surface features at play over the local area. The remnants of Erika are dousing Florida with rain while an upper level trough digs into West Texas. This upper level trough will position itself over the eastern part of that state by mid-week, and that will open a deeper moisture return in the local area. Additionally, it will provide a bit of uplift for our warm, moist and unstable surface air to aid in the development of spotty convection. In summary, the pattern will be very seasonable Wednesday into the weekend with humid highs in the low 90s, pop-up showers and storms, and lows in the low 70s.

--Josh

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Erika is gone, but for good? http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-is-gone-but-for-good-/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-is-gone-but-for-good-/ Weather Sat, 29 Aug 2015 10:15:23 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Erika is gone, but for good?

After battling the high terrain of Hispaniola and Cuba, as well as wind shear and some dry air, Erika is essentially "no more." The remnants are now over south Cuba.

The remnants of Erika are still forecast to move north into the extreme eastern Gulf of Mexico, this bringing heavy rainfall to parts of Florida.

The Gulf waters are warm and the atmosphere a little more favorable, so it's not entirely impossible that Erika could regenerate once she moves back into the Gulf.

The National Hurricane Center is no longer issuing advisories with Erika, however if she comes back from the dead, they will continue. Even so, with that possible, she likely won't be a threat for Louisiana. We'll continue monitoring this storm until it is dead and gone.

Stay updated always through social media and WBRZ.com for the latest. You can also visit the WBRZ.com Hurricane Center for the latest images.

 

On Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

On Twitter: @RG3wbrz

 

~RG3


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Death toll rising in Dominica as 'Erika' nears Hispaniola http://www.wbrz.com/news/death-toll-rising-in-dominica-as-erika-nears-hispaniola/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/death-toll-rising-in-dominica-as-erika-nears-hispaniola/ Weather Fri, 28 Aug 2015 11:58:33 AM Ezequiel Abiu Lopez and Carlisle Jno Baptiste Death toll rising in Dominica as 'Erika' nears Hispaniola

SANTO DOMINGO, Dominican Republic (AP) - The death toll from Tropical Storm Erika is rising on the Caribbean island of Dominica as the system bears down on the Dominican Republic.

Dominica Police Chief Daniel Carbon says additional bodies have been recovered from mudslide areas in the southeast of the island. Previously officials said four people had died during the storm and about 20 were missing.

Carbon won't say how many additional bodies have been recovered. He predicted Friday that it would take at least another 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Erika was bearing down on the Dominican Republic and heading northwest.


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Erika fighting an uphill battle? http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-fighting-an-uphill-battle-/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-fighting-an-uphill-battle-/ Weather Fri, 28 Aug 2015 7:35:58 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Erika fighting an uphill battle?

Tropical Storm Erika is now forecast to remain a tropical storm according to the National Hurricane Center.

Erika is experiencing a different environment than Danny, however still a somewhat potent one.

There isn't as much dry air to combat Erika as we saw with Danny, but there is considerably more wind shear. Also, Erika is currently heading toward Haiti and the Dominican Republic which holds some very tall mountains. The highest being above 10,000 feet. The friction from the land including high terrain and the wind shear will create a somewhat hostile environment for Erika. The National Hurricane Center as even hinted at the possibility that Erika could potentially even fizzle out before it reaches the Bahamas. I'm not as easily sold on that prognostic as I was on Danny, but I can't argue that the possibility is there.

Considering that possibility, the National Hurricane Center is now keeping Erika as a tropical storm as it reaches Florida. Another noticeable difference is that the track has nudged very slightly toward west. It's currently forecast to bisect Florida as opposed to scraping along east coast. This is related to the upper level trough which has brought us the extremely pleasant conditions this past week.

The upper level trough is currently steering Ericka and pulling it north. However, this trough is forecast to move back toward the west over us. With that said, I'm fairly confident that it won't move sufficiently enough toward the west to steer Erika our way if she stays intact.

We're not out of the doghouse yet, we're still keeping an eye on Erika. We' are approaching the peak of hurricane season so always have a plan ready and stay updated on WBRZ.com as well as social media for the fastest updates. Overall though, Erika is not a threat to Louisiana at the current time.

 

On Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

On Twitter: @RG3wbrz En español: @RG3wbrzES

 

~RG3


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C'est bon http://www.wbrz.com/news/c-est-bon/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/c-est-bon/ Weather Fri, 28 Aug 2015 6:04:30 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III C'est bon

Enjoy it! More lows in the 60's this morning and crisp conditions! However, it will still be hot. Highs today will reach the lower 90's. No rain expected. Over the weekend, humidity will slowly creep back into the area. No rain expected until Monday, where we will pretty much return to normal. By then you can expect an isolated afternoon thunderstorm with highs in the lower 90's and lows in the lower 70's. 

The upper-level trough that brought the cold front through our area has stalled and will likely move back west. This will slowly change the prevailing winds thus reintroducing the humidity. This is also what's helping to steer Tropical Storm Erika. Right now it is keeping it away from us, but as it moves west, it's possible that it will nudge Erika slightly west. Erika still is not a threat to us, but stay updated and look for our Erika update later this morning.

Beyond that, not much else to say! Enjoy your day! Have a picnic and take your gal out on a date tonight!

 

Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

Twitter: @RG3wbrz      En español: @RG3wbrzES

 

~RG3


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ERIKA UPDATE: winds up, track shifts http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-winds-up-track-shifts/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-winds-up-track-shifts/ Weather Thu, 27 Aug 2015 7:16:57 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus ERIKA UPDATE: winds up, track shifts

Tropical Storm Erika continues to battle through dry air and wind shear while impacting the Leeward Islands.

The National Hurricane Center forecast cone has shifted north and east. The latest projection passes the storm east of Florida’s Coast on Monday. Most forecast models are now straying away from any possible entry into the Gulf of Mexico—good news for local interests. Whether or not Erika approaches the local area, you are encouraged to have a plan and stay ready throughout hurricane season.

As of 7am Thursday, Tropical Storm Erika was near Guadeloupe moving to the west at 16mph with a 1005mb minimum central pressure maximum sustained winds of 50mph. The storm has encountered quite a bit of shear and some dry air. As a result, most of the shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the storm has blown off to the east, away from the center.

Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for: Anguilla, Saba and St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, the U.S. Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands. This means tropical storm conditions are expected in the next 36 hours.

If Erika can survive interactions with land, dry air and wind shear over the next 48 hours, it will encounter some more favorable conditions for strengthening north of the Dominican Republic on Friday. Very warm sea surface temperatures and lower wind shear still favor the storm developing into a category one hurricane this weekend. At the same time, a turn to the north is expected. On the farthest western track, a Florida landfall is possible while on the farthest eastern track, Georgia and South Carolina could see impacts.

Continue to monitor Erika’s progress with us in the coming days.

The WBRZ Weather team is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute tropical updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView.


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More cool mornings, Erika over the islands http://www.wbrz.com/news/more-cool-mornings-erika-over-the-islands/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/more-cool-mornings-erika-over-the-islands/ Weather Thu, 27 Aug 2015 5:48:33 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus More cool mornings, Erika over the islands

The Baton Rouge area is enjoying a stretch of unseasonably cool mornings and low humidity. The last time your Capital City felt three straight mornings in the 60s was in early June, and readings as cool as Thursday’s record low haven’t occurred since May 6!

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: Like Wednesday, Thursday begins cool and dry thanks to a dry air mass that has knocked back humidity. A sunny afternoon is ahead as high temperatures climb towards 90. The overnight low will come up a touch, but still be in the mid 60s.

Looking ahead: We’ll end the week in style, so to speak, with another sunny and dry afternoon expected. Getting into the weekend, Saturday will offer a slight uptick in humidity with highs in the low 90s. On Sunday, we will feel that familiar South Louisiana stickiness once again and introduce the possibility of a pop-up shower or storm.

The Tropics: Tropical Storm Erika continues to cut through the Central Atlantic as a modest tropical storm. Shear continues to hack away at the cyclone while dry air is aggravating further development as well. Should the scrappy storm survive, a hurricane could approach the United States next week. The WBRZ Weather is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute weather updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView or CLICK HERE for much more detail.

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: A trough sits over the Southeastern United States while a surface high pressure is set up over the Ohio Valley. Cooler air aloft and a dry funnel of air at the surface have combined for some record low temperatures across the region. The two will pull away over the weekend allowing humidity to return from the Gulf of Mexico. This will mean lows climb out of the 60s and back into the seasonable 70s. Highs will generally be unaffected with low 90s staying on the board but afternoons will feel hotter once again thanks to the added moisture in the air. That added moisture will also bring pop-up convection back as soon as Sunday.

--Josh

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ERIKA UPDATE: remains weak, strengthening possible http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-remains-weak-strengthening-possible/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-remains-weak-strengthening-possible/ Weather Wed, 26 Aug 2015 7:19:11 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus ERIKA UPDATE: remains weak, strengthening possible

Tropical Storm Erika found a very difficult environment on Tuesday and as a result did not show much change in intensity.

National Hurricane Center forecasts still position Erika near the South Florida Coast by Sunday as a category one hurricane. There is some uncertainty as to where exactly it will go beyond that, but it still appears as though there is no cause for heightened alert in Louisiana. Just stay prepared for hurricane season as you usually would.

As of 7am Wednesday, Tropical Storm Erika was about 300 miles east of Antigua moving to the west at 17mph with a 1005mb minimum central pressure maximum sustained winds of 45mph. The storm has encountered dry air and some minor shear which has hampered development.

Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for many of the Leeward, U.S. and British Virgin Islands as well as Puerto Rico meaning tropical storm conditions are possible in the next 36 hours.

Erika will continue to navigate through dry air as the storm moves over islands in the next day or two. This will make it very difficult for Erika to stay organized, let alone strengthen. Should the system make it beyond Puerto Rico, there are a handful of forecast models that show it strengthening into a category one hurricane by Sunday. Given additional moisture in the atmosphere and lower shear, this seems plausible.

 

 

Continue to monitor Erika’s progress with us in the coming days.

 The WBRZ Weather team is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute tropical updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView.


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Local humidity down, Erika strength down http://www.wbrz.com/news/local-humidity-down-erika-strength-down/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/local-humidity-down-erika-strength-down/ Weather Wed, 26 Aug 2015 5:49:23 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Local humidity down, Erika strength down

Dew points out of the 70s and into the 50s mean our oppressive humidity has been replaced by much drier air. The region will enjoy refreshing air and cooler mornings through the remainder of the week.

 

 

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: Wednesday began with some September-like air as lows dropped well into the 60s. Abundant sunshine is expected to help warm afternoon thermometers into the upper 80s. Overnight, temperatures will again flirt with a record low of 62.

Looking ahead: Thursday and Friday will continue with drier, more comfortable air, cooler than average mornings and seasonably warm and sunny afternoons. Look for highs in the low 90s and lows in the mid 60s. This weekend, some humidity will slowly return and an isolated shower could pop by Sunday.

 

 

The Tropics: Tropical Storm Erika is fighting quite the battle with a patch of dry air and some weak wind shear. Should she survive after impacting the Leeward Islands tonight, Erika could become the season’s second hurricane by the weekend after finding some more favorable conditions to strengthen. If this occurs, Erika will be positioned near The Bahamas. The WBRZ Weather is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute weather updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView, or CLICK HERE for the latest information.

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: A broad trough has fallen over the Eastern United States. Cooler, drier air is in place and light northerly winds continue across the region with a surface high pressure set up over the Great Lakes Region. Seasonably warm afternoons and unseasonably cool mornings can be expected to close out the week. Humidity will slowly return as the northern surface highs exits and winds shift southerly on Saturday. By the weekend, forecast models are showing a lobe of the trough pinching off over the Gulf of Mexico. Should this occur, some vorticity pin-wheeling through the cut off low could enhance the possibility of a pop-up shower or storm on Sunday and Monday.

--Josh

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Perfect weather welcomes Wednesday http://www.wbrz.com/news/perfect-weather-welcomes-wednesday/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/perfect-weather-welcomes-wednesday/ Weather Tue, 25 Aug 2015 10:42:58 PM Trey Schmaltz Perfect weather welcomes Wednesday

BATON ROUGE - Expect a near record low overnight.

WBRZ weather experts said the forecast low Wednesday will be 63 or 62 degrees.  The record low for Wednesday was set in 1966 at 62.  It has not been since May that temperatures have reached this low.

Wednesday, the high is expected to hit the high 80s.  A similar forecast is expected Thursday, too.  

Low humidity will help ease the oppressive heat that has been hanging around the region for weeks.

"The next three days will be a nice little treat," Pat Shingleton said.

The 60-degree temperatures will settle in overnight and linger until the morning commute when temperatures are expected to rise, peaking in mid-afternoon.

Click HERE to visit the WBRZ weather page.  Click HERE to watch Pat Shingleton's 10pm forecast.
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ERIKA UPDATE: gradual strengthening expected http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-gradual-strengthening-expected/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-update-gradual-strengthening-expected/ Weather Tue, 25 Aug 2015 7:14:50 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus ERIKA UPDATE: gradual strengthening expected

Tropical Storm Erika was named on Monday Night and early the forecast suggests that Erika is worth a closer watch than Danny.

While there is no active threat for the state of Louisiana, Erika is expected to survive well into the Western Atlantic, meaning it could get closer to the United States than Danny. It isn’t prudent to speculate on where the storm will end up, but as always, you are encouraged to stay hurricane ready.

Tropical Storm Erika is 700 miles east of the Leeward Islands moving to the west at 20mph with a 1003mb minimum central pressure maximum sustained winds of 45mph.

Erika is expected to near the Leeward Islands on Wednesday Night and tropical storm watches have been issued.

 

 

From a forecast perspective, Erika will encounter some drier air between the current position and the Leeward Islands, but wind shear is minimal. Beyond that, environmental conditions are anticipated to be somewhat more favorable for development than what Danny experienced.

 

 

The National Hurricane Center forecast carries the storm into the Bahamas as a category one hurricane by Sunday.

The WBRZ Weather team is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute tropical updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView.

 


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Hello lower humidity http://www.wbrz.com/news/hello-lower-humidity/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/hello-lower-humidity/ Weather Tue, 25 Aug 2015 5:51:17 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Hello lower humidity

Refreshing changes are in store for the remainder of the week.

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: You might have noticed a bit less humidity on Tuesday Morning. That is a trend that will continue this week. The afternoon hours will still be mostly sunny and warm with a high temperature near 90, but it won’t feel a whole lot worse than that as the oppressive humidity is exiting south. Tonight is when a really big difference is noted as clear skies and low humidity allow readings to drop into the low and mid 60s. The record low for tomorrow was 62 in 1966, and we’re forecasting 63.

Looking ahead: Wednesday through Friday will be mostly clear and dry. Expect highs in the low 90s and lows in the low to mid 60s.

The Tropics: Tropical attention turns to the newly formed storm in the Eastern Atlantic—Erika. This system will gradually strengthen as it accelerates off to the west over the next several days. Erika is worth a closer watch than Danny as it will move through a much more favorable environment for development. The WBRZ Weather is proud to bring you the fastest, most up to the minute weather updates in the Capital City. Get advisories on Erika as soon as they are issued on our Facebook Page, WBRZ Weather or on Twitter @2StormView. In addition, for a detailed update on Erika, CLICK HERE.

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: A longwave trough is enveloping the Eastern United States. The shallower column of air is resulting in a bout of lower than average temperatures and dew points for Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi. Meanwhile, at the surface, an area of high pressure moving from the Midwest to the Ohio Valley will keep a northerly component to the winds through Friday allowing the slightly cooler and less humid air mass to hold in place. Keep in mind that dry air warms and cools more quickly than moist air. So, while a cold front has moved through, highs won’t change much. However, a dew point in the low 60s means temperature can drop that low overnight.

--Josh

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Erika forms in the Atlantic http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-forms-in-the-atlantic/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/erika-forms-in-the-atlantic/ Weather Mon, 24 Aug 2015 10:29:14 PM Trey Schmaltz Erika forms in the Atlantic

BATON ROUGE - No concern yet, but forecasters are watching what has now become Tropical Storm Erika in the central, tropical Atlantic.

Erika, the fifth named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, was named after becoming an organized storm Monday night. The National Hurricane Center advised at about 9:50 Central Time, Erika had a maximum sustained wind speed of 45 mph and was 955 miles east of the Leeward Islands.

"This is just more indication that there is a lot more of the season left," Chief Forecaster Pat Shingleton said.  

Earlier Monday, what was left of Danny fell apart into a remnant low. The National Hurricane Center announced Monday it was no longer issuing advisories on Danny but would continue to monitor developments of Erika.

Click HERE to visit the Hurricane Center.

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Drier days ahead, Danny dissipating http://www.wbrz.com/news/drier-days-ahead-danny-dissipating/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/drier-days-ahead-danny-dissipating/ Weather Mon, 24 Aug 2015 6:10:32 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus Drier days ahead, Danny dissipating

Drier days ahead, Danny dissipating

By mid-week, the region will enjoy a break from the humidity while Tropical Storm Danny becomes an afterthought.

THE FORECAST:

Today and tonight: The first part of your Monday will be partly sunny, hot and humid with highs making it into the mid 90s by early afternoon. It will feel like well over 100 for a few hours. With a cold front approaching the area today, we can expect a few showers and thunderstorms to spark off from the late morning to middle afternoon hours. High resolution models are not suggesting extensive coverage so many locations will go without rain. Tonight, clouds will break and with humidity dropping temperatures will be allowed to cool back to average in the low 70s.

Looking ahead: On Tuesday, a weak cold front will exit the region. As it does, we can expect skies to clear out and the humidity to begin dropping. Highs will still make it into the low 90s, but it won’t feel as oppressive as the moisture content in the air lessens. Overnight is when the real difference will be felt. Lower humidity will allow temperatures to drop into the low to mid 60s and Wednesday will start off with much less fog on the windows! For the remainder of the week, we'll have drier warmth with highs in the low 90s and lows in the mid 60s under mostly clear skies-- very reminiscent of September.

The Tropics: Tropical Depression Danny is weakening over the Leeward Islands. With a pressure of 1009mb and winds of 35mph the marginal storm will continue to move westward and weaken, degenerating into a remnant low in the Caribbean by Tuesday. Behind Danny, two waves have slid off of the African Coast and the cluster of showers and storms farther west will likely become the next tropical depression by Tuesday.

 

 THE SCIENCE:  

Forecast Discussion: An upper trough, embedded shortwave and associated surface front are sliding south into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. As they do, the hot, humid and unstable Gulf of Mexico air mass will be lifted and turned into a bit of convection. However, the latest water vapor imagery shows that drier air seems to have outrun the dynamics so showers and storms will have a tough time getting strong or providing a robust area of rain. Still, with a summer front, any storm can at least be attention- grabbing, so please head inside if you hear thunder. The front will sag south and slowly clear the area on Tuesday pulling few points down as it exits. Lower dew points mean lower moisture content in the air and thus a more comfortable feel for the remainder of the week. Because dry air warms and cools more efficiently than moist air-- Highs will be near average in the low 90s with lows a bit below average in the mid-upper 60s. The drier air mass will keep precipitation nil through Friday.

--Josh

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DANNY UPDATE: Danny Holding On...Slightly http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-danny-holding-on-slightly/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-danny-holding-on-slightly/ Weather Sun, 23 Aug 2015 10:25:58 AM Meteorologist Keller Watts DANNY UPDATE: Danny Holding On...Slightly

As of the 10:00 PM update on Sunday evening, a weakened and poorly organized Danny is barely holding on as a tropical storm thanks to the abundance of dry air and wind shear present in the East Carribean environment.

The latest information shows little threat for any potential impacts to the state of Louisiana.

The center of Tropical Storm Danny is nearing the Leeward Island and moving west at 15 mph. This general motion and storm weakening will continue over the next 48 hours. The storm carries 40mph winds and a minimum central pressure of 1009 mb.

Shear and dry air continue to plague Danny making maintenance of strength very difficult. Forecast models show these inhibiting factors to continue, along with a track over land and Danny could weaken to a tropical depression or remnant low by Tuesday.

We’ll continue to track Danny and the rest of the tropics from the WBRZ Weather Center. Follow along with us from our HURRICANE CENTER. We’ll also have updates on News 2, the cable weather channel and social media.

Twitter: @2StormView

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DANNY UPDATE: Danny Continuing to Weaken-Future Appears Bleak http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-danny-continuing-to-weaken-future-appears-bleak/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-danny-continuing-to-weaken-future-appears-bleak/ Weather Sat, 22 Aug 2015 10:07:53 AM Meteorologist Keller Watts DANNY UPDATE: Danny Continuing to Weaken-Future Appears Bleak

 

Danny continues to lose strength, and as of the 10:00 PM advisory on Saturday night the cyclone has become an even weaker, unorganized tropical storm.

Foreward speed has picked up somewhat, and currently T.S. Danny is moving due West at 15 mph with sustained winds of 60 mph.  Central pressure has increased to 999 mb and is located 480 miles east of the Leeward Islands.  Danny's foreward motion is expected to continue to increase due to a strengthening ridge feature to the north, and westward movement is also expected to continue in the short term.

Danny continues to fight a hostile environment including dry air and wind shear giving it little chance for further strengthening.  This dry air and wind shear will be increasingly persistent for the foreseeable future and will have major impacts to the storm's already disorganized structure as it moves further to the west and begins to encounter land mass features with high terrain. 

One new feature that is now coming into play is the latest model runs are coming in general agreement and suggesting a turn to the north which will take the storm just north of Hispaniola and Cuba, and by Thursday it appears that Danny may weaken to nothing more than a tropical depression or even and open wave feature.  One thing is for certain and that is Danny's future appears to be very bleak at this point and that is very good news for many people in this corner of the world.

For the latest updates follow us on social media and stay tuned for the latest updates tonight on WBRZ News 2 at 5:30 and 10:00.

 

On Facebook: WBRZ Weather

On Twitter: @2stormview

 

~Keller Watts


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DANNY UPDATE: First signs of weakening http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-first-signs-of-weakening/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/danny-update-first-signs-of-weakening/ Weather Fri, 21 Aug 2015 10:01:51 AM Meteorologist Josh Eachus DANNY UPDATE: First signs of weakening

The first hurricane of the season also became the first “major” hurricane. On Friday Afternoon, Hurricane Danny reached category three strength with winds of 115mph, but just as soon after began losing steam.

The storm remains small geographically, with hurricane force winds only extending 15 miles outward from the center.

There remains no active threat for Louisiana, but state officials continue to encourage hurricane preparedness as is typical every hurricane season. Danny is approximately 2,500 miles away from Coastal Louisiana. Therefore it is far too early to project what, if any, impact the storm could have on the United States. Providing one would be speculative.

Hurricane Danny has a minimum central pressure of 977mb and is moving to the west-northwest at 10mph. Located about 800 miles east of the Windward Islands, Danny is expected to weaken significantly before taking a westward turn and possibly impacting the islands.

The storm will encounter, dry air, shear and land making a very harsh environment for a tropical cyclone. Danny may weaken into a marginal tropical storm by the middle of next week as it moves over the Caribbean Islands. Surviving beyond that will be a tough proposition. If it does, there are signals that the system could begin interacting with some weak fronts or upper disturbances chugging beyond the Southeastern United States.

All throughout hurricane season, we remind you to monitor the tropics, have a storm plan and stick with News 2, wbrz.com/weather and our weather team on social media for the latest.

Twitter: @2StormView

Facebook: WBRZ Weather


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Sun and showers today with a drier weekend http://www.wbrz.com/news/sun-and-showers-today-with-a-drier-weekend/ http://www.wbrz.com/news/sun-and-showers-today-with-a-drier-weekend/ Weather Fri, 21 Aug 2015 6:07:21 AM Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III Sun and showers today with a drier weekend

More scattered showers and thunderstorms today, but don't expect as much areal coverage as we saw Wednesday and Thursday. The showers will start in the late morning along the coast, then by the afternoon you can expect some more inland. Temperatures will briefly reach 90 this afternoon and then rain trickles away by the evening. We should stay dry overnight with an isolated coastal shower possible as our low reaches 75 under partly cloudy skies.

This weekend some rain is expected, more-so Saturday than Sunday. Temperatures respond to the forecast by getting into the mid 90's. Sunday will be more typical with isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

A weak front is expected by the middle of next week, but this weak front will actually make a little impact to the area. Don't expect temperatures to leave the 90's, but our low temperatures will potentially get down to the 60's, with overall a much less humid feel. Not quite an October surprise but pleasant nonetheless.

Danny still churns in the Atlantic. There's about a 24-hour window for intensification, but beyond that it's not looking good. Current sustained winds are 85 mph but with dry air, wind shear, and terrain to deal with, we'll see how it handles it. Expect a deeper analysis soon this morning.

 

On Facebook: Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux III

On Twitter: @RG3wbrz   En español: @RG3wbrzES

 

~RG3


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